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CommonID:DIR_70717429,ID:11257342,SiteID:14,Type:formerAidText,Code:null,ParentId:0,InnerCode:639938,name:基金资助,ShortName:,SubName:,EnTitle:null,EnShortTitle:null,EnSubTitle:null,Level:0,BookId:11257336,AbstractCH:null,AbstractEN:null,KeyWords:null,EKeyWords:null,SubjectWords:null,LiteratureId:11257341,Fileref:null,OrderFlag:0,IsLeaf:Y,PubDate:null,FindDate:null,IssueDate:null,DocType:null,ProductSeries:null,Doi:null,InstanceID:0,MinNodeSearch:null,XmlID:null,Prop1:null,Prop2:null,Prop3:null,prop4:null,AddUser:jiangshan,AddTime:2019-06-13 14:34:59.0,ModifyUser:Admin,ModifyTime:2021-11-03 03:47:01.0,HitCount:0,ShowType:putong,LogoID:0,PdfID:0,DownCount:0,AuthorInfos:null,BookPublishDate:2019-04-01 00:00:00.0,SearchTitle:基金资助,ISBN:978-7-5201-4290-8,BookTitle:最优消费率与中国经济稳定增长研究,BookStatus:7,AllowDownload:Y,BookVersionNum:null,researchorg:null,CopyRightDate:null,ExcellentPeriod:null,PrizeLevel:null,IsExcellence:null,ContentClass:null,IsDisabled:N,SearchTitle_2:基金资助,_RowNo:1

CommonID:DIR_70717430,ID:11257344,SiteID:14,Type:formerAidText,Code:null,ParentId:0,InnerCode:639939,name:《云南省哲学社会科学创新团队成果文库》编委会,ShortName:,SubName:,EnTitle:null,EnShortTitle:null,EnSubTitle:null,Level:0,BookId:11257336,AbstractCH:null,AbstractEN:null,KeyWords:null,EKeyWords:null,SubjectWords:null,LiteratureId:11257343,Fileref:null,OrderFlag:0,IsLeaf:Y,PubDate:null,FindDate:null,IssueDate:null,DocType:null,ProductSeries:null,Doi:null,InstanceID:0,MinNodeSearch:null,XmlID:null,Prop1:null,Prop2:null,Prop3:null,prop4:null,AddUser:jiangshan,AddTime:2019-06-13 14:34:59.0,ModifyUser:Admin,ModifyTime:2021-11-03 03:47:01.0,HitCount:0,ShowType:putong,LogoID:0,PdfID:0,DownCount:0,AuthorInfos:null,BookPublishDate:2019-04-01 00:00:00.0,SearchTitle:《云南省哲学社会科学创新团队成果文库》编委会,ISBN:978-7-5201-4290-8,BookTitle:最优消费率与中国经济稳定增长研究,BookStatus:7,AllowDownload:Y,BookVersionNum:null,researchorg:null,CopyRightDate:null,ExcellentPeriod:null,PrizeLevel:null,IsExcellence:null,ContentClass:null,IsDisabled:N,SearchTitle_2:《云南省哲学社会科学创新团队成果文库》编委会,_RowNo:2

CommonID:DIR_70717431,ID:11257346,SiteID:14,Type:formerAidText,Code:null,ParentId:0,InnerCode:639940,name:《云南省哲学社会科学创新团队成果文库》编辑说明,ShortName:,SubName:,EnTitle:null,EnShortTitle:null,EnSubTitle:null,Level:0,BookId:11257336,AbstractCH:null,AbstractEN:null,KeyWords:null,EKeyWords:null,SubjectWords:null,LiteratureId:11257345,Fileref:null,OrderFlag:0,IsLeaf:Y,PubDate:null,FindDate:null,IssueDate:null,DocType:null,ProductSeries:null,Doi:null,InstanceID:0,MinNodeSearch:null,XmlID:null,Prop1:null,Prop2:null,Prop3:null,prop4:null,AddUser:jiangshan,AddTime:2019-06-13 14:34:59.0,ModifyUser:Admin,ModifyTime:2021-11-03 03:47:01.0,HitCount:0,ShowType:putong,LogoID:0,PdfID:0,DownCount:0,AuthorInfos:null,BookPublishDate:2019-04-01 00:00:00.0,SearchTitle:《云南省哲学社会科学创新团队成果文库》编辑说明,ISBN:978-7-5201-4290-8,BookTitle:最优消费率与中国经济稳定增长研究,BookStatus:7,AllowDownload:Y,BookVersionNum:null,researchorg:null,CopyRightDate:null,ExcellentPeriod:null,PrizeLevel:null,IsExcellence:null,ContentClass:null,IsDisabled:N,SearchTitle_2:《云南省哲学社会科学创新团队成果文库》编辑说明,_RowNo:3

