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| 书 名： | 2019年中国经济前景分析 | ||||
| 英 文 名： | ANALYSIS ON THE PROSPECT OF CHINA’S ECONOMY （2019） | ||||
| 作 者： | 李扬 李平 | ||||
| I S B N： | 978-7-5201-4773-6 | ||||
| 丛 书 名： | 经济蓝皮书春季号 订阅 | ||||
| 关 键 词： | 经济预测 经济发展趋势 研究报告 中国 | ||||
| 出版日期： | 2019-06-01 | ||||
中文摘要
在不确定性因素持续增加的国际背景下，2019年世界经济依然复苏乏力。在“逆全球化”、单边主义导致的多方面经贸摩擦，以及发达经济体政策外溢效应的直接影响下，中国经济总体保持平稳较快增长。虽然依旧面临产能过剩、企业利润率下滑、内需动力不足、金融风险不断积聚等诸多困难，但2019年一季度各项数据明显好于预期，显示我国经济结构继续优化，供给侧改革初现成效。面对各项风险挑战，预计2019年中国经济增长6.4%左右，增速比上年小幅回落，可以实现年初预期6.0%～6.5%的经济增长目标。预计2019年就业基本保持稳定，居民消费价格上涨1.9%；工业品出厂价格上涨0.1%。2019年应进一步深化改革，积极培育壮大经济增长新动能，努力促进形成强大国内市场，加快消费升级助推经济高质量发展。把握消费升级大趋势，克服一系列制约消费升级的瓶颈，促进形成强大国内市场；以消费结构变革为契机，推动产业结构转型升级，以满足人民群众美好生活需要为出发点，全面提升产品和服务质量；加快构建现代产业体系，推动供给侧改革与消费升级良性互动，形成可持续的市场动能。不断优化财政政策，促进企业效益提升和激发市场潜在活力。同时发挥稳健货币政策和宏观审慎政策的逆周期作用，坚持疏堵并举，有效防控地方政府隐性债务风险。
文章列表
2019年，在世界经济复苏乏力、“逆全球化”思潮和经贸摩擦持续、发达经济体政策外溢效应变数和不确定性因素增加的国际背景下，虽然面临国内产能过剩、企业利润率下滑、内需动力不足、金融风险不断积聚等诸多困难，但我国经济总体保持平稳较快增长，经济结构继续优化，就业基本保持稳定。2019年，从政策上要加快消费升级，助推经济高质量发展；优化财政政策，促进企业效益提升和激发市场潜在活力；发挥稳健货币政策和宏观审慎政策的逆周期作用；坚持疏堵并举，有效防控地方政府隐性债务风险。
,AbstractEN:,KeyWords:4541,6676,194682,2786,EKeyWords:20147,24942,490118,2787,SubjectWords:,LiteratureId:10905547,Fileref:null,OrderFlag:0,IsLeaf:N,PubDate:null,FindDate:null,IssueDate:null,DocType:null,ProductSeries:null,Doi:null,InstanceID:0,MinNodeSearch:Y,XmlID:b120190501X20193871001_000_001,Prop1:null,Prop2:null,Prop3:null,prop4:null,AddUser:jiangshan,AddTime:2019-06-03 16:48:47.0,ModifyUser:Admin,ModifyTime:2023-11-06 17:01:57.0,HitCount:123,ShowType:putong,LogoID:0,PdfID:10905549,DownCount:53,AuthorInfos:{"\u201C中国经济形势分析与预测\u201D课题组":{"Address":"","Affiliation":"","Email":"","Role":null,"Photo":null,"Blurb":"课题总负责人：李扬；执行负责人：李平、李雪松；执笔人：李平、娄峰、樊明太、万相昱、张涛、李文军、张延群、胡洁；参加起草讨论的还有蒋金荷、冯烽、程远、左鹏飞等。
"}},BookPublishDate:2019-06-01 00:00:00.0,SearchTitle:中国经济形势分析与预测——2019年春季报告,ISBN:978-7-5201-4773-6,BookTitle:2019年中国经济前景分析,BookStatus:7,AllowDownload:Y,BookVersionNum:null,researchorg:null,CopyRightDate:null,ExcellentPeriod:null,PrizeLevel:null,IsExcellence:null,ContentClass:null,IsDisabled:N,SearchTitle_2:中国经济形势分析与预测——2019年春季报告,_RowNo:62017年4月以来的本轮经济景气收缩将在2019年上半年结束，下降幅度相对较小。2019年经济景气在“偏冷”区间可能呈现先降后稳、稳中有升的走势，预测2019年GDP增长6.3%～6.4%，CPI上涨2%左右。经济和物价周期波动将继续呈现新常态下的“微波化”特征。
,AbstractEN:The current economic contraction since April 2017 will end in the first half of 2019，with a relatively small decline. In 2019，the economic boom may show a trend of first falling，then stable，steady and rising. It is predicted that GDP growth will be 6.3% to 6.4% in 2019，and CPI will increase by about 2%. Economic and price cycle volatility will continue to show the “microwave” characteristics of the new normal.
