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日本经济与中日经贸关系研究报告(2016)

书 名: 日本经济与中日经贸关系研究报告(2016)
英 文 名: ANNUAL REPORT ON JAPANESE ECONOMY AND SINO-JAPANESE ECONOMIC & TRADE RELATIONS (2016)
作 者:  刘瑞 叶琳 张季风
I S B N: 978-7-5097-9054-0
丛 书 名: 日本经济蓝皮书 订阅
关 键 词:  日本经济 中日经贸关系 “一带一路” 倡议 走出去战略 2016
出版日期: 2016-05-01

中文摘要

2015年是日本经济波动起伏、举步维艰的一年。由于世界经济下行和安倍经济学失灵的共同作用,实际GDP增长率高开低走,第二季度和第四季度两个季度为负增长,全年也仅仅是0.4%的微弱增长。通缩依旧、消费疲软、设备投资低迷、工资跟不上物价上涨,各种经济难题堆积如山。由于安倍政府将再次提高消费税的时间推迟至2017年4月,加上连续两年增长率较低,2016年度的经济增长可能出现一定反弹。但是,由于消费、投资和出口“三驾马车”都很难跑起来,今后的前景也未必乐观。从中日经济关系来看,由于世界经济、中国经济减速,再加上中日关系改善缓慢等原因,2015年中日双边贸易出现较大幅度负增长,双边相互直接投资也出现少见的大幅下降,双边财政金融合作继续处于停滞状态,中日韩自贸区谈判仍无实质性进展,“政冷经冷”的态势越来越明显。倘若中日政治关系能够进一步改善,2016年的中日经贸合作关系也可能出现一定回暖。

本书虽然以“‘一带一路’建设中的日本因素”为专题,但是,为了保持蓝皮书内容上的连续性,继续保留“日本经济热点追踪”和“中日经贸关系现状与走势”两个栏目,此外还设有“‘一带一路’建设中的中日经济合作与竞争”、“日本经验对‘一带一路’建设的启示”、“‘一带一路’建设对日本经济的影响”和“日本应对‘一带一路’建设的经贸布局”四个栏目。全书以总报告为基础,对日本经济、中日经济关系,特别是围绕“一带一路”建设中的日本因素、日本对“一带一路”倡议的矛盾心理以及搅局等备受关注的问题进行全方位的分析。

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