蒙古国发展报告（2021）
书 名： 蒙古国发展报告（2021）
英 文 名： ANNUAL DEVELOPMENT REPORT OF MONGOLIA （2021）
作 者： 刘少坤 范丽君
I S B N： 978-7-5201-9029-9
丛 书 名：
蒙古国蓝皮书
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关 键 词： 蒙古 经济发展 社会发展 社会文化
出版日期： 2021-12-01
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中文摘要
2019年是蒙古国“大事”较多之年。从年初弹劾议长（国家大呼拉尔主席）并更换为贡·赞丹沙塔尔，到年中彻查前总理腐败案，再到年底《宪法修正案》通过，看似毫无关联的事件背后反映出蒙古国政治生态环境的变化，以及由此给蒙古国经济、社会、外交带来的变化。
《蒙古国发展报告（2021）》紧紧围绕2019年至2020年上半年蒙古国政治、经济、社会文化和外交中的“大事”及其产生的影响，选择了14个议题进行研究分析。全书分为6个部分。总报告对蒙古国社会经济发展的总体情况进行分析。
在“新班子”的一系列经济措施支撑下，蒙古国经济发展表现出良好的势头，国内生产总值达到136.4亿美元，是近五年来新高。财政收支平衡对经济社会发展的拉动作用增强。2019年农牧业实现“大丰收”，运输和旅游业成为经济增长的新动力，对外贸易呈现出贸易市场多元化、出口商品多元化和投资市场多元化的特点。经济形势在2019年出现好转，外汇储备创历史新高，达42亿美元。盈余的外汇储备为蒙古国2020年的疫情防控起了重要作用，也为执政的人民党能够顺利完成“修宪”，并赢得2020年国家大呼拉尔选举奠定了基础。
经济繁荣最直接的体现是社会稳定和文化繁荣。2019年蒙古国失业率达到近五年来最低，仅有37000人失业，比2018年减少了12.6%。蒙古国人口在最近几年出现新的迁移现象，涌入乌兰巴托的人口数量减少，进入杭盖地区和中部地区的人口数量增加。2019年涌向首都的人数比2017年减少4836人。蒙古国人口流动带来的另外一个问题是草原游牧人群数量减少，2019年牧民人口数量下降到28.5万人。人口减少，劳动力减少，直接影响传统产业——畜牧业的发展。为保障畜牧业高质量发展，蒙古国开始尝试在牧区恢复合作社发展模式。由于政府在政策保障方面侧重点不同，扶持力度有限，蒙古国合作社模式尚处在探索阶段。
伴随修宪，蒙古国同时启动了《选举法》《总统法》《政党法》《税务法》《投资法》等法律的修订工作，用以改变蒙古国的营商环境，吸引更多国内外投资商。其中修订税法，改善税收法律环境是政府的一项重要举措，一方面防止税收流失，增加了国家预算收入，另一方面通过扶持中小企业发展，对繁荣中、小、微商发挥积极作用。
2019年是中蒙建交70周年，两国在新的历史起点上继往开来，推动两国政治互信迈上新台阶，经贸往来进入高质量发展新阶段，人文交流化作涓涓细流滋润两国人民的心田。2020年新冠肺炎疫情期间的感人事件铭刻在两国人民心中。
2020年的新冠肺炎疫情考验人民党的执政能力。在国家大呼拉尔选举前，人民党高效有力的抗疫举措赢得了蒙古国选民的好评，高票获得大选胜利，议长和总理高票获得连任。蒙古国“新班子”再接再厉，为2021年的修宪后的总统大选做好全面的铺垫工作。
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