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结构因素是影响一国经济发展的重要变量。经济结构是否合理、结构转变是否适时、各种结构之间是否协调，这都直接关系到经济发展的质量。产业结构演进与城镇化发展是一个国家经济发展过程中必然经历的两个重大的、深刻的结构转变过程。研究产业结构演进与城镇化发展以及两者之间的相互关系，对于正确把握新形势下世界发达国家结构调整的趋势，清醒认识我国内部存在的结构性矛盾，进而谋划后金融危机时代的经济发展战略、培育增强经济持续增长的内生活力和持久动力都具有重要意义。

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当提到产业结构演进与城镇化发展，很多人认为就是某一产业在经济中的比重不断提高，城市人口在总人口中的比重不断提升。这种理解本身没有错，只是不全面。这两个比重的变化确实是产业结构演进和城镇化发展的重要表现，但是并不是产业结构演进与城镇化发展的全部。概括来讲，产业结构演进是结构高度与数量比例的统一，城镇化发展是数量外延与质量内涵的统一。

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产业结构演进与城镇化发展的关系研究由来已久。通过对以往文献的梳理，对于两者关系的认识经历了一个转变，即从城镇化发展从属于产业结构演进转变为产业结构演进与城镇化之间的相互作用、相互影响。如果将前者概括为单向的线性模式，那么后者就是一种双向的互动模式。

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产业结构演进与城镇化的互动发展并不是简单地相互影响、相互作用，而是有内在的逻辑将两者紧密地联系在一起。如果将两者的互动看成一种映像，那么揭开产业结构演进与城镇化的面纱，两者的互动实际上是技术创新、要素流动与集聚之间相互作用的结果。本章就来分析产业结构演进与城镇化互动发展的机制与途径。

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通过对产业结构演进与城镇化互动机制及互动途径的分析，尽管明确了互动的内在机理，但是仍留有疑问：既然产业结构演进与城镇化发展可以相互促进，并内生地实现演进发展，那么为何世界各国的发展实际上并没有趋同，而是千差万别？并且即使处于同一发展阶段水平的两国，为何其产业结构演进与城镇化发展互动的关系模式或互动状态也并不相同？其实，上一章将互动机制的研究放在类似于物理学的“无摩擦真空世界”中，对两者如何互动设置了潜在的限制条件：在封闭的环境条件下，不存在资源要素的差异以及外在的干预。为了回答刚才的疑问，本文就要从“真空世界”回到“真实世界”，分析两者互动的影响因素。

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新中国成立后，以20世纪70年代末的改革开放为界，前后两个30年间，我国的产业结构演进与城镇化互动发展经历了两个截然不同的阶段。前30年间，我国的产业结构演进与城镇化发展处于不健康的互动状态，产业结构超前配置，城镇化滞后发展；后30多年间，我国的产业结构演进与城镇化发展的互动机制逐步得以健全完善，两者的互动性显著增强，在互动发展的过程中产业结构层次逐步提升、城镇化快速推进。

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未来实现中国经济的持续健康发展，必须推动产业结构演进与城镇化发展的良性互动。目前，我国的产业结构演进与城镇化发展之间还存在一定程度的不协调性，互动发展也存在内生性不足等问题。同时，也应当看到，未来中国经济发展的外部环境并不宽松，内部约束也越收越紧。针对这些问题与挑战，推动我国产业结构演进与城镇化实现良性互动，关键就是要在完善互动机制的同时逐步增强互动的内生性。

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