2020年辽宁经济社会形势分析与预测
书 名： 2020年辽宁经济社会形势分析与预测
英 文 名： ANALYSIS AND FORECAST OF ECONOMY AND SOCIETY OF LIAONING （2020）
作 者： 梁启东 王磊 张天维 王丹
I S B N： 978-7-5201-6619-5
丛 书 名：
辽宁蓝皮书
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关 键 词： 区域经济 经济分析 社会分析 经济预测 社会预测 辽宁
出版日期： 2020-08-01
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中文摘要
《2020年辽宁经济社会形势分析与预测》（以下简称《2020年辽宁蓝皮书》）是辽宁社会科学院连续推出的第25本有关辽宁省经济社会形势分析的年度性研究报告。全书分为总报告、经济运行篇、产业发展篇、民生改善篇、乡村振兴篇、创新发展篇和附录七个部分，由辽宁社会科学院有关专家，以及省直有关部门、大专院校的学者历经1年有余研创而成。《2020年辽宁蓝皮书》使用的数据是2019年整个年度的数据。《2020年辽宁蓝皮书》依然突出对辽宁经济社会发展中热点、难点和关键问题的分析和预测，而且更加重视研究数据的完整性、连续性。
2019年，面对复杂严峻的国际环境和艰巨繁重的改革稳定任务，全省经济社会平稳健康发展，主要体现在工业生产平稳增长、固定资产投资略有增加、消费市场平稳运行、外贸外资保持稳定发展、产业结构优化提升、新旧动能加快转换、三大攻坚战取得关键进展、城乡区域协调发展取得新成效等方面。与此同时，全省社会形势稳定，社会运行和发展态势良好，城乡居民获得感持续提升。社会发展中呈现“六大亮点”——居民生活水平再上新台阶；脱贫攻坚取得决定性胜利；就业形势稳中有优，服务业成为就业最大“蓄水池”；医疗服务可及性水平显著提高，百姓“看病难”问题明显缓解；贫困群体享有更全面保障；基层社会治理模式不断创新。
本书发现，2019年辽宁经济问题仍较严峻，主要体现在“三驾马车”同时疲软，经济景气程度出现回落；经济总量占全国的比重不断下降，在全国排名仍存下滑可能；产业层次较低，研发投入不足；经济领域融资渠道窄，体制短板难以弥补；创新创业创造氛围不浓，区域创新能力不强；进出口贸易额较低，开放合作存在短板等方面。在社会发展领域，辽宁依然存在居民收入差距较大、人口老龄化形势严峻、养老服务供给能力不足以及共建共治共享的社会治理格局尚需完善等问题。
本书提出，2020年辽宁经济社会发展的内外部环境更趋于复杂，受新冠肺炎疫情等因素影响，经济下行压力加大。为此，辽宁应积极借鉴和学习国内外成功经验；深入推进市场化改革，尽快破除旧体制束缚；深入实施创新驱动战略，加快振兴实体经济；发挥比较优势，推动区域经济协调发展；重视和善待人才。受经济下行压力加大、新冠肺炎疫情暴发等诸多负面因素影响，辽宁社会建设中将面临社会治理现代化、就业和社会保障三大压力。今后辽宁要重点做好壮大中等收入群体、积极拓宽就业渠道、增加养老服务供给、构建社会治理共同体、健全生育政策调控机制等方面的工作。
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