甘肃经济发展分析与预测（2020）
书 名： 甘肃经济发展分析与预测（2020）
英 文 名： ANALYSIS AND FORECAST ON ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT OF GANSU （2020）
作 者： 安文华 王晓芳 主编
I S B N： 978-7-5201-5837-4
丛 书 名：
关 键 词： 区域经济 产业发展 投入产出 经济分析 经济预测 甘肃省
出版时间： 2020年01月
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中文摘要
《甘肃经济发展分析与预测（2020）》，立足甘肃省抢抓“一带一路”最大发展机遇，深度融入国际陆海贸易新通道，积极打造文化、枢纽、技术、信息、生态“五个制高点”，大力发展“十大生态产业”等政策背景，重点研究了甘肃宏观经济运行、区域发展战略、产业发展、投入产出、营商环境等经济发展方面，分析和总结了2019年甘肃经济发展现状和问题，预测和展望了2020年甘肃经济发展走势与前景，并针对现状、问题、发展目标提出了理论与实践相结合的应用对策建议。
《甘肃经济发展分析与预测（2020）》共分总报告、区域战略篇、产业发展篇、投入产出篇、专题调研篇五大部分13个专题。总报告分析了2019年甘肃农业、工业、第三产业、投资、消费、进出口、城乡居民收入、财政金融、物价等主要指标变化状况，指出了存在的两大突出问题，并对2020年甘肃经济指标预期进行了分析，提出了宏观发展政策建议。区域战略篇主要就甘肃融入“一带一路”抢占“五个制高点”重大问题、甘肃推进供给侧结构性改革重点问题进行了理论探索和相应的比较研究。产业发展篇主要针对甘肃农业和农村经济、工业经济、第三产业、数据信息产业四个方面，深度调查分析，提出了促进发展相关产业的理论对策。投入产出篇主要就甘肃城乡居民收入状况、各县（市、区）固定资产投资评价、上市公司发展状况等问题进行了数据分析和理论评价。专题调研篇主要针对甘肃五个国家级经济技术开发区发展状况、民营企业发展环境、各县（市、区）营商环境评价等进行了专题重点调查分析。
本书认为，2019年甘肃省坚持推动经济高质量发展理念，加大经济领域重点改革力度，统筹推进稳增长、促改革、调结构、惠民生、防风险、保稳定各项工作，全省经济运行总体平稳，经济稳增长的基础逐步趋于稳固。甘肃宏观经济呈现如下方面发展态势：粮食持续稳定增产，“牛、羊、菜、果、薯、药”六大特色产业快速发展；工业下行速度放缓，支柱行业稳定发展；第三产业平稳增长，邮政电信软件业和教育服务业加速增长；固定资产投资回暖加快，工业投资持续快速增长；社会消费品零售总额平稳增长，消费对经济增长的拉动作用凸显；对外贸易下行压力持续加大，进出口全面下滑；城乡居民收入稳步增加，农村居民收入增长快于城镇居民；财政收入与企业贷款双双增长放缓，财政支出与各类存款稳定提高等。同时，宏观经济还存在如下突出问题：投资低迷，经济增长的基础支撑力不强；出口不振，经济增长的张力较弱；食品类价格涨势强劲，CPI趋高影响消费对经济增长拉动作用的进一步释放等。针对2019年经济运行状况，本书提出了2020年主要经济指标发展预期预测及宏观政策建议。
《甘肃经济发展分析与预测（2020）》秉承客观务实、严谨科学的原则，深度分析了2019年甘肃经济发展态势、差距和问题，提出了理论对策和战略建议，体现了专家视野，突出了田野调查和应用价值，具有学术性、前瞻性和权威性。
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专题调研篇
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