甘肃舆情分析与预测（2023）
书 名： 甘肃舆情分析与预测（2023）
英 文 名： ANALYSIS AND FORECAST ON PUBLIC OPINION OF GANSU （2023）
作 者： 王俊莲 许振明
I S B N： 978-7-5228-1224-3
丛 书 名：
甘肃蓝皮书
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关 键 词： 社会分析 社会预测 甘肃
出版日期： 2022-12-01
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中文摘要
《甘肃舆情分析与预测（2023）》，是“甘肃蓝皮书”系列成果之一。作为年度调研报告，《甘肃舆情分析与预测（2023）》持续聚焦甘肃经济社会发展中的热点舆情，分析研判甘肃舆情发展的基本状况、基本特征、存在的问题，并提出有参考价值的对策建议，为国家和社会各类智库、科研院所的理论工作者，以及关心和关注甘肃发展的各界人士提供具有区域性特点的智库研究成果。本书以习近平新时代中国特色社会主义思想为指导，全面贯彻落实中国共产党第二十次全国代表大会和甘肃省第十四次党代会精神，由甘肃省社会科学院马克思主义研究所、社会学研究所、决策咨询研究所、区域经济研究所等部门的十多位专家学者组成的甘肃省舆情调研组承担完成。
全书由总报告和14个分报告组成，分为“总报告”“社会热点篇”“阶层认知篇”“专题篇”四个部分。“总报告”分10个方面对2022年甘肃舆情的基本状况及热点和特点进行了概述，分析预测了2023年甘肃舆情的基本态势。“社会热点篇”重点分析研判了民众对“我为群众办实事”、“强省会”行动、“共同富裕”、美丽甘肃建设等的看法与评价。“阶层认知篇”主要以专业技术人员、新经济组织从业人员、农民群众、中小学教师等为调查对象，就“强科技”、营商环境、基层治理效能、“双减”问题做了针对性的调查，以期获得他们真实感受和看法。“专题篇”则主要围绕“三孩”生育政策、法治甘肃建设、疫情常态化防控、人口老龄化、突发公共事件应对等专题进行调研和深度分析，并提出了针对性的对策建议。
《甘肃舆情分析与预测（2023）》调查成果显示，2022年以来，甘肃舆情形势总体平稳向好，主旋律突出，体现出以下几个特点：第一，舆情治理水平稳步提升，舆情空间日益清朗；第二，民生类问题依然是民众关注的舆情焦点；第三，疫情防控与社会热点问题高度交织；第四，各级政府应对重大突发舆情应急处置能力进一步增强；第五，公众是舆情治理的重要力量，但参与意愿有待提高。
当前，甘肃政治、经济、文化、社会各项事业稳定发展，社会和谐进步，民众关注的热点问题不断得到有效解决和改善，民生福祉和社会治理水平不断提升。在这样一个大的社会背景下，预测2023年甘肃舆情态势整体保持稳定，将继续围绕民生和经济发展等方面展开，表现出线上线下相互交织、载体多元化、突发性强、传播速度快等特点。
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