甘肃经济发展分析与预测（2021）
书 名： 甘肃经济发展分析与预测（2021）
英 文 名： ANALYSIS AND FORECAST ON ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT OF GANSU （2021）
作 者： 安文华 王晓芳
I S B N： 978-7-5201-7727-6
丛 书 名：
甘肃蓝皮书
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关 键 词： 区域经济 经济分析 经济预测 甘肃
出版日期： 2021-01-01
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中文摘要
2020年，甘肃省全面落实党中央“六稳”“六保”重大决策部署，立足“五个坚持”，即坚持稳中求进总基调，坚持双循环新发展理念，坚持以供给侧改革为主线，坚持推动高质量发展，坚持打好三大攻坚战，统筹推进疫情防控和经济社会发展各项工作，精准打好政策组合拳，加速推进经济运行循环畅通，经济总体运行稳中向好，经济韧性增强，经济基础更加稳固。全书重点研究了甘肃经济运行、发展规划、产业发展、投入产出及重大专题等，分析和总结了2020年甘肃经济发展现状和问题，预测和展望了2021年甘肃经济发展走势与前景，并针对现状、问题、发展目标提出了理论与实践相结合的应用对策建议。
《甘肃经济发展分析与预测（2021）》共分总报告、发展规划篇、产业篇、投入产出篇、专题篇五大部分14个专题。总报告分析了2020年甘肃农业、工业、服务业、投资、消费、进出口、财政金融等主要指标变化状况，指出了甘肃在双循环新发展格局中还面临五大短板，还需着力“六个瞄准”，积极推进经济进一步复苏并步入高质量发展轨道。发展规划篇主要针对甘肃“十四五”时期经济发展重点任务，融入“一带一路”抢占技术制高点、生态制高点等重大问题进行了理论探索和相应的比较研究。产业篇主要针对甘肃农业和农村经济、工业经济、服务业、“十大生态产业”中的中医中药产业、上市公司中涉农企业发展等方面，进行深度调查分析，提出了促进发展相关产业的理论对策。投入产出篇主要就固定资产投资和城乡居民收入进行了分析与预测。专题篇主要针对甘肃黄河流域生态治理和高质量发展、兰白国家自创区发展、榆中生态创新城建设等进行了研究。
《甘肃经济发展分析与预测（2021）》认为，2020年甘肃粮食及六大特色产业稳定增长，“甘味”农产品线上销售趋旺；工业增加值增速全国领先，工业发展新动能持续增强；服务业恢复性增长，快递业高速增长；固定资产投资继续保持稳步回升态势，民间投资加速回暖；社会消费品零售总额增长受阻，扩大内需仍是经济发展的首要任务；对外贸易环境结构发生变化，增强出口新动能日益迫切；财政收支同比下降，民生支出比例显著提高；各项贷款增长继续放缓，个人存款增速大幅度提高。本报告针对2020年经济运行状况，结合“十四五”发展要求和双循环新发展理念，分析预测了2021年甘肃主要经济发展指标，并提出了相应的理论对策建议。
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