中国农村经济形势分析与预测(2021~2022)
中文摘要
2021年农业农村经济在全局中继续发挥重要支撑作用。全年第一产业增加值83086亿元,比上年实际增长7.1%;第一产业增加值在国内生产总值中比重下降到7.3%。乡村人口降到5亿人以下,比2020年减少1157万人。乡村消费品零售额59265亿元,比上年增长12.1%。2021年粮食播种面积超过17.6亿亩,比上年扩大近1300万亩。全年粮食生产克服极端灾害天气和化肥等农业生产资料价格上涨等多种不利因素影响,总产量连续第7年超过6.5亿吨,达68285万吨,创历史新高。主产区、主销区和平衡区粮食播种面积普遍增加并全面增产。全年玉米播种面积6.5亿亩,增产超过1000万吨,玉米产量达27255万吨。2021年生猪产能快速释放。全年出栏生猪67128万头,比2020年增加14424万头,增长27.4%;猪肉产量达5296万吨,比2020年增加1183万吨,增长28.8%。生猪生产基本恢复到常年水平,市场猪肉供应充足,呈现特定的阶段性过剩状况。牛羊肉生产能力进一步提高,猪牛羊禽肉产量显著增长。全年猪牛羊禽肉产量8887万吨,比上年增加1248万吨,增长16.3%。2021年农产品进出口总额3042亿美元,比上年增长23.2%。其中,农产品出口总额844亿美元,比上年增长10.9%;农产品进口总额2198亿美元,比上年增长28.7%。农产品国际贸易逆差1355亿美元,比上年增长42.9%。全年粮食进口16454万吨,比上年增长18.1%。其中,进口玉米2835万吨,比上年增长152.2%;进口大豆9652万吨,比上年下降3.8%。全年进口肉类938万吨,比上年下降5.4%。其中,进口猪肉371万吨,比上年下降15.5%;进口牛肉233万吨,比上年增长10.1%。2021年农产品价格总体比上年下降2.2%,主要受生猪价格较大幅度下降影响。全年生猪生产者价格下降35.1%,而谷物生产者价格比上年上涨13.8%,其中玉米生产者价格比上年上涨25.5%;油料生产者价格比上年上涨7.2%。2021年农民人均可支配收入和消费支出分别近1.9万元和1.6万元,农民收入和消费继续保持较快增长,城乡居民收入和消费差距进一步缩小。全年农民人均可支配收入18931元,比上年名义增长10.5%,实际增长9.7%,其速度高于GDP增长率和城镇居民人均可支配收入增长率,城乡居民收入比下降到2.50,比2020年降低0.06。脱贫地区农民收入继续保持更快速度增长,全年脱贫县农民人均可支配收入14051元,比上年名义增长11.6%,实际增长10.8%。全年农民人均消费支出15916元,比上年名义增长16.1%,实际增长15.3%,其速度都高于城镇居民人均消费增长率,城乡居民人均消费支出比下降到1.90,比2020年降低0.07。农村居民恩格尔系数为32.7%,与2020年持平。展望2022年,国际农产品市场波动可能加剧,国内主要农产品供求结构性矛盾仍然突出,极端灾害天气还可能出现并影响局部地区农业生产,农业生产资料价格可能继续呈现上涨态势,但是中国一定会通过采取有效措施应对各种不确定性和风险挑战,实现农业农村经济稳步发展。估计2022年第一产业增加值达到约9万亿元;粮食总产量达到6.9亿吨左右,其中玉米和大豆会实现增产,粮食连续丰收的同时实现供求结构有效改善;猪肉产量达到5500万吨左右;农民人均可支配收入有望超过2万元。2022年农产品价格虽然呈现上涨态势,但总体可控,且食品消费价格涨幅会明显低于农产品价格涨幅。
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CommonID:DIR_72052875,ID:13742639,SiteID:14,Type:formerAidText,Code:null,ParentId:0,InnerCode:697844,name:摘要,ShortName:,SubName:,EnTitle:,EnShortTitle:,EnSubTitle:,Level:0,BookId:13742628,AbstractCH:2021年农业农村经济在全局中继续发挥重要支撑作用。全年第一产业增加值83086亿元,比上年实际增长7.1%;第一产业增加值在国内生产总值中比重下降到7.3%。乡村人口降到5亿人以下,比2020年减少1157万人。乡村消费品零售额59265亿元,比上年增长12.1%。2021年粮食播种面积超过17.6亿亩,比上年扩大近1300万亩。全年粮食生产克服极端灾害天气和化肥等农业生产资料价格上涨等多种不利因素影响,总产量连续第7年超过6.5亿吨,达68285万吨,创历史新高。主产区、主销区和平衡区粮食播种面积普遍增加并全面增产。全年玉米播种面积6.5亿亩,增产超过1000万吨,玉米产量达27255万吨。2021年生猪产能快速释放。