2023年四川经济形势分析与预测
| 书 名： |
2023年四川经济形势分析与预测 |
| 英 文 名： |
ECONOMY OF SICHUAN ANALYSIS AND FORECAST （2023）
|
| 作 者： |
蓝定香 达捷 陈映 陈妤 |
| I S B N： |
978-7-5228-1291-5 |
| 丛 书 名： |
四川蓝皮书
订阅
|
| 关 键 词： |
增长态势 经济恢复 新动能 四川省 |
| 出版日期： |
2023-01-01 |
中文摘要
2022年，受疫情多发散发、极端高温天气、突发地震灾害、国内市场需求减弱、国际危机频发等多重不利因素叠加影响，四川经济增速自西部大开发战略实施以来首次低于全国平均水平，其他主要经济指标增速也明显放缓甚至大幅下降。但面对复杂严峻的国内外发展环境和特殊困难，四川坚持以高质量发展为主题，以稳增长为工作基调，以供给侧结构性改革为主线，持续做好“六稳”“六保”工作，发挥投资关键作用，推进新动能持续引领，在经济整体表现不佳的情况下，主要投资领域仍稳定增长，高技术产业、工业利润、新型消费和出口等保持较快增长，为四川经济回升注入了新动力。2022年前三季度，四川地区生产总值同比增长1.5%；第一、第二、第三产业分别同比增长3.6%、2%、0.7%；规模以上工业增加值同比增长2.4%；固定资产投资同比增长5.9%；社会消费品零售总额同比下降0.2%；货物贸易进出口总额同比增长9.8%；城镇居民、农村居民人均可支配收入分别同比增长5.1%、6.6%。
2023年，随着国内经济发展环境不断改善以及经济增长的持续恢复，四川有条件借助“一带一路”建设、成渝地区双城经济圈建设深入推进的契机，延续投资领域稳定增长态势，推动服务业显著回升，经济有望实现6%以上的增长，重回高于全国平均水平的运行轨道。规模以上工业增加值预计增长6%；固定资产投资增速将稳定在5%～6%区间；第一产业将保持稳定，第二、第三产业增速将明显高于2022年水平；社会消费品零售总额增长7%；进出口总额增速高于7%；城乡居民收入增长与GDP保持同步。
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