中国区域经济发展报告（2008～2009）
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中文摘要
2008年，在国际经济大环境的影响之下，是我国经济运行出现空前震荡的一年，也是宏观政策适时调整，出台密度最大的一年。2008年下半年，我国经济从多年的平稳、高增长态势一下迈入了一个艰难的发展期。是本年度区域发展历程的一个突出特点。
2006年以来，我国迈入了加入WTO的后过渡期，改革开放步入深化的新阶段。区域经济从“制造大国”转身走向“制造强国”的艰难转型期。世界性金融风暴，对于在经济全球化中迅速崛起的我国来说，已经不可能再隔岸观火，独善其身。从各区域经济运行的情况看，我国的金融体系比较稳健，虽然“海啸”对亚洲新兴市场的金融冲击十分明显，但对我国金融体系的影响并不是很大。然而，其迅速指向我国实体经济，速度之快，几乎没有时间差，却是各区域始料未及的。更值得注意的是，这种对实体经济的冲击波与区域经济转型高度重合，从各区域实体经济的反映看，形势是十分严峻的。这场全球危机对我国，特别是对东、中西部区域经济发生怎样的影响，在这样的大环境下各区域如何应对、求得发展，是本报告2008～2009年的主题。
虽然各区域的应对方式不同，但是有一点具有根本的一致性：各区域对于以上两方面影响的高度重合没有回避，而是“危”中求“机”，抓住了这场危机给传统增长方式布下的难以生存的危局，以科学发展观为指导进行大力度的调整，在环境突变中加快了转型的速度。
本报告是从宏观和微观两个层面透视以上变化的。宏观统计数据反映了2008年全年各区域经济运行方方面面走势，特别是下半年震荡、下行的态势。但是，过程面并非一片暗淡。政府和企业合力“危”中抓“机”，在微观经济体中频频爆发出以自主创新为主轴，迅速启动转型抗“冬寒”的耀眼亮点。可以切实地感受到：在企业的生生死死、起起落落中涌动着改革开放以来又一次大规模产业结构调整、升级，改变发展方式的驱动力量，这种蓬勃而出的活力预示着在这块希望土地上的另一次脱胎换骨。
2008年以下四点变化值得关注：一是经济增长的驱动力布局发生着根本性的变化，从东部带动转向东、中西部共同推动；二是驱动力的多元化，不仅表现为经济增长的布局结构，同时也加速了驱动力本身结构的优化，即从主要依靠出口、投资拉动，转向消费、投资、出口的均衡、协调推动；三是在全球经济寒风中各区域从不同的切入点加快了经济转型的步伐；四是制度改革破冰、深化，为以上艰难的大幅度调整开辟道路、保驾护航。
目前，世界性的金融危机尚未见底，预计2009年对我国实体经济的影响还将持续。但是在各地区积极因地制宜抵御“经济寒冬”的不同对策下，预计不同区域、不同行业的回暖时间表会有明显差异。在国家促内需政策的推动下，四万亿资金的撬动作用已开始显现，钢铁和煤炭行业已经在2009年的初春时节散发出丝丝暖意。
我国是这次世界性金融危机的重要受影响国，但是仔细解读各区域的应对行为和实践，有充分理由相信：中国将率先突围！
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