甘肃舆情分析与预测（2026）
| 书 名： |
甘肃舆情分析与预测（2026） |
| 英 文 名： |
ANALYSIS AND FORECAST ON PUBLIC OPINION OF GANSU （2026）
|
| 作 者： |
甘肃省社会科学院 组织编写; 徐建群 梁海燕 主编 |
| I S B N： |
978-7-5228-6745-8 |
| 丛 书 名： |
|
| 关 键 词： |
舆情 民生 共治 甘肃省 |
| 出版时间： |
2026年01月 |
中文摘要
《甘肃舆情分析与预测（2026）》是“甘肃蓝皮书”系列成果之一。本书编写坚持以习近平新时代中国特色社会主义思想为指导，全面贯彻落实党的二十大和二十届历次全会精神，深入贯彻落实习近平总书记视察甘肃重要讲话重要指示精神，紧密围绕省委、省政府中心工作，系统开展调查分析与前瞻研判，旨在为甘肃高质量发展提供决策参考。
作为年度调研报告，《甘肃舆情分析与预测（2026）》聚焦甘肃经济社会发展中的食品安全、就业创新、生态保护、医疗保障、营商环境、社会治安、“强县中增学位”等热点问题，以及群众普遍关注的智能驾驶、智慧养老、银发经济、延迟退休、以旧换新、高校专业调整、直播带货乱象等问题开展问卷调查，分析甘肃舆情发展的基本态势、主要特征和存在的问题，并提出有针对性的建议。本书由来自甘肃省社会科学院马克思主义研究所、社会学法学研究所、决策咨询研究所、经济研究所、历史研究所等的17位专家学者组成联合调研团队撰写完成。
《甘肃舆情分析与预测（2026）》全书由1篇总报告和17篇分报告组成，分为总报告、社会热点篇、群体认知篇、专题篇4个部分。总报告在整合各分报告核心内容的基础上，系统总结2025年甘肃舆情的基本态势与主要特征，并对2026年趋势作出预测，提出应对建议。社会热点篇重点分析了民众对社会热点、新业态环境下食品安全、以旧换新政策等的感受与评价。群体认知篇以高校师生、农民群众、零工经济从业者、高校毕业生等为调查对象，就高校专业调整、农村居民养老金标准、零工经济从业者劳动权益保护、“反向就业”等问题做了有针对性的调查，呈现了不同群体的认知态度与利益诉求。专题篇围绕“强县中增学位”、直播带货乱象、银发经济、智能驾驶、生态环境保护、“主动创稳”等问题进行了深度分析，提出了对策建议。
报告认为，2025年以来，民众获得感持续增强，对公平共享发展成果的愿望强烈，舆情形势虽有局部风险但总体平稳，呈现出以下特点：一是民生问题关注热度高，情绪驱动传播效应突出；二是热点问题跨界融合，舆论共识难度增加；三是群体认知结构分化，诉求表达多元；四是舆情引导难度加大，应对能力面临考验。预测2026年甘肃舆情态势将继续保持总体稳定，呈现积极向好发展态势。同时，民生问题的“具象化”“关联化”趋势将更加明显，人工智能、科技伦理等新型议题的关注度也将提升。为此，报告建议进一步健全舆论引导机制，加强舆情监测与民生治理协同，推动技术赋能与多元共治，提升舆情治理现代化水平。
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