中国地方政府债券发展报告（2025）
| 书 名： |
中国地方政府债券发展报告（2025） |
| 英 文 名： |
ANNUAL REPORT ON DEVELOPMENT OF CHINA’S LOCAL GOVERNMENT BONDS （2025）
|
| 作 者： |
中诚信国际信用评级有限责任公司 组织编写; 毛振华 孙晓霞 闫衍 主编; 袁海霞 副主编 |
| I S B N： |
978-7-5228-5666-7 |
| 丛 书 名： |
|
| 关 键 词： |
|
| 出版时间： |
2025年09月 |
中文摘要
自2015年全面启动自发自还以来，我国地方债持续扩容，2024年底存量规模已超过47万亿元，在债券市场中占比持续提升至近27%，稳居债券市场的第一大券种。在规模扩容的同时，地方债功能不断强化，其不仅是地方经济发展建设的融资工具，更是我国宏观调控的重要发力点，充分发挥稳增长、保民生、补短板、促基建的作用，并助力地方政府债务化解工作有序推进，成为我国经济高质量发展中不可或缺的战略基石。
2024年，我国经济整体回升向好，但仍面临多重压力。中央因时因势加强宏观调控，适时推出以“6+4+2”大规模化债组合拳等为核心的一揽子增量政策，政策思路逐步转向化债与发展并重。地方债发行规模再创历史新高，一方面，持续扩投资、稳增长；另一方面，开启新一轮以特殊再融资债为主的地方债务置换，助力减轻地方压力、畅通经济循环。同时，地方债全流程严监管不断强化，并以扩围、放权、提效为核心建立了专项债管理新机制。但值得注意的是，地方债发展中面临付息压力加大、限额分配机制有待完善、资金使用效率有待提升、政府投资带动效应未完全发挥等问题。展望未来，即将迎来经济社会高质量发展的“十五五”新时期，2025年国务院《政府工作报告》指出“实施更加积极有为的宏观政策”，强调“坚持在发展中化债、在化债中发展”。地方债作为化债与稳增长的重要抓手，将继续稳步扩容、优化结构、提升效率、完善市场基础设施建设；同时我国财税体制改革有望持续深化，进一步理顺央地关系，推动地方激励体系重构与行为模式改变，增强债务与财政的可持续性。
本年度“中国地方政府债券蓝皮书”延续既有撰写思路，结合我国宏观经济领域、政府债务领域新动向，全面分析2024年地方债市场整体运行情况、31个省（区、市）地方债市场运行情况、专项债七大主要投向领域情况，以及“一揽子化债”背景下地方债助力债务化解情况。此外，还从历史视角总结了我国地方债务领域政策演化历程，基于房地产行业深度调整、地方财政承压的现状探究专项债对稳地产的支持情况，并对我国离岸人民币地方债市场的建设发展情况进行了研究。围绕上述研究内容，本书就新形势下地方债的发展演进做出合理展望，就各领域存在的问题提出有针对性的政策建议，以期为投资者、政府等市场参与方的相关决策提供参考，助力我国地方债高质量可持续发展。
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