CommonID:DIR_70717432,ID:11257348,SiteID:14,Type:formerAidText,Code:null,ParentId:0,InnerCode:639941,name:前言,ShortName:,SubName:,EnTitle:null,EnShortTitle:null,EnSubTitle:null,Level:0,BookId:11257336,AbstractCH:null,AbstractEN:null,KeyWords:null,EKeyWords:null,SubjectWords:null,LiteratureId:11257347,Fileref:null,OrderFlag:0,IsLeaf:Y,PubDate:null,FindDate:null,IssueDate:null,DocType:null,ProductSeries:null,Doi:null,InstanceID:0,MinNodeSearch:null,XmlID:null,Prop1:null,Prop2:null,Prop3:null,prop4:null,AddUser:jiangshan,AddTime:2019-06-13 14:34:59.0,ModifyUser:Admin,ModifyTime:2021-11-03 03:47:01.0,HitCount:0,ShowType:putong,LogoID:0,PdfID:0,DownCount:0,AuthorInfos:null,BookPublishDate:2019-04-01 00:00:00.0,SearchTitle:前言,ISBN:978-7-5201-4290-8,BookTitle:最优消费率与中国经济稳定增长研究,BookStatus:7,AllowDownload:Y,BookVersionNum:null,researchorg:null,CopyRightDate:null,ExcellentPeriod:null,PrizeLevel:null,IsExcellence:null,ContentClass:null,IsDisabled:N,SearchTitle_2:前言,_RowNo:4

CommonID:DIR_70717433,ID:11257350,SiteID:14,Type:chapter,Code:null,ParentId:0,InnerCode:639942,name:第一章 导论,ShortName:,SubName:,EnTitle:,EnShortTitle:,EnSubTitle:,Level:0,BookId:11257336,AbstractCH:

本书将运用经济增长理论，以最优消费率为主线，通过理论模型分析，探讨经济体满足最优消费率的条件、消费率随经济的可能演化路径以及经济在稳态上的消费率与最优消费率的关系; 通过实证分析，运用经济动态效率与最优消费率之间的关系界定中国经济的最优消费率，并利用中国31个省份的数据进行更进一步的分析; 在参数校准的基础上，运用索洛模型、拉姆齐模型、开放经济条件下的一般均衡模型、DSGE模型模拟中国经济的最优消费率并分析其影响因素; 基于最优消费率研究提出扩大消费需求的对策建议。

,AbstractEN:This book will use the theory of economic growth, taking the optimal consumption rate as the main line, and through theoretical model analysis, explore the conditions for the economy to meet the optimal consumption rate, the possible evolution path of the consumption rate with the economy, and the steady consumption rate of the economy. The relationship of optimal consumption rate. Through empirical analysis, the relationship between the dynamic economic efficiency and the optimal consumption rate is used to define the optimal consumption rate of the Chinese economy, and data from 31 provinces in China are used for further analysis. Based on the parameter calibration, this article uses the Solow model, Ramsey model, general equilibrium model under open economic conditions, and DSGE model to simulate the optimal consumption rate of the Chinese economy and analyzes its influencing factors. Based on the study of the optimal consumption rate, it proposes countermeasures and suggestions for expanding consumption demand.,KeyWords:487798,119438,5411,20451,5194,EKeyWords:487801,140903,3845,31281,5295,SubjectWords:,LiteratureId:11257349,Fileref:null,OrderFlag:0,IsLeaf:N,PubDate:null,FindDate:null,IssueDate:null,DocType:null,ProductSeries:null,Doi:null,InstanceID:0,MinNodeSearch:Y,XmlID:b120190501X20162442001_000_001,Prop1:null,Prop2:null,Prop3:null,prop4:null,AddUser:jiangshan,AddTime:2019-06-13 14:34:59.0,ModifyUser:Admin,ModifyTime:2021-11-03 03:47:01.0,HitCount:23,ShowType:putong,LogoID:0,PdfID:11257351,DownCount:5,AuthorInfos:,BookPublishDate:2019-04-01 00:00:00.0,SearchTitle:最优消费率与中国经济稳定增长研究,ISBN:978-7-5201-4290-8,BookTitle:最优消费率与中国经济稳定增长研究,BookStatus:7,AllowDownload:Y,BookVersionNum:null,researchorg:null,CopyRightDate:null,ExcellentPeriod:null,PrizeLevel:null,IsExcellence:null,ContentClass:null,IsDisabled:N,SearchTitle_2:最优消费率与中国经济稳定增长研究,_RowNo:5

