甘肃舆情分析与预测（2025）
书 名： 甘肃舆情分析与预测（2025）
英 文 名： ANALYSIS AND FORECAST ON PUBLIC OPINION OF GANSU （2025）
作 者： 王俊莲 许振明 主编
I S B N： 978-7-5228-4742-9
丛 书 名：
关 键 词： 舆情 舆情传播 甘肃省
出版时间： 2025年01月
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中文摘要
《甘肃舆情分析与预测（2025）》，是“甘肃蓝皮书”系列成果之一。作为年度调研报告，《甘肃舆情分析与预测（2025）》着力聚焦甘肃经济社会发展中的热点舆情，分析研判甘肃舆情发展的基本态势、基本特征、存在的问题等，并试图提出有参考价值的对策建议。以期为国家和社会各类智库、科研院所的理论工作者，以及关心和关注甘肃发展的各界人士提供具有区域特点的智库研究成果。本书以习近平新时代中国特色社会主义思想为根本统领，全面贯彻落实党的二十大和二十届三中全会精神，全面贯彻落实习近平总书记视察甘肃重要讲话重要指示精神，由甘肃省社会科学院马克思主义研究所、社会学研究所、财政金融研究所、丝绸之路研究所、文化研究所等部门的18位专家学者组成的“甘肃舆情调研组”承担完成。
《甘肃舆情分析与预测（2025）》全书由1篇总报告和17篇分报告组合而成，分为总报告、社会热点篇、群体认知篇、专题篇4个部分。总报告对2024年甘肃舆情的基本状况、热点和特点进行了概述，并分析预测了2025年甘肃舆情的基本趋势。社会热点篇重点分析研判了民众对新质生产力、和美乡村建设、“强省会”行动、新型消费等的看法与评价。群体认知篇主要以新就业形态从业人员、农民群众、基层工作者、青年群体、民营经济从业人员等为调查对象，就劳动者权益保护、基层医疗服务、基层减负、就业与职业发展、数字经济发展等问题做了针对性的调查，以期获得他们的真实感受和看法。专题篇则主要围绕“主动创稳”、“普职分流”、房地产发展新模式、新型婚育文化、居家养老服务、网络直播带货、甘肃融媒体发展等专题进行调研和深度分析，并提出了针对性较强的对策建议。
本报告认为，2024年以来，甘肃舆情形势总体平稳向好，主旋律突出，体现出以下几个特点。第一，民生话题受到高度关注，民众期许集聚公平公正。第二，舆论向好态势逐渐形成，网络舆情总体稳定。第三，舆论“双刃剑”作用彰显，政府治理能力仍需提升。第四，自媒体对舆情传播有显著影响。第五，主流媒体尤其央媒，因其权威性、广泛覆盖性以及高质量的内容生产，在相关事件的传播中具有较强的引领力、传播力和影响力。
当前，甘肃政治经济文化社会各项事业稳定发展，社会和谐进步，民众关注的热点问题不断得到有效改善和解决，民生福祉和社会治理水平不断提升。在这样一个大的社会背景下，预测2025年甘肃舆情态势将保持整体稳定，发展形势健康向上向好。
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