,KeyWords:5692,31237,69366,EKeyWords:27111,25679,194954,SubjectWords:,LiteratureId:10905550,Fileref:null,OrderFlag:0,IsLeaf:N,PubDate:null,FindDate:null,IssueDate:null,DocType:null,ProductSeries:null,Doi:null,InstanceID:0,MinNodeSearch:Y,XmlID:b120190501X20193871001_000_002,Prop1:null,Prop2:null,Prop3:null,prop4:null,AddUser:jiangshan,AddTime:2019-06-03 16:48:47.0,ModifyUser:Admin,ModifyTime:2023-11-06 17:01:57.0,HitCount:63,ShowType:putong,LogoID:0,PdfID:10905552,DownCount:34,AuthorInfos:{"陈磊":{"Address":"","Affiliation":"","Email":"","Role":null,"Photo":null,"Blurb":"陈磊，东北财经大学经济学院教授，经济学院副院长。
"},"孟勇刚":{"Address":"","Affiliation":"","Email":"","Role":null,"Photo":null,"Blurb":"孟勇刚，东北财经大学经济学院博士研究生。
"},"王琳琳":{"Address":"","Affiliation":"","Email":"","Role":null,"Photo":null,"Blurb":"王琳琳，东北财经大学经济学院博士研究生。
"},"Chen Lei":{"Address":"","Affiliation":"","Email":"","Role":null,"Photo":"","Blurb":""},"Meng Yonggang":{"Address":"","Affiliation":"","Email":"","Role":null,"Photo":"","Blurb":""},"Wang Linlin":{"Address":"","Affiliation":"","Email":"","Role":null,"Photo":"","Blurb":""}},BookPublishDate:2019-06-01 00:00:00.0,SearchTitle:2019年经济景气形势分析与预测,ISBN:978-7-5201-4773-6,BookTitle:2019年中国经济前景分析,BookStatus:7,AllowDownload:Y,BookVersionNum:null,researchorg:null,CopyRightDate:null,ExcellentPeriod:null,PrizeLevel:null,IsExcellence:null,ContentClass:null,IsDisabled:N,SearchTitle_2:2019年经济景气形势分析与预测,_RowNo:72018年中国工业投资增速回升，高技术制造业加快增长，但国际环境不稳定、不确定因素更加明显。中国工业发展呈现结构优化、整体趋稳，但面临各方挑战，既包括工业企业经济效益回落，也包括工业企业营运能力下降、回款难度增大、汽车行业增长显著放缓等。中国工业经济发展应充分体现短期应对与中长期改革发展相结合思想，一方面扩需求，努力实现工业经济平稳增长，另一方面继续保持战略定力和战略耐心，深化供给侧结构性改革，全力推动工业经济高质量发展。
,AbstractEN:China’s industrial investment growth rate rebounded in 2018，and high-tech manufacturing industry accelerated growth. In the face of the unstable international environment and the more obvious uncertainties，China’s industrial development has undergone structural optimization and overall stability. However，we should also see challenges from all sides，such as the decline in economic returns of industrial enterprises，the decline in the operational capacity of industrial enterprises，and the difficulty of returning funds. At the same time，the slowdown in the growth of the automobile industry is worthy of attention. China’s industrial economic development should fully reflect the combination of “short-term response and medium-and long-term reform and development”. On the one hand，we will expand demand and strive to achieve steady growth of the industrial economy. On the other hand，we will continue to maintain strategic and strategic patience and deepen the supply-side structure. Reform and make every effort to promote the high-quality development of the industrial economy.