CommonID:DIR_70717456,ID:11257353,SiteID:14,Type:chapter,Code:null,ParentId:0,InnerCode:639943,name:第二章 中国消费率与经济增长稳定性：特征事实,ShortName:,SubName:,EnTitle:,EnShortTitle:,EnSubTitle:,Level:0,BookId:11257336,AbstractCH:

诸多研究都表明我国消费率的一个特征事实: 虽然我国经济增长远高于世界平均水平，但消费率却逐年下降且低于世界平均水平。本文讨论改革开放以来我国消费率与经济增长稳定性的特征事实:第一节通过横向比较分析我国与世界主要国家消费率，进而分析我国消费率是否偏低;分析改革开放以来我国消费率演变情况。第二节通过需求和供给各组成部分增长率变化情况粗略分析了改革开放以来我国经济增长稳定性的变化情况。第三节对影响最终消费率的各因素进行了研究，并运用我国统计数据做了粗略的实证分析。

,AbstractEN:Many studies have shown a characteristic fact of China's consumption rate: Although China's economic growth is much higher than the average of the world, the consumption rate has declined year by year and is lower than the world average. This article discusses the characteristics and facts of China ’s consumption rate and the stability of economic growth since the reform and opening up. The first section analyzes the consumption rate of China and the world ’s major countries through a horizontal comparison, and then analyzes whether China ’s consumption rate is low. The second section roughly analyzes the changes in the stability of China's economic growth since the reform and opening up through the changes in the growth rates of various components of demand and supply. The third section studies the factors that affect the final consumption rate, and uses the statistical data of China to make a rough empirical analysis.,KeyWords:209215,119438,119439,5194,5411,EKeyWords:209217,140903,455497,5295,3845,SubjectWords:,LiteratureId:11257352,Fileref:null,OrderFlag:0,IsLeaf:N,PubDate:null,FindDate:null,IssueDate:null,DocType:null,ProductSeries:null,Doi:null,InstanceID:0,MinNodeSearch:Y,XmlID:b120190501X20162442001_000_002,Prop1:null,Prop2:null,Prop3:null,prop4:null,AddUser:jiangshan,AddTime:2019-06-13 14:34:59.0,ModifyUser:Admin,ModifyTime:2021-11-03 03:47:01.0,HitCount:30,ShowType:putong,LogoID:0,PdfID:11257354,DownCount:10,AuthorInfos:,BookPublishDate:2019-04-01 00:00:00.0,SearchTitle:中国消费率与经济增长稳定性：特征事实,ISBN:978-7-5201-4290-8,BookTitle:最优消费率与中国经济稳定增长研究,BookStatus:7,AllowDownload:Y,BookVersionNum:null,researchorg:null,CopyRightDate:null,ExcellentPeriod:null,PrizeLevel:null,IsExcellence:null,ContentClass:null,IsDisabled:N,SearchTitle_2:中国消费率与经济增长稳定性：特征事实,_RowNo:6

CommonID:DIR_70717474,ID:11257356,SiteID:14,Type:chapter,Code:null,ParentId:0,InnerCode:639944,name:第三章 经济动态效率与最优消费率,ShortName:,SubName:,EnTitle:,EnShortTitle:,EnSubTitle:,Level:0,BookId:11257336,AbstractCH:

本文从经济动态效率的视角对最优消费率的概念进行界定，经济实现黄金律增长时对应的消费率为一个经济体的最优消费率；讨论了经济动态效率和最优消费率的关系：当经济处于动态无效状态时，现实经济的消费率低于最优消费率；当经济处于动态有效状态时，现实经济的消费率高于最优消费率。在理论分析的基础上，运用全国和地区层面数据对最优消费率和动态效率问题进行了实证研究。

