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中国碳中和发展报告(2022)

书 名: 中国碳中和发展报告(2022)
英 文 名: ANNUAL REPORT ON THE CARBON NEUTRALITY IN CHINA (2022)
作 者:  沙涛 李群 于法稳 姜冬梅 刘涛刘基伟中国林业生态发展促进会中国碳中和发展集团有限公司
I S B N: 978-7-5228-0076-9
丛 书 名: 低碳发展蓝皮书
关 键 词:  中国经济 低碳经济 经济发展
出版日期: 2022-05-01

中文摘要

本书总报告分析了全球碳中和的发展状况,围绕《关于完整准确全面贯彻新发展理念做好碳达峰碳中和工作的意见》《2030年前碳达峰行动方案》,立足“双控”转变,依据最新统计数据对中国碳中和发展情况进行了综合评价;指出了自2007年开始,中国碳中和发展指数整体呈现缓慢上升趋势,自2015年开始呈现加速上升趋势,从2001年的164.95上升至2019年的182.50,其中2019年的绿色能源、绿色交通、生态碳汇指数较2001年得到了显著的提升。

本书分报告共有七个部分。指数篇,根据《2030年前碳达峰行动方案》的“碳达峰十大行动”,结合愿景目标,从多个维度选取具体指标数据,建立衡量碳达峰、碳中和的地区目标达成情况的指标体系,2019年省际碳中和发展指数均值为5.89,超过均值的省(区)有14个。

专题篇,从森林碳汇当量、能源体系和协同控制等角度对碳中和目标的现实需求进行了探讨。围绕减排交易、生态碳汇和城市降碳等内容进行了深入分析,强调了森林碳汇当量交易、协同控制管理、新能源多元化利用,以及生态系统碳汇增量机制对推动中国实现碳中和目标的重大意义。

区域篇,预测了中国五大区域碳排放梯次达峰情况:在政策情景下,东部、中部和西南可以在2025年左右达峰,东北在2030年左右达峰,西北在2035年左右达峰;在强化减排情景下,五大区域的达峰时间比政策情景下提前5年左右。同时,区域篇回顾了零碳排放示范工程和碳中和示范区建设的进展及措施,剖析了其目前建设中存在的问题。

行业篇,就CCUS技术归纳了国内外发展现状,并就技术的研发和推广总结了做法与模式。同时,以能源大省山西为例,从能源经济问题和经济发展方式问题入手,分析能源产业发展和结构调整,对推动全国能源行业实现碳中和目标具有典型示范作用。

路径篇,强调实现碳中和愿景目标是一场广泛而深刻的经济社会系统性变革,通过对《巴黎协定》目标、科技创新路径引领以及林业碳汇等内容的研究,总结做法和模式,归纳适合中国国情的碳中和发展路径,提出加快科技创新顶层设计、完善推广可复制运行模式、优化资源配置等建议。

政策法规篇,围绕生态文明和法治思维建设,基于中国国情,从提高法律协调性、执行力、保障力等角度,提出了建立综合执法监督体系、适时制定国家专门立法、落实完善风险管理策略等建议。

借鉴篇,对美国、欧盟、日本等经济体碳排放达峰经验进行了详细梳理,总结各主要经济体碳达峰路线图制定经验,从能源、交通、工业,以及碳交易等领域,提出了完善碳中和规范性标准、优化能源结构、推动消费模式升级等政策建议。

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