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"},"张航燕":{"Address":"","Affiliation":"","Email":"","Role":null,"Photo":null,"Blurb":"张航燕，中国社会科学院工业经济研究所助理研究员。
"},"Huang Qunhui":{"Address":"","Affiliation":"","Email":"","Role":null,"Photo":"","Blurb":""},"Zhang Hangyan":{"Address":"","Affiliation":"","Email":"","Role":null,"Photo":"","Blurb":""}},BookPublishDate:2019-06-01 00:00:00.0,SearchTitle:变中求稳的中国工业经济——2018年工业经济运行分析与2019年展望,ISBN:978-7-5201-4773-6,BookTitle:2019年中国经济前景分析,BookStatus:7,AllowDownload:Y,BookVersionNum:null,researchorg:null,CopyRightDate:null,ExcellentPeriod:null,PrizeLevel:null,IsExcellence:null,ContentClass:null,IsDisabled:N,SearchTitle_2:变中求稳的中国工业经济——2018年工业经济运行分析与2019年展望,_RowNo:82018年货币政策发挥宏观审慎评估（MPA）的逆周期调节作用，支持符合条件的表外资产回表，引导金融机构加大对实体经济尤其是小微企业等薄弱环节的支持力度；实施民营企业债券融资支持工具，研究设立民营企业股权融资的支持工具，缓解股权质押的风险，稳定和促进其股权融资；针对金融中介的再贷款、再贴现、抵押补充贷款等规模持续放量。整体来看，2018年呈现双支柱松紧搭配，宽货币对冲紧信用的形势。2019年政策将着力疏导“宽货币”向“宽信用”转变，警惕金融周期回落阶段房地产、信贷螺旋式下降风险。
,AbstractEN:In 2018，monetary policy played a counter-cyclical adjustment role of macro-prudential assessment （MPA），supported the return of eligible off-balance-sheet assets，and guided financial institutions to increase support for the weak links of the real economy，especially small and micro enterprises；Implementing private enterprise bond financing support tools，researching and setting up support tools for private enterprise equity financing，alleviating the risk of equity pledge，stabilizing and promoting its equity financing；“re-loaning，rediscounting” and mortgage supplementary loans for financial intermediaries，the scale continues Heavy volume. In 2018，the overall appearance of the two pillars is tightly matched，and the “wide currency” hedges the situation of “tight credit”. In 2019，the policy will focus on channeling “wide currency” to “wide credit” and be alert to the spiraling downside risks of real estate and credit during the financial cycle.
