太平洋岛国发展报告（2022）
书 名： 太平洋岛国发展报告（2022）
英 文 名： ANNUAL REPORT ON DEVELOPMENT OF PACIFIC ISLAND COUNTRIES （2022）
作 者： 赵少峰 王作成
I S B N： 978-7-5228-1358-5
丛 书 名：
太平洋岛国蓝皮书
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关 键 词： 太平洋岛屿 对外关系 经济发展 政治形势
出版日期： 2023-03-01
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中文摘要
2021年，太平洋岛国地区政治形势总体稳定。密克罗尼西亚联邦、汤加和萨摩亚举行了大选。汤加和密克罗尼西亚联邦选举较为平静，两国政局在大选和政府更替期间相对稳定，未出现政治和社会动荡。萨摩亚的大选不仅竞争激烈而且出现了政治危机。受新冠肺炎疫情、全球交通运输和国际旅游限制的影响，太平洋岛国2021年的经济形势依然严峻，经济复苏举步维艰。太平洋岛国的国际旅游业和进出口贸易遭受冲击最为严重，面临经济萎缩、物价大幅度上涨、企业倒闭以及地区失业率急剧上升的困境。为此，各岛国在外交上开展抗疫国际合作，寻求外部医疗和经济援助。同时，作为感受全球变暖影响最直接的地区，太平洋岛国通过积极的外交手段，推动世界在应对疫情的同时持续关注气候变化议题。
在地区方面，因库克群岛前总理亨利·普纳当选新一任太平洋岛国论坛秘书长，密克罗尼西亚群岛五国宣布要退出太平洋岛国论坛，在太平洋岛国地区引起极大震动，冲击了地区主义的发展。2021年12月12日，法属新喀里多尼亚举行了第三次独立公投，根据第三次公投的结果，新喀里多尼亚将继续留在法国，这给新喀里多尼亚的独立之路再次增加了悬念。作为太平洋岛国地区大国的巴布亚新几内亚受疫情影响，经济持续下滑，生活水平下降，政府面临巨大执政考验。萨摩亚经历了大选，虽然选举过程中国内政治局势出现波动，但总体上实现了政府平稳过渡。帕劳新任总统积极推行“新政”，经济上的改革措施收效甚微，外交上积极向美国靠拢以获取更多支持。所罗门群岛首都霍尼亚拉爆发的骚乱，对该国政治、经济等领域产生了严重冲击。虽然索加瓦雷政府成功平息骚乱，维护了政局基本稳定，但地方势力的分裂运动依然是个巨大挑战。斐济总体形势稳定，执政党主导的土地法案修正案诱发民族主义再次复兴，兰布卡的再次崛起增加了斐济未来政局的变数。
当前，太平洋岛国地区成为中美竞合的重点地区，美国拜登政府继续谋求扩大美国对太平洋岛国的影响力，在援助、贸易、经济合作等多个领域加强与太平洋岛国的经济联系；同时，美国持续开展各类文化活动，输出美式价值观。2021年，中国与太平洋岛国关系稳步前进，并迎来中国与巴布亚新几内亚建交45周年。首次中国-太平洋岛国外长会以视频方式举行，标志着中国与太平洋岛国关系不断深化，体现了中国外交的务实和担当。中国向建交的太平洋岛国提供的包括新冠疫苗在内的医疗物资及教育、环境、资金等方面的援助，促进了太平洋岛国地区的发展。
2022年，太平洋岛国仍然面临疫情和经济复苏的双重压力。在此背景下，太平洋岛国地区实现政治团结、社会稳定仍然是头等大事。太平洋岛国的“向北看”政策、“蓝色太平洋计划”和“一带一路”倡议的加速对接，带动地区经济复苏，符合地区需要和双边共同利益需求。
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