太平洋岛国发展报告（2023）
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2022年，太平洋岛国政治形势较为平稳。斐济、巴布亚新几内亚、瓦努阿图、瑙鲁分别进行了领导人选举，完成政府换届。斐济的选举表现出更加民主的倾向，瑙鲁的选举也比较顺利。但是，在巴布亚新几内亚的大选中，暴力事件频发，新政府面临重重挑战。受到乌克兰危机升级、新冠疫情持续、全球通货膨胀等多重因素的影响，2022年太平洋岛国的经济回暖缓慢。太平洋岛国的基础产业深受影响，再加上海洋产业的消极影响尚未消除，海洋经济发展和海洋治理面临较大压力，太平洋岛民遭遇生活成本危机，贫困人口的生活负担加剧。在外交方面，太平洋岛国地区面临地区主义分化、大国竞争加剧等多重挑战，太平洋岛国努力以外交手段修复内部分歧，抵御大国博弈牵扯，在赈灾援助、气候治理等领域推动区域合作。
地区发展方面，在巴布亚新几内亚，虽然詹姆斯·马拉佩（James Marape）击败竞争对手，成功连任巴布亚新几内亚第十二任总理，但由于受新冠疫情的影响，国内政治局势、社会治安、经济状况、人民生活仍然面临诸多问题。瓦努阿图的修宪危机导致议员签署针对总理鲍勃·拉夫曼（Bob Loughman）的不信任动议，议会遭到解散；瓦努阿图提前举行大选，成立了以伊什梅尔·卡尔萨考（Ishmael Kalsakau）为首的第十三届政府，并且议会中首次出现女性议员。帕劳的惠普斯（Whipps）政府积极推动最低工资改革，并且重新与美国进行《自由联系条约》的续约谈判。所罗门群岛面临物价攀升、进出口贸易受阻、失业和贫困人口增加、生活物资短缺等难题，索加瓦雷（Sogavare）政府积极应对，采取重启经济、保障民生以及开拓外交等措施，多重政策加力提效，稳经济保民生。
2022年是美国拜登政府执政的第二年，美国政府外交工作仍然以“印太战略”为重心。对太平洋岛国政策是美国“印太战略”的组成部分，拜登政府在华盛顿主办首届“美国-太平洋岛国峰会”，发布了历史上首个“太平洋伙伴关系战略”。新西兰积极参加太平洋岛国论坛领导人会议以及部长会议，双方就民主、经济、安全、社会福利、气候和抗灾等领域开展合作。日本也不断深化与太平洋岛国之间的交流与合作，加大对太平洋岛国基础设施建设的援助力度，合作应对全球气候变化与复杂的国际形势。中国与太平洋岛国高层交往密切。中国同瓦努阿图迎来了建交40周年，中国首次对建交太平洋岛国开展“全覆盖”访问。在中国举办冬奥会时，瓦努阿图、基里巴斯、所罗门群岛等国家领导人对北京成功举办冬奥会表示祝贺。巴布亚新几内亚总理应邀出席冬奥会开幕式，并对中国举办冬奥会做出高度评价。中太之间经贸合作不断深入，“一带一路”框架下的合作持续推进。
2023年，太平洋岛国面临气候变化、海洋治理、大国地缘竞争、经济复苏等多重压力。在此背景下，太平洋岛国地区实现稳定与发展仍然是头等大事。各国政府加速推进“蓝色太平洋计划”“蓝色太平洋大陆2050年战略”，实现与“一带一路”倡议的对接，维护双边利益，促进太平洋岛国实现经济平稳复苏。
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