东北亚发展报告（2017～2018）
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中文摘要
2017年，与全球地缘局势复杂多变形成鲜明对比的是，世界经济呈现总体较快复苏态势，贸易、投资增速加快，人文合作逐渐活络，这些新动向给区域合作带来诸多新机遇，促使东北亚区域合作朝有利于双边和多边共赢的方向发展。从经济增长来看，东北亚区域合作继续成为全球经济增长的引领者和贡献者。2017年区域内GDP超过20万亿美元，增长率保持在5.1%，贸易和投资分别超过7万亿美元和1000亿美元，增长有望超过5%和10%。从合作机制看，中俄日韩蒙领导人之间的互访、多边协商不断推进，中俄全面战略协作伙伴关系、中日战略互惠关系深化，中韩关系稳步改善，中日韩、中蒙俄等三边协商机制不断向前推进。与此同时，影响区域合作的地缘风险和多边摩擦在加大，东北亚地缘安全的负面因素、焦点和难点问题也在间歇式发酵，特别是朝鲜半岛局势的走势，引发国际社会对东北亚区域合作能否取得进一步突破的担忧。
2018年，虽然东北亚区域合作还面临着诸多困难和挑战，但地缘和区域合作的一些积极因素已经出现，中朝领导人实现历史性的会晤，韩朝首脑进行了自2000年以来的第三次会谈，中日韩领导人会议、美朝领导人会谈也已顺利举行。半岛局势的风险释放，中朝关系的历史性恢复，中日和中韩关系的持续改善，东北亚双边和多边的互动呈现相向而行的良性态势，以和平与外交手段解决纷争的共识增大，这些都为未来东北亚区域合作行稳致远奠定了新的信任和合作基础。
本书主要分为总报告、分报告、国别篇、区域合作与发展篇、中国与东北亚合作篇、专题篇、附录等七个部分。总报告通过对2017年东北亚地缘与经贸形势的总结与回顾，对双边和多边合作机遇与挑战的梳理，前瞻性研判了2018年东北亚区域合作面临的新机遇与新挑战。分报告从经贸、双边和多边、人文旅游等角度对东北亚区域合作进行了回顾，并对2018年的经贸和战略合作布局进行了研判。国别篇以中俄日韩蒙各国的发展为主线，探索了经贸、人文等各种合作进展。区域合作与发展篇和中国与东北亚合作篇分别收录了东北亚各国专家对区域合作和国别合作的观点及中国深化与东北亚合作的双边和多边的合作分析，反映了东北亚各国专家的多元化见解。专题篇则聚焦东北亚区域的战略比较、互联互通、跨境旅游、服务贸易等的最新进展。附录收录了旨在反映东北亚地区和各国外交、经济、社会、科技、文化交往的大事记及相关的东北亚学术资源介绍。
回顾以往，东北亚区域合作取得了长足的发展；立足现实，东北亚区域合作需要克服一些明显困难，接受来自区域内外的一些挑战；展望未来，东北亚区域合作优势明显，潜力巨大，前景光明，本卷蓝皮书的多个章节内容就是其中的一个缩影。
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总报告
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分报告
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国别篇
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区域合作与发展篇
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中国与东北亚合作篇
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专题篇
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附录
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