,AbstractEN:This article defines the concept of optimal consumption rate from the perspective of economic dynamic efficiency. When the economy realizes the golden law growth, the corresponding consumption rate is the optimal consumption rate of an economy. The relationship between economic dynamic efficiency and optimal consumption rate is discussed: When the economy is in a dynamic invalid state, the consumption rate of the real economy is lower than the optimal consumption rate; when the economy is in a dynamic effective state, the consumption rate of the real economy is higher than the optimal consumption rate. On the basis of theoretical analysis, empirical research on the optimal consumption rate and dynamic efficiency is conducted using national and regional data.,KeyWords:549979,209215,487798,119438,EKeyWords:549980,209217,487801,140903,SubjectWords:,LiteratureId:11257355,Fileref:null,OrderFlag:0,IsLeaf:N,PubDate:null,FindDate:null,IssueDate:null,DocType:null,ProductSeries:null,Doi:null,InstanceID:0,MinNodeSearch:Y,XmlID:b120190501X20162442001_000_003,Prop1:null,Prop2:null,Prop3:null,prop4:null,AddUser:jiangshan,AddTime:2019-06-13 14:34:59.0,ModifyUser:Admin,ModifyTime:2021-11-03 03:47:01.0,HitCount:16,ShowType:putong,LogoID:0,PdfID:11257357,DownCount:7,AuthorInfos:,BookPublishDate:2019-04-01 00:00:00.0,SearchTitle:经济动态效率与最优消费率,ISBN:978-7-5201-4290-8,BookTitle:最优消费率与中国经济稳定增长研究,BookStatus:7,AllowDownload:Y,BookVersionNum:null,researchorg:null,CopyRightDate:null,ExcellentPeriod:null,PrizeLevel:null,IsExcellence:null,ContentClass:null,IsDisabled:N,SearchTitle_2:经济动态效率与最优消费率,_RowNo:7

CommonID:DIR_70717503,ID:11257359,SiteID:14,Type:chapter,Code:null,ParentId:0,InnerCode:639945,name:第四章 索洛模型中的最优消费率,ShortName:,SubName:,EnTitle:,EnShortTitle:,EnSubTitle:,Level:0,BookId:11257336,AbstractCH:

本文以索洛模型为基础，通过理论模型推演，探讨消费率对经济增长的作用机制及经济体满足最优消费率的条件，并运用中国1978~2013年的数据进行了实证分析。本文结构安排如下: 第一节从索洛模型出发讨论最优消费率与传统的黄金律资本存量的关系，并进行理论分析;第二节结合中国的实际经济数据，建立计量经济模型进行分析，进而得出中国经济的最优消费率;第三节以索洛模型为基础，从资本产出比的角度界定最优消费率，并进行了定量分析;第四节结合理论和实证结论提出了最优消费率研究的政策启示。

,AbstractEN:Based on the Solow model, this paper explores the mechanism of consumption rate on economic growth and the conditions under which the economy meets the optimal consumption rate through theoretical model deduction, and conducts empirical analysis using data from China from 1978 to 2013. The structure of this article is as follows: The first section discusses the relationship between the optimal consumption rate and the traditional Golden Law capital stock from the Solow model, and conducts theoretical analysis; The second section combines the actual economic data of China, establishes an econometric model for analysis, and then derives the optimal consumption rate of the Chinese economy; Based on the Solow model, the third section defines the optimal consumption rate from the perspective of capital-output ratio and conducts quantitative analysis; Section IV proposes policy implications for the study of optimal consumption rates based on theoretical and empirical conclusions.,KeyWords:306013,487798,5660,37042,94382,EKeyWords:418641,487801,5663,30329,87504,SubjectWords:,LiteratureId:11257358,Fileref:null,OrderFlag:0,IsLeaf:N,PubDate:null,FindDate:null,IssueDate:null,DocType:null,ProductSeries:null,Doi:null,InstanceID:0,MinNodeSearch:Y,XmlID:b120190501X20162442001_000_004,Prop1:null,Prop2:null,Prop3:null,prop4:null,AddUser:jiangshan,AddTime:2019-06-13 14:35:00.0,ModifyUser:Admin,ModifyTime:2021-11-03 03:47:01.0,HitCount:17,ShowType:putong,LogoID:0,PdfID:11257360,DownCount:3,AuthorInfos:,BookPublishDate:2019-04-01 00:00:00.0,SearchTitle:索洛模型中的最优消费率,ISBN:978-7-5201-4290-8,BookTitle:最优消费率与中国经济稳定增长研究,BookStatus:7,AllowDownload:Y,BookVersionNum:null,researchorg:null,CopyRightDate:null,ExcellentPeriod:null,PrizeLevel:null,IsExcellence:null,ContentClass:null,IsDisabled:N,SearchTitle_2:索洛模型中的最优消费率,_RowNo:8

CommonID:DIR_70717522,ID:11257362,SiteID:14,Type:chapter,Code:null,ParentId:0,InnerCode:639946,name:第五章 拉姆齐模型中的最优消费率,ShortName:,SubName:,EnTitle:,EnShortTitle:,EnSubTitle:,Level:0,BookId:11257336,AbstractCH:

