2008年辽宁经济社会形势分析与预测
中文摘要
本报告以辽宁社会科学院从事经济学、社会学、政治学、文化学和省情研究的科研人员为主，并邀请了省直有关单位和大专院校的专家学者参加，经过深入调查研究后撰写的。
本报告以党的十七精神作为指导思想，客观地描述了2007年辽宁省全面落实科学发展观，努力构建社会主义和谐社会，推进辽宁老工业基地振兴所取得的巨大成就；深刻地分析了当前存在的困难和问题；对2008年辽宁面临的机遇和挑战、经济社会发展的趋势进行了分析和预测，并提出一些对策建议。
报告指出，2007年辽宁经济在2006年高速增长的基础上，继续保持又好又快的良好发展态势，经济整体运行质量达到改革开放以来同期最高水平。同时继续扎实推进各项重点民生工程，坚持不懈地抓好棚户区改造和棚改新区建设、帮助零就业家庭解决就业困难、不断建立健全各项社会保障及社会救助制度等。辽宁的GDP、全社会固定资产投资、出口总额、社会消费品零售总额、城镇居民收入、农村居民人均现金收入、第二产业增加值和财政收入等8项指标增长速度均高于全国平均水平；GDP、出口、进口、社会消费品零售总额、城镇居民收入、农村居民人均现金收入、第二产业增加值、第三产业增加值和财政收入等9项指标增长速度高于2006年同期水平。
报告还指出，2007年辽宁经济社会发展也还存在一些亟待解决的矛盾和问题。诸如经济总量与沿海发达地区相比仍有较大差距；服务业在国民经济中的比重有待进一步提高；城镇居民收入人均可支配收入绝对额与全国平均水平仍有较大的差距；居民消费价格结构上涨日益凸显；节能减排形势严峻等。报告针对上述问题，提出了一些具体的对策建议。
报告认为，2008年辽宁国民经济发展趋势有三种可能：一是保持高速增长。世界经济实际情况好于预期，国内投资需求继续高增长，而省内投资冲动更旺，则全省经济增长率将与2007年大体持平，但突破15%的可能性不大。二是稳定地较快增长。世界经济实际情况如预期，国内宏观调控政策力度适中，投资平稳回落，而省内投资规模继续适度扩大，消费需求继续提高，则全省经济增长率将略低于2007年，有可能在14%左右。三是适度地减速增长。世界经济实际情况比预期恶化，出现明显下滑，国内宏观调控政策力度加大，经济降温较快，而省内投资规模收缩，则全省经济增长率有可能在13%左右。从辽宁经济发展的现实和发展趋势看，出现第二种可能性最大。
报告认为，2008年辽宁在经济又好又快发展的同时，政治建设、文化建设和社会建设也会有较大发展。
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总报告
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经济篇
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社会篇
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文化篇
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资源环境篇
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