巴西发展报告（2019）
| 书 名： |
巴西发展报告（2019） |
| 英 文 名： |
ANNUAL REPORT ON DEVELOPMENT OF BRAZIL （2019）
|
| 作 者： |
程晶缴洁刘明 |
| I S B N： |
978-7-5201-6234-0 |
| 丛 书 名： |
巴西黄皮书
订阅
|
| 关 键 词： |
巴西 政治格局 经济发展 社会形势 外交政策 |
| 出版日期： |
2020-01-01 |
中文摘要
巴西作为金砖国家的重要成员和正在崛起的新兴国家代表，其发展状况备受国际社会的关注。2017年，是巴西看到希望与转机的一年。政治趋向稳定，特梅尔总统艰难地从弹劾泥潭中脱身。经济摆脱衰退，重回增长轨道。外交持续调整，注重南、北“平衡外交”，强调务实与灵活性。中国与巴西“全面战略伙伴关系”不断深化，战略融合与产业对接加速。
进入2018年，巴西内政外交均出现了重大变化。2018年是巴西大选年，亦是决定其发展方向的关键年。来自传统大党的特梅尔以极低的民意支持率结束任期，依靠反传统、反精英理念在大选中异军突起的博索纳罗引领巴西政坛大幅“右转”，巴西进入右翼执政新时代。新政府展现出的政治民粹主义、经济自由主义、社会保守主义、外交亲美右倾的政策倾向对巴西传统政治格局形成了强烈的冲击，亦对巴西内外发展产生了重要影响。那么，在新旧政府交替之际，巴西政局能否保持稳定？经济复苏是否会受到影响？经济改革能否继续向前推进？国内腐败、贫困、暴力犯罪等“顽疾”是否有所改善？极右翼政党人士博索纳罗为何能够在大选中异军突起、登上总统宝座？右翼势力上台后对巴西内政外交产生了何种影响，带来了哪些变化？中美贸易争端及巴西右翼势力上台对中巴关系的发展产生了哪些影响？未来中巴关系的发展前景如何？围绕上述核心问题，基于服务国家对外战略的需求和满足中国社会认知巴西的需要，湖北大学巴西研究中心在成功编撰《巴西发展报告（2017～2018）》之后，再接再厉，组织中巴两国23位学者共同编写了《巴西发展报告（2019）》。
本书聚焦2018～2019年巴西内政外交的发展、变化以及中巴关系的发展现状与前景。主体由三部分、共17篇研究报告组成：第一部分为总报告，对2018～2019年巴西的政治、经济、社会和外交形势进行了综合评估，对中巴关系进行了现状分析和未来展望；第二部分为巴西发展专题报告，包括政治外交篇、经济社会篇和人文科技篇三个单元，分别对2018～2019年巴西的总统大选、内政外交变化与走势、地区一体化、巴美关系、民主制度的演变与发展、经济改革、社会形势、医疗改革、环境保护、科技创新等多个问题进行了深入解读；第三部分为中巴关系发展特别报告，中巴两国学者从中美贸易争端对中巴关系的影响、博索纳罗新政府上台后中巴关系的发展前景、中巴基础设施合作、巴西主流媒体涉华报道等方面出发，对2018～2019年中巴关系的发展现状与未来走向进行了剖析。
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