拉姆齐模型是进行跨期最优消费和储蓄决策分析的经典模型，该模型以英国剑桥大学数学家和逻辑学家弗兰克·拉姆齐的名字命名，拉姆齐(Ramsey)于1928年12月在《经济学杂志》上发表了《储蓄的数学原理》一文，从跨期的角度研究了资源配置问题。该模型后经卡斯(Cass，1955)和库普曼斯（Koopmans，1965)进一步完善，逐步形成了当今高级宏观经济学课程中常见的拉姆齐-卡斯-库普曼斯模型。本文运用该模型来分析最优消费率问题:第一节探讨了拉姆齐模型中最优消费率的决定问题;第二节结合我国经济发展实际校准了相关外生参数，得到我国的最优消费率，并在此基础上模拟了各种外生参数变化对最优消费率的影响;第三节对本文的分析进行小结，并给出了政策启示。

,AbstractEN:The Ramsey model is a classic model for analyzing intertemporal optimal consumption and savings decisions. The model is named after Frank Ramsey, a mathematician and logician at the University of Cambridge, England. Ramsey in December 1928 He published the article "The Mathematical Principles of Savings" in the "Journal of Economics" and studied the problem of resource allocation from an intertemporal perspective. This model was further improved by Cass (1955) and Koopmans (1965), and gradually formed the Ramsey-Cass-Koopmans model common in today's advanced macroeconomics courses. This article uses this model to analyze the optimal consumption rate. The first section discusses the decision of the optimal consumption rate in the Ramsey model; The second section calibrates the relevant exogenous parameters in combination with the actual development of China's economy to obtain the optimal consumption rate in China, and simulates the impact of various exogenous parameter changes on the optimal consumption rate on this basis; Section III summarizes the analysis in this article and gives policy implications.,KeyWords:549981,487798,37042,EKeyWords:549982,487801,30329,SubjectWords:,LiteratureId:11257361,Fileref:null,OrderFlag:0,IsLeaf:N,PubDate:null,FindDate:null,IssueDate:null,DocType:null,ProductSeries:null,Doi:null,InstanceID:0,MinNodeSearch:Y,XmlID:b120190501X20162442001_000_005,Prop1:null,Prop2:null,Prop3:null,prop4:null,AddUser:jiangshan,AddTime:2019-06-13 14:35:00.0,ModifyUser:Admin,ModifyTime:2021-11-03 03:47:01.0,HitCount:23,ShowType:putong,LogoID:0,PdfID:11257363,DownCount:3,AuthorInfos:,BookPublishDate:2019-04-01 00:00:00.0,SearchTitle:拉姆齐模型中的最优消费率,ISBN:978-7-5201-4290-8,BookTitle:最优消费率与中国经济稳定增长研究,BookStatus:7,AllowDownload:Y,BookVersionNum:null,researchorg:null,CopyRightDate:null,ExcellentPeriod:null,PrizeLevel:null,IsExcellence:null,ContentClass:null,IsDisabled:N,SearchTitle_2:拉姆齐模型中的最优消费率,_RowNo:9

CommonID:DIR_70717548,ID:11257365,SiteID:14,Type:chapter,Code:null,ParentId:0,InnerCode:639947,name:第六章 开放经济条件下的最优消费率,ShortName:,SubName:,EnTitle:,EnShortTitle:,EnSubTitle:,Level:0,BookId:11257336,AbstractCH:

基于目前直接研究经济开放对最终消费率文献在理论与实证层面的欠缺，且研究这一问题与本书研究主题有所偏离。 本文通过构建开放经济条件下的一般均衡模型，讨论开放经济下的最优消费率决定问题，由于一般均衡模型的复杂性要获得解析解较为困难，在理论模型构建完成后，最优消费率的求解及影响因素分析中采用了数值模拟的方法。本文结构安排如下:第一节借鉴Obstfeld和Rogoff(2010)构建的模型，构建开放经济条件下最优消费的决定模型;第二节在参数校准的基础上，通过数值模拟测算最优消费率及消费增长率。