全年出栏生猪67128万头,比2020年增加14424万头,增长27.4%;猪肉产量达5296万吨,比2020年增加1183万吨,增长28.8%。生猪生产基本恢复到常年水平,市场猪肉供应充足,呈现特定的阶段性过剩状况。牛羊肉生产能力进一步提高,猪牛羊禽肉产量显著增长。全年猪牛羊禽肉产量8887万吨,比上年增加1248万吨,增长16.3%。2021年农产品进出口总额3042亿美元,比上年增长23.2%。其中,农产品出口总额844亿美元,比上年增长10.9%;农产品进口总额2198亿美元,比上年增长28.7%。农产品国际贸易逆差1355亿美元,比上年增长42.9%。全年粮食进口16454万吨,比上年增长18.1%。其中,进口玉米2835万吨,比上年增长152.2%;进口大豆9652万吨,比上年下降3.8%。全年进口肉类938万吨,比上年下降5.4%。其中,进口猪肉371万吨,比上年下降15.5%;进口牛肉233万吨,比上年增长10.1%。2021年农产品价格总体比上年下降2.2%,主要受生猪价格较大幅度下降影响。全年生猪生产者价格下降35.1%,而谷物生产者价格比上年上涨13.8%,其中玉米生产者价格比上年上涨25.5%;油料生产者价格比上年上涨7.2%。2021年农民人均可支配收入和消费支出分别近1.9万元和1.6万元,农民收入和消费继续保持较快增长,城乡居民收入和消费差距进一步缩小。全年农民人均可支配收入18931元,比上年名义增长10.5%,实际增长9.7%,其速度高于GDP增长率和城镇居民人均可支配收入增长率,城乡居民收入比下降到2.50,比2020年降低0.06。脱贫地区农民收入继续保持更快速度增长,全年脱贫县农民人均可支配收入14051元,比上年名义增长11.6%,实际增长10.8%。全年农民人均消费支出15916元,比上年名义增长16.1%,实际增长15.3%,其速度都高于城镇居民人均消费增长率,城乡居民人均消费支出比下降到1.90,比2020年降低0.07。农村居民恩格尔系数为32.7%,与2020年持平。展望2022年,国际农产品市场波动可能加剧,国内主要农产品供求结构性矛盾仍然突出,极端灾害天气还可能出现并影响局部地区农业生产,农业生产资料价格可能继续呈现上涨态势,但是中国一定会通过采取有效措施应对各种不确定性和风险挑战,实现农业农村经济稳步发展。估计2022年第一产业增加值达到约9万亿元;粮食总产量达到6.9亿吨左右,其中玉米和大豆会实现增产,粮食连续丰收的同时实现供求结构有效改善;猪肉产量达到5500万吨左右;农民人均可支配收入有望超过2万元。2022年农产品价格虽然呈现上涨态势,但总体可控,且食品消费价格涨幅会明显低于农产品价格涨幅。,AbstractEN:,KeyWords:22460,21668,4936,EKeyWords:,SubjectWords:,LiteratureId:13742638,Fileref:null,OrderFlag:0,IsLeaf:Y,PubDate:null,FindDate:null,IssueDate:null,DocType:null,ProductSeries:null,Doi:null,InstanceID:0,MinNodeSearch:N,XmlID:null,Prop1:null,Prop2:null,Prop3:null,prop4:null,AddUser:admin,AddTime:2022-04-26 15:39:11.0,ModifyUser:Admin,ModifyTime:2023-11-06 18:26:12.0,HitCount:0,ShowType:putong,LogoID:0,PdfID:0,DownCount:0,AuthorInfos:,BookPublishDate:2022-04-01 00:00:00.0,SearchTitle:摘要,ISBN:978-7-5201-9997-1,BookTitle:中国农村经济形势分析与预测(2021~2022),BookStatus:7,AllowDownload:Y,BookVersionNum:,researchorg:,CopyRightDate:null,ExcellentPeriod:,PrizeLevel:,IsExcellence:N,ContentClass:,IsDisabled:N,SearchTitle_2:摘要,_RowNo:4
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总报告
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专题篇
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热点篇
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