,KeyWords:5661,487430,487431,487432,EKeyWords:5664,487433,487434,487435,SubjectWords:,LiteratureId:10905559,Fileref:null,OrderFlag:0,IsLeaf:N,PubDate:null,FindDate:null,IssueDate:null,DocType:null,ProductSeries:null,Doi:null,InstanceID:0,MinNodeSearch:Y,XmlID:b120190501X20193871001_000_005,Prop1:null,Prop2:null,Prop3:null,prop4:null,AddUser:jiangshan,AddTime:2019-06-03 16:48:51.0,ModifyUser:Admin,ModifyTime:2023-11-06 17:01:57.0,HitCount:36,ShowType:putong,LogoID:0,PdfID:10905561,DownCount:25,AuthorInfos:{"何德旭":{"Address":"","Affiliation":"","Email":"","Role":null,"Photo":null,"Blurb":"何德旭，中国社会科学院财经战略研究院院长，研究员，博士生导师。
"},"张捷":{"Address":"","Affiliation":"","Email":"","Role":null,"Photo":null,"Blurb":"张捷，国泰君安研究所宏观分析师。
"},"He Dexu":{"Address":"","Affiliation":"","Email":"","Role":null,"Photo":"","Blurb":""},"Zhang Jie":{"Address":"","Affiliation":"","Email":"","Role":null,"Photo":"","Blurb":""}},BookPublishDate:2019-06-01 00:00:00.0,SearchTitle:货币政策多目标均衡与中央银行资产负债表策略,ISBN:978-7-5201-4773-6,BookTitle:2019年中国经济前景分析,BookStatus:7,AllowDownload:Y,BookVersionNum:null,researchorg:null,CopyRightDate:null,ExcellentPeriod:null,PrizeLevel:null,IsExcellence:null,ContentClass:null,IsDisabled:N,SearchTitle_2:货币政策多目标均衡与中央银行资产负债表策略,_RowNo:9十九大报告提出，中国特色社会主义进入新时代，我国社会主要矛盾已经转化为人民日益增长的美好生活需要和不平衡不充分的发展之间的矛盾。如何实现消费结构升级和缩小城乡消费差距是解决我国社会主要矛盾的重要组成部分。十九大以来，我国城乡居民收入水平和生活水平有了显著的提高，居民消费占GDP的比重不断上升，城乡居民的消费结构明显改善。移动互联网消费、耐用品消费以及追求健康享受的消费潜力进一步释放。随之而来的是，产业结构和消费结构错配、区域经济失衡与经济发展不充分带来的对消费结构升级的制约越来越明显。在新时代新矛盾背景下，我们需要从以下四个方面促进我国消费结构不断升级：实施消费成长战略政策，提高居民消费水平；协调发展城乡消费市场，改善区域消费结构；建设国际消费中心，构建开放市场环境；创新发展新兴产业，提倡新兴消费。
,AbstractEN:The report of the 19th National Congress of the Communist Party of China pointed out that socialism with Chinese characteristics has entered a new era，and the main contradictions in our society have been transformed into contradictions between the people’s growing needs for a better life and the development of inadequate and unbalanced development. How to achieve the upgrading of consumption structure and reduce the gap between urban and rural consumption is an important part of solving the main contradictions in our society. Since the 19th National Congress，the income level and living standard of urban and rural residents in China have been significantly improved. The proportion of household consumption to GDP will continue to rise，and the consumption structure of urban and rural residents will be significantly improved. The mobile Internet consumption，durable goods consumption and the consumption potential of pursuing healthy enjoyment are further released. Along with this，the constraints on industrial structure and consumption structure mismatch，regional economic imbalances and inadequate economic development are increasingly constraining the upgrading of consumption structure. Under the background of new era and new contradictions，we need to promote the continuous upgrading of China’s consumption structure from the following four aspects：implementing the consumption growth strategy and policies，improving the consumption level of residents；coordinating the development of urban and rural consumer markets，improving the regional consumption structure；building an international consumption center and building an open Market environment；innovation and development of emerging industries，promoting emerging consumption.
