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蔡 昉
    1956年9月生于北京。现任中国社会科学院副院长、党组成员,曾任中国社会科学院人口与劳动经济研究所所长,博士生导师,研... 详情>>
李培林
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李 扬
    1951年9月出生,籍贯安徽,1981年、1984年、1989年分别于安徽大学、复旦大学、中国人民大学获经济学学士、硕士、博士学位... 详情>>

    2017年前三季度工业运行情况分析及全年工业增速预测

    摘要

    2017年以来国民经济整体运行稳定,1~9月我国规模以上工业增加值同比增长6.7%,增速较上年同期加快0.7个百分点;高技术产业增长13.4%,高于规模以上工业6.7个百分点,较上年同期加快2.8个百分点,增长优势更加凸显,高耗能行业增长缓慢,工业结构调整进一步优化;规模以上工业企业利润同比增长22.8%,增速比1~8月加快1.2个百分点;去产能效果突出。1~9月工业产能利用率为76.6%,同比回升3.5个百分点,为近五年来最高水平。预计,四季度规模以上工业增加值同比增长6.5%左右,全年增长6.6%左右。

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    Abstract

    The national economy has been operating steadily in 2017. The value added of large-scale industrial enterprises year-on-year increased by 6.7% from January to September,an acceleration of 0.7 percentage points from the same period of previous year. The growth rate of high-tech industries was 13.4%,higher than that of the industries above designated size 6.7 percentage point,an acceleration of 2.8 percentage points from the same period of previous year. The high-tech growth was even more prominent,while the high energy-consuming industries was slow. As a result,the industrial structure was further optimized. The profits of industrial enterprises above designated size increased by 22.8% over the same period of last year,accelerating 1.2% percentage points. The reduction effect of excess capacity is outstanding. From January to September,industrial capacity utilization was 76.6%,up 3.5% from the same period of last year,which is the highest level in nearly five years. It is expected that in the fourth quarter above-scale industrial added value growth rate will increase by about 6.5%,and the annual will increase of 6.6%.

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    作者简介
    解三明:解三明,任职于中国工业与信息化部运行监测协调局监测预测处。
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