亚太地区发展报告（2021）
| 书 名： |
亚太地区发展报告（2021） |
| 英 文 名： |
ANNUAL REPORT ON DEVELOPMENT OF ASIA-PACIFIC （2021）
|
| 作 者： |
叶海林 |
| I S B N： |
978-7-5201-9801-1 |
| 丛 书 名： |
亚太蓝皮书
订阅
|
| 关 键 词： |
经济发展 政治 经济 安全 亚太地区 |
| 出版日期： |
2022-08-01 |
中文摘要
2020年初突袭而至并在全球范围内蔓延的新冠肺炎疫情已成为近年来对全球政治、经济、安全、社会甚至文化等领域造成最大冲击的公共卫生安全危机。疫情迅猛的蔓延势头、广泛的扩散途径和数倍于传统流行病的致病致死率不仅对人类生命健康造成重大威胁，还对各国、各地区的公共卫生应急机制和疾控体系带来前所未有的严峻挑战。在亚太地区，尽管多数东亚国家在疫情应对方面表现突出，但由于受到全球疫情形势长期严峻的影响，亚太地区仍将长期面临疫情防控的巨大压力。
在此背景下，2020年，亚太地区局势复杂多变，地缘格局继续深入调整，大国博弈引发地区秩序变动，地区事务安全化趋势明显；区域内国家间关系日益受中美关系走向的制约，区域内国家对外政策差异化和区域事务碎片化加剧。地区经济发展受到中美博弈长期因素和新冠肺炎疫情短期因素共同影响，区域内经济体的表现差异巨大；区域合作与成员经济自立诉求交替作用，区域产业价值链重构进程加快。地区合作曲折发展，区域经济一体化取得重要成就；新冠肺炎疫情对非传统安全合作提出新要求。伴随着国际格局演变的价值观冲突和意识形态矛盾波及亚太地区以多样性和包容性著称的文明对话与共存，不同国家、文明之间的价值观、意识形态对立加剧，对国际舆论话语权的争夺进入新阶段。
与此同时，地区热点问题层出不穷，阿富汗问题、朝鲜半岛问题持续牵动地区整体局势的敏感神经；日本、印度、澳大利亚等地区大国的对外行为的影响力在日益复杂的地区环境中愈发凸显；国家间传统安全矛盾开始凸显，非传统安全议题泛化；国家间矛盾和国内矛盾对区域安全态势的冲击不断加剧，地区安全机制面临更大压力。可以预见，在亚太地区格局震荡调整中及在后疫情时代，中国的地位将持续上升，影响力逐渐增强，中国将成为维护地区稳定和促进地区恢复发展的主要贡献者。
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