,KeyWords:102913,386691,35665,25748,69013,EKeyWords:102915,487436,38242,103745,70941,SubjectWords:,LiteratureId:10905562,Fileref:null,OrderFlag:0,IsLeaf:N,PubDate:null,FindDate:null,IssueDate:null,DocType:null,ProductSeries:null,Doi:null,InstanceID:0,MinNodeSearch:Y,XmlID:b120190501X20193871001_000_006,Prop1:null,Prop2:null,Prop3:null,prop4:null,AddUser:jiangshan,AddTime:2019-06-03 16:48:51.0,ModifyUser:Admin,ModifyTime:2023-11-06 17:01:57.0,HitCount:85,ShowType:putong,LogoID:0,PdfID:10905564,DownCount:60,AuthorInfos:{"宣烨":{"Address":"","Affiliation":"","Email":"","Role":null,"Photo":null,"Blurb":"宣烨，南京财经大学国际经贸学院院长、校首席教授，主要研究方向为区域经济、服务经济等。
"},"余泳泽":{"Address":"","Affiliation":"","Email":"","Role":null,"Photo":null,"Blurb":"余泳泽，南京财经大学国际经贸学院副院长，主要研究方向为技术创新与产业转型升级。
"},"陈启斐":{"Address":"","Affiliation":"","Email":"","Role":null,"Photo":null,"Blurb":"陈启斐，博士，南京财经大学国际经贸学院副教授，研究方向为服务经济。
"},"张莉":{"Address":"","Affiliation":"","Email":"","Role":null,"Photo":null,"Blurb":"张莉，博士，南京财经大学国际经贸学院副教授，研究方向为宏观经济。
"},"Xuan Ye":{"Address":"","Affiliation":"","Email":"","Role":null,"Photo":"","Blurb":""},"Yu Yongze":{"Address":"","Affiliation":"","Email":"","Role":null,"Photo":"","Blurb":""},"Chen Qifei":{"Address":"","Affiliation":"","Email":"","Role":null,"Photo":"","Blurb":""},"Zhang Li":{"Address":"","Affiliation":"","Email":"","Role":null,"Photo":"","Blurb":""}},BookPublishDate:2019-06-01 00:00:00.0,SearchTitle:2019年中国消费结构变化及政策取向,ISBN:978-7-5201-4773-6,BookTitle:2019年中国经济前景分析,BookStatus:7,AllowDownload:Y,BookVersionNum:null,researchorg:null,CopyRightDate:null,ExcellentPeriod:null,PrizeLevel:null,IsExcellence:null,ContentClass:null,IsDisabled:N,SearchTitle_2:2019年中国消费结构变化及政策取向,_RowNo:102018年，全国CPI温和上涨，呈“M”形走势，处于物价调控目标以内；上游工业品价格快速回落，带动PPI涨幅显著回落。综合考虑翘尾因素变化、经济需求走势、政策调整等因素，预计2019年全国物价总水平将呈现稳中趋降态势，其中，CPI或上涨1.6%，涨幅较上年收窄0.5个百分点；PPI或由涨转跌至-0.2%。
,AbstractEN:In 2018，the national CPI rose moderately，showing an “M” trend，which was within the target of price control；the price of upstream industrial products fell rapidly，driving the PPI to rise significantly. Considering factors such as changes in hikes，trends in economic demand，and policy adjustments，it is expected that the overall price level of the country will show a steady decline in 2019. Among them，the CPI will increase by 1.6%，which is 0.5 percentage points lower than the previous year；PPI Or from the ups and downs to -0.2%.
,KeyWords:3650,68659,394278,71612,EKeyWords:25651,469085,463139,5665,SubjectWords:,LiteratureId:10905565,Fileref:null,OrderFlag:0,IsLeaf:N,PubDate:null,FindDate:null,IssueDate:null,DocType:null,ProductSeries:null,Doi:null,InstanceID:0,MinNodeSearch:Y,XmlID:b120190501X20193871001_000_007,Prop1:null,Prop2:null,Prop3:null,prop4:null,AddUser:jiangshan,AddTime:2019-06-03 16:48:52.0,ModifyUser:Admin,ModifyTime:2023-11-06 17:01:57.0,HitCount:43,ShowType:putong,LogoID:0,PdfID:10905567,DownCount:23,AuthorInfos:{"郭路":{"Address":"","Affiliation":"","Email":"","Role":null,"Photo":null,"Blurb":"郭路，供职于国家信息中心中经网。
"},"任会":{"Address":"","Affiliation":"","Email":"","Role":null,"Photo":null,"Blurb":"任会，供职于国家信息中心中经网。
"},"马敏":{"Address":"","Affiliation":"","Email":"","Role":null,"Photo":null,"Blurb":"马敏，供职于国家信息中心中经网。
"},"Guo Lu":{"Address":"","Affiliation":"","Email":"","Role":null,"Photo":"","Blurb":""},"Ren Hui":{"Address":"","Affiliation":"","Email":"","Role":null,"Photo":"","Blurb":""},"Ma Min":{"Address":"","Affiliation":"","Email":"","Role":null,"Photo":"","Blurb":""}},BookPublishDate:2019-06-01 00:00:00.0,SearchTitle:全国物价运行特点回顾及2019年分析展望,ISBN:978-7-5201-4773-6,BookTitle:2019年中国经济前景分析,BookStatus:7,AllowDownload:Y,BookVersionNum:null,researchorg:null,CopyRightDate:null,ExcellentPeriod:null,PrizeLevel:null,IsExcellence:null,ContentClass:null,IsDisabled:N,SearchTitle_2:全国物价运行特点回顾及2019年分析展望,_RowNo:112018年，中国外贸继续实现较快增长，结构持续优化，质量和效益进一步提高，为外贸高质量发展奠定基础。2019年，尽管外部环境不稳定、不确定因素较多，中国外贸仍将继续稳中提质。
,AbstractEN:In 2018，China’s foreign trade continued to achieve rapid growth，the structure continued to be optimized，and the quality and efficiency were further improved，laying a foundation for the high-quality development of foreign trade. In 2019，despite the uncertainties in the external environment，China’s foreign trade will continue to improve.
