北京经济发展报告（2025～2026）
中文摘要
《北京经济发展报告（2025～2026）》面向“十五五”经济高质量发展的战略要求，以推动科技创新和产业创新深度融合、大力发展新质生产力为主线，系统开展经济形势分析，深入研究具有首都特点的现代化经济体系，为“十五五”开局起步、北京率先基本实现现代化进入关键期的经济建设，提供战略路径参考与政策决策支持。《北京经济发展报告（2025～2026）》分为总报告、宏观经济篇、战略分析篇、产业发展篇、财政金融篇和区域发展篇。坚持目标导向与问题导向相结合、理论研究与对策研究相结合、定性分析与定量研究相结合，对北京经济发展整体形势进行分析与预测，总结2025年北京经济发展取得的成效和经验、特点、趋势和存在的问题，分析2026年北京经济发展面临的环境、机遇与挑战，提出以新质生产力推动北京经济高质量发展的对策建议，对2026年及“十五五”时期北京经济形势、平台经济、信息服务业和科技服务业运行、产业经济发展、财政金融形势等进行了预测与展望。同时，面向“十五五”首都发展与科技创新引领新质生产力培育，从现代化产业体系、创新体系、金融服务体系维度进行了深入分析。聚焦人工智能赋能现代化产业体系建设、两业融合模式、农业新质生产力等重点问题进行前瞻性战略性研究，提出优化路径与对策建议。
北京经济整体呈现稳中向好、稳中有进的发展态势。2025年，北京经济增速保持稳定，发展质量持续提升，实现“十四五”圆满收官，呈现以下特点：产业体系服务化，内部结构高端化；科技创新成果显著，新质生产力持续培育；消费结构不断升级，新场景新模式激发活力；投资增量提质，有效投资占比提高；绿色发展成效显著，绿色产业蓬勃发展等。科技创新和产业创新深度融合成为经济发展的主要动力。“十五五”开局之年，经济运行中的有利条件和积极因素增多，新质生产力加快形成增长新动能，先进制造业竞争力持续提升，现代服务业提质扩容，消费需求升级释放活力，投资保持较高强度，以外部环境影响可控、宏观政策加力增效为基准条件，预测2026年北京经济增速将保持在5%以上。
科技创新和产业创新深度融合、引领新质生产力发展是北京经济发展的重要引擎。具有首都特点的现代化产业体系是实现科技创新和产业创新融合、培育新质生产力的主要载体，北京产业体系将持续深入推进智能化、绿色化、融合化升级。“十五五”时期，人工智能将全面赋能北京现代化产业体系建设，要从自主创新、产业融合、生态培育、制度创新等方面，蹚出智能化融合赋能的战略路径；消费驱动型两业融合面向消费需求，发挥北京生产性服务业优势、补齐制造业短板，将发展新质生产力与拓展新型消费有机结合，推动产业与消费互促共进、与供给需求良性互动；北京数绿融合发展在国内引领优势显著，要率先形成数字驱动、绿色引领、全域协同、制度领先的数绿融合发展新格局。同时，科技创新服务体系是科技创新和产业创新深度融合、培育新质生产力的重要保障。北京要进一步推动科技服务业体系化发展，优化科技成果转化服务，着重加强中试服务能力建设；要更加积极地发展科技金融，加强多层次资本市场建设，面向培育新质生产力推动北京市政府投资基金高质量发展。
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Ⅰ 总报告
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Ⅱ 宏观经济篇
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Ⅲ 战略分析篇
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Ⅳ 产业发展篇
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Ⅴ 财政金融篇
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Ⅵ 区域发展篇
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