缅甸国情报告（2020）
| 书 名： |
缅甸国情报告（2020） |
| 英 文 名： |
ANNUAL REPORT ON MYANMAR’S NATIONAL SITUATION （2020）
|
| 作 者： |
李晨阳 孔鹏杨祥章 |
| I S B N： |
978-7-5201-8486-1 |
| 丛 书 名： |
缅甸蓝皮书
订阅
|
| 关 键 词： |
缅甸 国内形势 对外关系 中缅关系 |
| 出版日期： |
2021-07-01 |
中文摘要
2020年是缅甸的大选年，是中缅建交70周年，也见证了中缅关系翻开新的篇章。在此形势下，云南大学缅甸研究院推出《缅甸国情报告（2020）》，系统介绍和深入研究了缅甸内政外交的新变化和新趋势，以期为中缅命运共同体建设提供绵薄的学术支撑力。
政治方面，民盟政府继续尝试推进转型与改革，推动修宪和立法工作，启动2020年大选筹备工作，调整内阁、巩固权力；但在围绕修宪程序、内容和军队政治地位等议题上的博弈加强。然而，因军人仍在国家政治中扮演主要角色，缅甸陷入军人和文官政府二元博弈（军政博弈）的“双头政治”困局。经济方面，缅甸经济增速放缓，投资与贸易形势不容乐观。政府采取了一系列措施，大力推行改革并优化投资环境。随着新《公司法案》的实施和减税免税措施的推行，缅甸的营商环境得到改善，提高了商业信心，但货币贬值、通货膨胀压力增加、财政赤字扩大、能源价格上涨和劳动力素质较低等问题仍然制约着缅甸经济进一步发展。社会形势方面，调查数据显示，缅甸大部分民众收入增长缓慢，对生活的满意度不高。
对外关系方面，缅甸同时积极开展双边外交和多边外交，以赢得有利于自身发展的外部环境。一方面，中缅关系稳步发展，全方位合作提升到新的高度。两国政、军高层交流密切，共同表达对中缅友好关系的重视，并就深化双边关系内涵、提升交流合作质量达成共识，通过“一带一路”倡议、中缅经济走廊、“澜湄合作”等机制加快两国合作步伐。另一方面，缅甸与美欧关系发展遇冷，西方欲借“人权”问题促使缅甸转型。此外，为应对国际压力，缅甸继续稳步发展与俄罗斯、日本、印度及其他东盟国家的关系。然而，缅甸国内的武装冲突时有发生，若开邦的安全状况有恶化之势，缅甸面临巨大的国际压力。
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总报告
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中缅关系篇
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