,KeyWords:2705,487437,27487,367129,EKeyWords:2706,487438,27502,487439,SubjectWords:,LiteratureId:10905568,Fileref:null,OrderFlag:0,IsLeaf:N,PubDate:null,FindDate:null,IssueDate:null,DocType:null,ProductSeries:null,Doi:null,InstanceID:0,MinNodeSearch:Y,XmlID:b120190501X20193871001_000_008,Prop1:null,Prop2:null,Prop3:null,prop4:null,AddUser:jiangshan,AddTime:2019-06-03 16:48:53.0,ModifyUser:Admin,ModifyTime:2023-11-06 17:01:57.0,HitCount:60,ShowType:putong,LogoID:0,PdfID:10905570,DownCount:40,AuthorInfos:{"刘建颖":{"Address":"","Affiliation":"","Email":"","Role":null,"Photo":null,"Blurb":"刘建颖，商务部研究院副研究员，经济学博士。
"},"金柏松":{"Address":"","Affiliation":"","Email":"","Role":null,"Photo":null,"Blurb":"金柏松，教授，商务部研究院研究员。
"},"Liu Jianying":{"Address":"","Affiliation":"","Email":"","Role":null,"Photo":"","Blurb":""},"Jin Bosong":{"Address":"","Affiliation":"","Email":"","Role":null,"Photo":"","Blurb":""}},BookPublishDate:2019-06-01 00:00:00.0,SearchTitle:2019年中国对外贸易形势展望——踏上贸易强国之路,ISBN:978-7-5201-4773-6,BookTitle:2019年中国经济前景分析,BookStatus:7,AllowDownload:Y,BookVersionNum:null,researchorg:null,CopyRightDate:null,ExcellentPeriod:null,PrizeLevel:null,IsExcellence:null,ContentClass:null,IsDisabled:N,SearchTitle_2:2019年中国对外贸易形势展望——踏上贸易强国之路,_RowNo:12近年来，我国科技创新取得了巨大成绩，科技创新总量居世界前列。我国研发人员投入量居世界首位，专利申请量和授权量连续两年居世界第一位，研发投入连续五年居世界第二位，企业已成为研发投入主体。但同时，我国仍然存在关键核心技术依赖进口、企业创新能力不足、科研成果转化率低等一系列问题，需要继续加大研发投入，提高科技成果产出质量，增强自主创新能力，注重创新生态体系建设，促进我国科技创新取得更大突破，为建设科技强国打下良好基础。
,AbstractEN:In recent years，China’s scientific and technological innovation has made great achievements，and the total amount of scientific and technological innovation ranks among the top in the world. The number of R&D personnel in China ranks first in the world. The number of patent applications and authorizations ranks first in the world for two consecutive years. R&D investment ranks second in the world for five consecutive years，and enterprises have become the mainstay of R&D investment. At the same time，however，China still has a series of problems in which key core technologies rely on imports，insufficient innovation capacity of enterprises，and low conversion rate of scientific research achievements. We need to continue to increase investment in research and development，improve the quality of scientific and technological achievements，enhance the capacity for independent innovation，and focus on innovation and ecology. The system construction will promote greater breakthroughs in China’s scientific and technological innovation and lay a good foundation for building a strong country in science and technology.
