中国数字经济税收发展报告（2025）
中文摘要
本报告聚焦数字经济税收的前沿思想，阐释数字经济税收研究进展，关注数字经济税收的理论突破与实践推进。在理论研究层面，数据要素的价值创造机理、数据要素参与收入分配的税收调节、数字经济税收转移程度测算、人工智能税制优化路径等已成为研究的热点。首先揭示基于“数据价值—信息价值—知识价值”的数据要素价值创造三层次机制，剖析促进数据要素价值创造与分配的财税政策。其次，从政治经济学视角阐释数据要素参与收入分配的理论逻辑与经济社会效应，解析数据要素参与三次分配的实现形式，评判税收在数据要素再分配中的调节作用，并提出共同富裕视角下我国数据要素课税制度构建路径。再次，分析测算2024年我国税收转移程度，剖析数字经济推动税收转移的路径与动因，提出相关对策建议。最后，研究人工智能对税收制度、税收征管的影响作用，以及税收制度对人工智能的反作用，基于人工智能征税的国际经验，构建人工智能的税制优化路径。
在实践进展层面，本报告关注重点领域、重要行业的数字经济税收政策与实务，为政府、企事业单位、商务机构等提供了决策参考与政策借鉴。本报告重点研究以下实践问题：一是从微观和宏观两个维度搭建数字经济财税关系指标体系，从数字经济整体、行业、区域等多维度进行财税贡献测算和财税质量分析，客观描述数字经济下国民经济及其财税贡献的关联关系；二是阐释数字经济新业态的概念、特征，结合对其总体规模及典型业态的分析，提出税收制度与税收征管困境的突破路径，建立数据要素课税规则、深化税收征管改革等具体建议；三是基于税收政策与宏观经济政策的协同机制，系统分析宏观政策体系在推动人工智能产业发展中的作用逻辑，并提出对策建议；四是分析人工智能在税收风险管理领域的应用，探讨人工智能在提升识别精准度、增强风险覆盖、降低主观偏差及强化实时监控等方面的优势，并以深圳市税务局等实践案例验证其效能，从技术、数据、法律监管、实践应用四个维度提出优化路径；五是研究云计算业务的税收转移机制，通过集团下设云计算公司的案例，剖析云计算服务客户的地区分布，测算企业所得税在地区间的转移规模；六是采用区位熵方法测度我国2013～2023年各省份的数字产业集聚水平，并通过构建固定效应模型分析我国数字产业集聚对横向税收分配的影响效应。
在区域经济方面，本报告还深入研究数字经济赋能重庆市汽车产业转型升级与税收监管问题，以及广东省社会保险费税务全责征收推进过程中存在的问题及对策。在全球税收治理层面，本报告分析美国数字经济发展状况，关注其不断加剧的债务规模和财政赤字风险，对美国税改措施进行观察评估，分析全球税收治理秩序的动态演变；还探讨瑞士数字经济税收实践及税收征管数字化改革相关问题，以及全球跨境电商税收制度的演进，深入探讨海外仓制度建设与综合保税区出口模式的实践路径。
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