2021年四川经济形势分析与预测
书 名： 2021年四川经济形势分析与预测
英 文 名： ECONOMY OF SICHUAN ANALYSIS AND FORECAST （2021）
作 者： 杨钢 达捷 陈映 陈妤
I S B N： 978-7-5201-8647-6
丛 书 名：
四川蓝皮书
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关 键 词： 四川省 经济形势 区域经济 成渝双城经济圈
出版日期： 2021-10-01
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中文摘要
2020年伊始，受新冠肺炎疫情的严重冲击和国内外多种不利因素的影响，四川经济增速出现了大幅下滑。但得益于不断推出的“稳增长、促改革、调结构、惠民生”项目，四川经济增长在第四季度基本回到常态运行区间，主要经济指标表现均好于全国平均水平。其中，GDP同比增长3.8%，增速比全国平均水平高1.5个百分点。第一、第二、第三产业增加值分别同比增长5.2%、3.8%和4.5%，第一、第二、第三产业增速分别高于全国平均水平2.2个、1.2个和1.3个百分点。规模以上工业增加值同比增长4.5%，投资增速高于全国7个百分点，进出口增速高于全国17.1个百分点，城镇居民、农村居民人均可支配收入增速分别高于全国2.3个和1.7个百分点，社会消费品零售总额增速比全国平均水平高1.5个百分点。
2021年，随着国际经济环境的好转，国内经济将持续回升。作为我国“双循环”潜力最大的重要区域，再加上成渝地区双城经济圈建设、西部大开发等政策的支持，四川的主要经济指标将持续高于全国平均水平。其中，GDP增速将有望达到7%左右，第一产业增长3%以上，第二产业增速稳定在7%～8%，第三产业增长8%～9%，投资增长7%以上，消费增长10%以上，进出口增速将有所回落，但增速有望保持在10%以上。
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