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北京经济发展报告(2021~2022)

书 名: 北京经济发展报告(2021~2022)
英 文 名: ANNUAL REPORT ON ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT OF BEIJING (2021-2022)
作 者:  杨松 唐勇 邓丽姝
I S B N: 978-7-5201-9941-4
丛 书 名: 北京蓝皮书
关 键 词:  区域经济发展 北京经济 宏观经济
出版日期: 2022-04-01

中文摘要

《北京经济发展报告(2021~2022)》是以北京市社会科学院经济研究所的研究人员为核心团队成员,吸收政府部门、科研机构、高等院校及相关咨询公司等各方面专家、学者共同撰写的关于北京市经济发展、经济形势分析与预测的年度研究报告。

《北京经济发展报告(2021~2022)》对2021年北京市经济发展的整体形势进行了系统性的分析与回顾,特别关注了2021年新冠肺炎疫情对北京2022年经济形势等的影响;本报告聚焦北京市经济社会发展中的全局性、战略性和关键领域的重点问题,运用定量和定性分析相结合的方法,对北京市经济社会发展的现状、问题、成因进行了深入分析,提出了可操作性的对策建议。

《北京经济发展报告(2021~2022)》分为总报告、宏观经济篇、战略分析篇、产业发展篇、财政金融篇和区域发展篇。从内容看,本书对2022年宏观经济形势、工业发展形势、财政金融形势、房地产形势等进行了展望、预测和分析,特别聚焦首都高质量发展、王府井商业步行街转型升级、北京区域发展格局的空间差异、现代化首都都市圈、京津冀产业协同发展、北京碳中和目标、冬奥会遗产、知识产权证券化、绿色金融、北京经济技术开发区、中关村科学城等重点热点问题,并进行了深入的研究和分析。

总报告是本书的核心内容。总报告共分四个部分:第一部分主要对北京所处外部环境进行了分析和判断;第二部分主要是对2021年北京经济形势进行了分析;第三部分运用新增长理论追赶模型分析了北京完成经济工作的首要任务稳增长面临的压力和挑战;第四部分对2022年北京经济发展主要指标进行了预测。

本报告预测,2022年全年北京全社会固定资产投资将同比增长5.5%左右,保持快速增长态势;总体消费形势比较乐观,预计2022年市场总消费增长率将会在7%左右;2022年工业增加值增速放缓,预计工业增加值将实现3%左右的低速增长;2022年北京第三产业增加值增速预计会在2021年的基础上有所加快,预计总体能保持在6%左右;居民消费价格指数在2021年的基础上会有所上升,但幅度不会太大,预计2022年全年居民消费价格上涨2.6%左右。综合上述分析,预计2022年北京GDP将实现5%左右的增长,经济将持续稳定恢复。

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