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北京经济发展报告(2020~2021)

书 名: 北京经济发展报告(2020~2021)
英 文 名: ANNUAL REPORT ON ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT OF BEIJING (2020-2021)
作 者:  杨松 唐勇 邓丽姝
I S B N: 978-7-5201-8195-2
丛 书 名: 北京蓝皮书 订阅
关 键 词:  区域经济发展 地方经济 北京
出版日期: 2021-04-01

中文摘要

《北京经济发展报告(2020~2021)》是以北京市社会科学院经济所的研究人员为核心团队成员,吸收政府部门、科研机构、高等院校及相关咨询公司等各方面专家、学者共同撰写的关于北京市经济形势分析与预测的年度研究报告。

《北京经济发展报告(2020~2021)》对2020年北京市经济发展的整体形势进行了系统性的分析与回顾,特别关注了2020年新冠肺炎疫情对北京2021年经济形势及文化等领域的影响;本报告聚焦北京市经济社会发展中的全局性、战略性和关键领域的重点问题,运用定量和定性分析相结合的方法,对北京市经济社会发展的现状、问题、成因进行了深入分析,提出了可操作性的对策建议。

《北京经济发展报告(2020~2021)》分为总报告、宏观经济篇、战略分析篇、产业发展篇、财政金融篇和区域发展篇。从内容看,对2021年北京经济形势、财政金融形势及重点任务等进行了展望、预测和分析,特别聚焦国际消费中心城市建设、首都数字经济发展、大兴国际机场临空经济区和自贸区建设、生态文明建设、信息产业、文化产业、人工智能产业、滑雪产业、京津冀产业协同发展、城镇化发展、北京经济技术开发区产业发展、中关村新一轮先行先试政策等重点热点问题,进行了深入的研究和分析。

总报告是本书的核心内容。总报告共分四个部分:第一部分主要分析了当前外部经济形势及趋势;第二部分主要是对2020年北京经济发展情况进行了回顾与总结;第三部分对研发投入促进北京科技创新进行了实证研究;第四部分对北京2021年经济形势进行了预测和展望。

本报告预测,2021年全年北京全社会固定资产投资将同比增长6.3%,保持快速增长态势;市场总消费增速将由负转正,实现较大幅度的提升,预计达到5.5%左右;第二产业增加值增速将继续回升,达到6.5%;第三产业增加值增速将达到5.6%;居民消费价格总指数将略有上涨,但涨幅不会太大,为102.9。综合上述分析,预计2021年北京GDP将实现5.8%左右的增长,经济增长将持续稳定恢复。

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