,AbstractEN:Based on the current theoretical and empirical research on the economic openness of the final consumption rate literature, and the study of this issue deviates from the research theme of this book. This article discusses the determination of the optimal consumption rate in an open economy by constructing a general equilibrium model under the conditions of an open economy. Due to the complexity of the general equilibrium model, it is difficult to obtain an analytical solution. After the construction of the theoretical model is completed, a numerical simulation method is used in the solution of the optimal consumption rate and the analysis of the influencing factors. The structure of this article is as follows: The first section draws on the model constructed by Obstfeld and Rogoff (2010) to build a model for determining optimal consumption under open economic conditions; the second section calculates the optimal consumption rate and consumption growth rate through numerical simulation based on parameter calibration.,KeyWords:487798,98960,417738,399614,EKeyWords:487801,35534,417741,399619,SubjectWords:,LiteratureId:11257364,Fileref:null,OrderFlag:0,IsLeaf:N,PubDate:null,FindDate:null,IssueDate:null,DocType:null,ProductSeries:null,Doi:null,InstanceID:0,MinNodeSearch:Y,XmlID:b120190501X20162442001_000_006,Prop1:null,Prop2:null,Prop3:null,prop4:null,AddUser:jiangshan,AddTime:2019-06-13 14:35:00.0,ModifyUser:Admin,ModifyTime:2021-11-03 03:47:01.0,HitCount:17,ShowType:putong,LogoID:0,PdfID:11257366,DownCount:3,AuthorInfos:,BookPublishDate:2019-04-01 00:00:00.0,SearchTitle:开放经济条件下的最优消费率,ISBN:978-7-5201-4290-8,BookTitle:最优消费率与中国经济稳定增长研究,BookStatus:7,AllowDownload:Y,BookVersionNum:null,researchorg:null,CopyRightDate:null,ExcellentPeriod:null,PrizeLevel:null,IsExcellence:null,ContentClass:null,IsDisabled:N,SearchTitle_2:开放经济条件下的最优消费率,_RowNo:10

CommonID:DIR_70717563,ID:11257368,SiteID:14,Type:chapter,Code:null,ParentId:0,InnerCode:639948,name:第七章 动态随机一般均衡模型中的最优消费率,ShortName:,SubName:,EnTitle:,EnShortTitle:,EnSubTitle:,Level:0,BookId:11257336,AbstractCH:

动态随机一般均衡模型(DSGE)作为“宏观经济实验室”中的一个重要工具，在现代宏观经济分析中得到了广泛应用。目前，鉴于国内学者运用DSGE这一分析工具研究消费率、最优消费率的文献还相对较少，且分析范式上还不太统一。本文尝试构建动态随机一般均衡模型研究消费率问题，由于DSGE模型是基于经济主体最优化出发来研究相关问题的，出于方便的考虑本文将经济处于稳态时的消费率界定为最优消费率，进而分析最优消费率和经济产出对各种外生冲击的响应。

,AbstractEN:Dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model (DSGE), as an important tool in the "macroeconomic laboratory", has been widely used in modern macroeconomic analysis. At present, in view of the fact that domestic scholars use DSGE as an analytical tool to study the consumption rate and the optimal consumption rate, there is relatively little literature, and the analysis paradigm is not very uniform. This article attempts to construct a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model to study the consumption rate problem. Since the DSGE model is based on the optimization of economic entities to study related issues, for convenience, this article defines the consumption rate when the economy is at a steady state as the optimal consumption rate. Then, analyze the response of the optimal consumption rate and economic output to various exogenous shocks.,KeyWords:529174,487798,417738,103128,EKeyWords:549985,487801,417741,103130,SubjectWords:,LiteratureId:11257367,Fileref:null,OrderFlag:0,IsLeaf:N,PubDate:null,FindDate:null,IssueDate:null,DocType:null,ProductSeries:null,Doi:null,InstanceID:0,MinNodeSearch:Y,XmlID:b120190501X20162442001_000_007,Prop1:null,Prop2:null,Prop3:null,prop4:null,AddUser:jiangshan,AddTime:2019-06-13 14:35:00.0,ModifyUser:Admin,ModifyTime:2021-11-03 03:47:01.0,HitCount:17,ShowType:putong,LogoID:0,PdfID:11257369,DownCount:3,AuthorInfos:,BookPublishDate:2019-04-01 00:00:00.0,SearchTitle:动态随机一般均衡模型中的最优消费率,ISBN:978-7-5201-4290-8,BookTitle:最优消费率与中国经济稳定增长研究,BookStatus:7,AllowDownload:Y,BookVersionNum:null,researchorg:null,CopyRightDate:null,ExcellentPeriod:null,PrizeLevel:null,IsExcellence:null,ContentClass:null,IsDisabled:N,SearchTitle_2:动态随机一般均衡模型中的最优消费率,_RowNo:11

CommonID:DIR_70717579,ID:11257371,SiteID:14,Type:chapter,Code:null,ParentId:0,InnerCode:639949,name:第八章 中国经济增长稳定性评价及其影响因素分析,ShortName:,SubName:,EnTitle:,EnShortTitle:,EnSubTitle:,Level:0,BookId:11257336,AbstractCH:

