2020年四川经济形势分析与预测
| 书 名： |
2020年四川经济形势分析与预测 |
| 英 文 名： |
ECONOMY OF SICHUAN ANALYSIS AND FORECAST （2020）
|
| 作 者： |
达捷 陈映 陈妤 杨钢 |
| I S B N： |
978-7-5201-6008-7 |
| 丛 书 名： |
四川蓝皮书
订阅
|
| 关 键 词： |
区域经济 经济分析 经济预测 四川 |
| 出版日期： |
2020-09-01 |
中文摘要
2019年，四川主要经济指标好于年初预期。其中，GDP同比增长7.5%，增速比全国平均水平高约1.4个百分点，已连续12个季度保持在7.8%～8.2%的运行区间。从三次产业来看，第一、第二、第三次产业增加值分别同比增长2.8%、7.5%和8.5%，第二、第三产业增加值增速分别高于全国平均水平1.8个、1.6个百分点。规模以上工业增加值同比增长7.9%，投资增速高于全国5.1个百分点，进出口增长高于全国6.8个百分点，城镇居民、农村居民人均可支配收入分别增长8.8%和10%，社会消费品零售总额增速比全国平均水平高2.4个百分点。
2020年，受新冠肺炎疫情和国内外经济环境变化的影响，预计四川主要经济指标将明显下降。其中，GDP增速将有望增长6%左右，第一产业增速稳定在2.8%～3.1%，第二产业增速稳定在5%～6%，第三产业增长7%～7.5%。预计消费增长7%以上，投资增长8%以上，向国外的出口增长8%以上。
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