繁荣与稳定
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中文摘要
本书是中国社会科学院经济研究所现任所长刘树成研究员，15年来，对中国经济波动问题进行锲而不舍、潜心研究的专题性文集或文集性专著；也是刘树成研究员所承担的国家社会科学基金“九五”重点项目的最终研究成果。本书共收入作者1985～1999年6月期间有代表性的学术论文35篇。该书纪录了作者对中国经济波动问题的研究轨迹，也纪录了中国50年来经济增长与经济波动的运动轨迹，以及改革开放以来宏观调控不断改善的变化轨迹。该书具有很强的系统性、创新性、理论性和现实性。所选论文以内容的内在逻辑，按篇章分类排序。第一篇，理论研究：周期成因分析与波动特点变换；第二篇，对策研究：经济走势预测与宏观调控取向；第三篇，价格研究：物价变动趋势与经济周期波动；第四篇，地区研究：工业波动态势与地区不平衡格局；第五篇，国外研究：周期模型评介与经济波动考察。
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第一篇 理论研究 周期成因分析与波动特点变换
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第二篇 对策研究 经济走势预测与宏观调控取向
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第三篇 价格研究 物价变动趋势与经济周期波动
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第四篇 地区研究 工业波动态势与地区不平衡格局
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第五篇 国外研究 周期模型评价与经济波动考察
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