传统的经济波动分析一般从经济总供给和总需求的角度来阐述经济增长稳定性的影响因素。本文从一个新的视角来研究经济增长稳定性的影响因素，经济结构变化(需求结构、产业结构、要素结构、所有制结构)对经济增长稳定性的影响。首先，依据相关经济理论对需求结构、产业结构、要素结构、所有制结构等四种结构因素如何影响经济增长稳定性进行分析;其次，构建计量模型将各影响因素统一在一个分析框架内，进而定量分析各因素对经济增长稳定性的影响程度;最后，根据研究结论提出了改善中国经济增长稳定性的政策建议。

,AbstractEN:The traditional economic fluctuation analysis generally expounds the influencing factors of the stability of economic growth from the perspective of total economic supply and demand. This article studies the influence factors of the stability of economic growth from a new perspective, and the impact of changes in economic structure (demand structure, industrial structure, factor structure, ownership structure) on the stability of economic growth. First, based on relevant economic theories, analyze how the four structural factors such as demand structure, industrial structure, factor structure, and ownership structure affect the stability of economic growth.Second, build an econometric model to unify each influencing factor in an analytical framework, and then quantify Analyze the degree of influence of various factors on the stability of economic growth; Finally, based on the conclusions of the study, policy suggestions for improving the stability of China's economic growth are put forward.,KeyWords:549991,98471,4693,385698,65253,EKeyWords:549992,98472,4695,549994,65254,SubjectWords:,LiteratureId:11257370,Fileref:null,OrderFlag:0,IsLeaf:N,PubDate:null,FindDate:null,IssueDate:null,DocType:null,ProductSeries:null,Doi:null,InstanceID:0,MinNodeSearch:Y,XmlID:b120190501X20162442001_000_008,Prop1:null,Prop2:null,Prop3:null,prop4:null,AddUser:jiangshan,AddTime:2019-06-13 14:35:00.0,ModifyUser:Admin,ModifyTime:2021-11-03 03:47:01.0,HitCount:19,ShowType:putong,LogoID:0,PdfID:11257372,DownCount:6,AuthorInfos:,BookPublishDate:2019-04-01 00:00:00.0,SearchTitle:中国经济增长稳定性评价及其影响因素分析,ISBN:978-7-5201-4290-8,BookTitle:最优消费率与中国经济稳定增长研究,BookStatus:7,AllowDownload:Y,BookVersionNum:null,researchorg:null,CopyRightDate:null,ExcellentPeriod:null,PrizeLevel:null,IsExcellence:null,ContentClass:null,IsDisabled:N,SearchTitle_2:中国经济增长稳定性评价及其影响因素分析,_RowNo:12

CommonID:DIR_70717625,ID:11257375,SiteID:14,Type:chapter,Code:null,ParentId:0,InnerCode:639950,name:第九章 最终消费率对经济增长及其稳定性的影响分析,ShortName:,SubName:,EnTitle:,EnShortTitle:,EnSubTitle:,Level:0,BookId:11257336,AbstractCH:

在我国经济进入新常态的背景下，使经济保持持续稳定的中高速增长对我国全面建成小康社会和国民福利的进一步改进提升具有重要意义。消费率对经济增长及其稳定性产生作用的两种途径都不容易进行量化分析，因此本文通过数值模拟的方式分析消费率变化对经济增长及其稳定性的影响。考虑到数据可得性和多角度分析的需要，本文从三个层面分析消费率变动对经济增长及其稳定性的影响:首先，从国民经济核算层面，在消费、投资、净出口的增长率保持不变的条件下，模拟最终消费率变动对经济增长的影响;其次，从投入产出分析层面，分析最终消费率变动对我国经济增长的影响; 最后，运用我国1978~2016年数据，通过建立最终消费率、投资率和经济增长率的VAR模型分析消费率变动对我国经济增长及其稳定性的影响。