,KeyWords:4881,138192,67257,4206,EKeyWords:27137,487440,71075,33082,SubjectWords:,LiteratureId:10905573,Fileref:null,OrderFlag:0,IsLeaf:N,PubDate:null,FindDate:null,IssueDate:null,DocType:null,ProductSeries:null,Doi:null,InstanceID:0,MinNodeSearch:Y,XmlID:b120190501X20193871001_000_009,Prop1:null,Prop2:null,Prop3:null,prop4:null,AddUser:jiangshan,AddTime:2019-06-03 16:48:54.0,ModifyUser:Admin,ModifyTime:2023-11-06 17:01:57.0,HitCount:283,ShowType:putong,LogoID:0,PdfID:10905575,DownCount:79,AuthorInfos:{"吴滨":{"Address":"","Affiliation":"","Email":"","Role":null,"Photo":null,"Blurb":"吴滨，中国社会科学院数量经济与技术经济研究所技术经济理论方法研究室主任，研究员。
"},"韦结余":{"Address":"","Affiliation":"","Email":"","Role":null,"Photo":null,"Blurb":"韦结余，中国社会科学院数量经济与技术经济研究所技术经济理论方法研究室助理研究员。
"},"Wu Bin":{"Address":"","Affiliation":"","Email":"","Role":null,"Photo":"","Blurb":""},"Wei Jieyu":{"Address":"","Affiliation":"","Email":"","Role":null,"Photo":"","Blurb":""}},BookPublishDate:2019-06-01 00:00:00.0,SearchTitle:中国科技创新的现状与趋势分析,ISBN:978-7-5201-4773-6,BookTitle:2019年中国经济前景分析,BookStatus:7,AllowDownload:Y,BookVersionNum:null,researchorg:null,CopyRightDate:null,ExcellentPeriod:null,PrizeLevel:null,IsExcellence:null,ContentClass:null,IsDisabled:N,SearchTitle_2:中国科技创新的现状与趋势分析,_RowNo:13本报告从中国文化产业发展历史和现状入手，分析了文化产业经济和税收在整个国民经济和全部税收中的地位及作用，特别是对文化产业进行了税负、财政投入和文化消费等不同层面的分析。并根据当前和未来中国文化产业发展水平和前景，认真总结和梳理了中国文化产业税收政策历史和现状，客观地指出了文化产业税收政策存在的主要问题，建设性地提出了完善中国文化产业税收政策的若干建议。
,AbstractEN:This report starts with the history and current situation of Chinese cultural industry development，and analyzes the status and role of cultural industry economy and taxation in the entire national economy and all taxation，especially the taxation，financial input and cultural consumption of cultural industries. Level analysis. According to the current and future development level and prospects of Chinese cultural industry，it carefully summarizes and sorts out the history and current situation of China’s cultural industry tax policy，objectively points out the main problems of the cultural industry tax policy，and constructively proposes to improve the taxation of Chinese cultural industry. Several recommendations of the policy.