,AbstractEN:In the context of China's economy entering a new normal, maintaining a sustained and stable medium and high-speed growth is of great significance for China to build a well-off society in an all-round way and to further improve the national welfare. The two ways in which the consumption rate has an effect on economic growth and its stability are not easy to quantify. Therefore, this paper analyzes the impact of changes in the consumption rate on economic growth and its stability by means of numerical simulation. Considering the availability of data and the need for multi-angle analysis, this article analyzes the impact of changes in consumption rates on economic growth and its stability from three levels: First, from the level of national accounting, under the condition that the growth rates of consumption, investment and net exports remain unchanged, simulate the impact of changes in the final consumption rate on economic growth; second, from the input-output analysis level, analyze the changes in the final consumption rate Impact on China's economic growth; Finally, using data from 1978 to 2016 in China, the impact of changes in consumption rate on China's economic growth and its stability is analyzed by establishing a VAR model of final consumption rate, investment rate, and economic growth rate.,KeyWords:209215,22980,119438,5411,5194,EKeyWords:209217,27110,140903,3845,5295,SubjectWords:,LiteratureId:11257374,Fileref:null,OrderFlag:0,IsLeaf:N,PubDate:null,FindDate:null,IssueDate:null,DocType:null,ProductSeries:null,Doi:null,InstanceID:0,MinNodeSearch:Y,XmlID:b120190501X20162442001_000_009,Prop1:null,Prop2:null,Prop3:null,prop4:null,AddUser:jiangshan,AddTime:2019-06-13 14:35:01.0,ModifyUser:Admin,ModifyTime:2021-11-03 03:47:01.0,HitCount:9,ShowType:putong,LogoID:0,PdfID:11257376,DownCount:6,AuthorInfos:,BookPublishDate:2019-04-01 00:00:00.0,SearchTitle:最终消费率对经济增长及其稳定性的影响分析,ISBN:978-7-5201-4290-8,BookTitle:最优消费率与中国经济稳定增长研究,BookStatus:7,AllowDownload:Y,BookVersionNum:null,researchorg:null,CopyRightDate:null,ExcellentPeriod:null,PrizeLevel:null,IsExcellence:null,ContentClass:null,IsDisabled:N,SearchTitle_2:最终消费率对经济增长及其稳定性的影响分析,_RowNo:13

CommonID:DIR_70717654,ID:11257378,SiteID:14,Type:chapter,Code:null,ParentId:0,InnerCode:639951,name:第十章 结论与展望,ShortName:,SubName:,EnTitle:,EnShortTitle:,EnSubTitle:,Level:0,BookId:11257336,AbstractCH:

本文首先分析了我国最终消费率与经济增长稳定性的特征事实，明确研究所要解释和解决的问题;接着基于动态效率、索洛模型、拉姆齐模型等理论框架，探讨了在经济实现最优增长条件下最优消费率的决定及最优消费率与经济稳定增长的关系问题;然后运用相关指标对我国经济增长稳定性进行评价，并分析了其影响因素;最终，得出了提高最终消费率对经济增长率本身影响较小，但对经济增长稳定性作用较为显著的结论。因此，提高最终消费率向其最优值收敛，对我国经济实现稳定增长具有重要的意义。本文研究表明，提高消费率对经济增长率的影响较小，但对经济增长稳定性的提高有较为显著的效应。同时，本文就目前形成的成果提出三点不足和两方面展望。

,AbstractEN:This article first analyzes the characteristic facts of China ’s final consumption rate and the stability of economic growth, and clarifies the issues to be explained and resolved by the research institute; Next, based on the theoretical framework of dynamic efficiency, Solow model, Ramsey model, etc., the decision of the optimal consumption rate under the condition of achieving the optimal economic growth and the relationship between the optimal consumption rate and stable economic growth are discussed; Then, the relevant indicators are used to evaluate the stability of China's economic growth, and its influencing factors are analyzed; In the end, it is concluded that increasing the final consumption rate has less impact on the economic growth rate itself, but has a more significant effect on the stability of economic growth. Therefore, increasing the final consumption rate to converge to its optimal value is of great significance to the steady growth of China's economy. The research in this paper shows that increasing the consumption rate has a small impact on economic growth rate, but has a more significant effect on the improvement of economic growth stability. At the same time, this article puts forward three shortcomings and two perspectives on the results that have been formed so far.,KeyWords:487798,5194,5411,209215,2786,EKeyWords:487801,5295,3845,209217,2787,SubjectWords:,LiteratureId:11257377,Fileref:null,OrderFlag:0,IsLeaf:N,PubDate:null,FindDate:null,IssueDate:null,DocType:null,ProductSeries:null,Doi:null,InstanceID:0,MinNodeSearch:Y,XmlID:b120190501X20162442001_000_010,Prop1:null,Prop2:null,Prop3:null,prop4:null,AddUser:jiangshan,AddTime:2019-06-13 14:35:01.0,ModifyUser:Admin,ModifyTime:2021-11-03 03:47:01.0,HitCount:20,ShowType:putong,LogoID:0,PdfID:11257379,DownCount:6,AuthorInfos:,BookPublishDate:2019-04-01 00:00:00.0,SearchTitle:最优消费率与中国经济稳定增长研究结论与展望,ISBN:978-7-5201-4290-8,BookTitle:最优消费率与中国经济稳定增长研究,BookStatus:7,AllowDownload:Y,BookVersionNum:null,researchorg:null,CopyRightDate:null,ExcellentPeriod:null,PrizeLevel:null,IsExcellence:null,ContentClass:null,IsDisabled:N,SearchTitle_2:最优消费率与中国经济稳定增长研究结论与展望,_RowNo:14

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