,KeyWords:36565,7019,68490,EKeyWords:36566,4818,487441,SubjectWords:,LiteratureId:10905576,Fileref:null,OrderFlag:0,IsLeaf:N,PubDate:null,FindDate:null,IssueDate:null,DocType:null,ProductSeries:null,Doi:null,InstanceID:0,MinNodeSearch:Y,XmlID:b120190501X20193871001_000_010,Prop1:null,Prop2:null,Prop3:null,prop4:null,AddUser:jiangshan,AddTime:2019-06-03 16:48:55.0,ModifyUser:Admin,ModifyTime:2023-11-06 17:01:57.0,HitCount:65,ShowType:putong,LogoID:0,PdfID:10905578,DownCount:25,AuthorInfos:{"付广军":{"Address":"","Affiliation":"","Email":"","Role":null,"Photo":null,"Blurb":"付广军，国家税务总局税收科学研究所研究员，中安联合博士后工作站博士后导师，民建中央财政金融委员会副主任。
"},"李为人":{"Address":"","Affiliation":"","Email":"","Role":null,"Photo":null,"Blurb":"李为人，中国社会科学院大学公共政策与管理学院副院长，副教授。
"},"Fu Guangjun":{"Address":"","Affiliation":"","Email":"","Role":null,"Photo":"","Blurb":""},"Li Weiren":{"Address":"","Affiliation":"","Email":"","Role":null,"Photo":"","Blurb":""}},BookPublishDate:2019-06-01 00:00:00.0,SearchTitle:当前的税收政策分析——以中国文化产业发展为例,ISBN:978-7-5201-4773-6,BookTitle:2019年中国经济前景分析,BookStatus:7,AllowDownload:Y,BookVersionNum:null,researchorg:null,CopyRightDate:null,ExcellentPeriod:null,PrizeLevel:null,IsExcellence:null,ContentClass:null,IsDisabled:N,SearchTitle_2:当前的税收政策分析——以中国文化产业发展为例,_RowNo:142018年，在全球经济不确定性日益增强、经济下行压力加大等诸多不利因素影响下，中国数字经济持续保持高速增长。数字经济已经成为我国发展速度快、创新活跃、带动性强的重要经济领域之一。党的十九大对建设网络强国、数字中国和智慧社会做出了重要的战略部署，提出“推动互联网、大数据、人工智能和实体经济深度融合”，培育新的增长点、形成新动能。在当前国际形势下，发展数字经济对于推动我国经济由高速增长阶段转向高质量发展阶段，争夺下一轮科技革命制高点而言意义尤为重大。
,AbstractEN:China’s digital economy continued to maintain rapid growth in 2019. The digital economy has become one of the important economic fields in China with rapid development，active innovation and strong driving force. The 19th National Congress of the Communist Party of China has made important strategic arrangements for the construction of “network power，digital China and smart society”，and proposed to promote theInternet，big data，artificial intelligence and deep integration of the real economy “Internet +”，and constantly cultivate new growth points.，the formation of new kinetic energy. Under the current international situation，the development of the digital economy has played a significant role in promoting China’s economy from a high-speed growth stage to a high-quality development stage，and is particularly significant in competing for the next round of the technological revolution.
,KeyWords:74593,467591,297753,60090,EKeyWords:173799,487442,306243,36511,SubjectWords:,LiteratureId:10905579,Fileref:null,OrderFlag:0,IsLeaf:N,PubDate:null,FindDate:null,IssueDate:null,DocType:null,ProductSeries:null,Doi:null,InstanceID:0,MinNodeSearch:Y,XmlID:b120190501X20193871001_000_011,Prop1:null,Prop2:null,Prop3:null,prop4:null,AddUser:jiangshan,AddTime:2019-06-03 16:48:56.0,ModifyUser:Admin,ModifyTime:2023-11-06 17:01:57.0,HitCount:118,ShowType:putong,LogoID:0,PdfID:10905581,DownCount:62,AuthorInfos:{"叶秀敏":{"Address":"","Affiliation":"","Email":"","Role":null,"Photo":null,"Blurb":"叶秀敏，任职于中国社会科学院数量经济与技术经济研究所网络经济研究室。
"},"Ye Xiumin":{"Address":"","Affiliation":"","Email":"","Role":null,"Photo":"","Blurb":""}},BookPublishDate:2019-06-01 00:00:00.0,SearchTitle:2019年中国数字经济发展现状与展望,ISBN:978-7-5201-4773-6,BookTitle:2019年中国经济前景分析,BookStatus:7,AllowDownload:Y,BookVersionNum:null,researchorg:null,CopyRightDate:null,ExcellentPeriod:null,PrizeLevel:null,IsExcellence:null,ContentClass:null,IsDisabled:N,SearchTitle_2:2019年中国数字经济发展现状与展望,_RowNo:15
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