2004～2005年：世界经济形势分析与预测
书 名： 2004～2005年：世界经济形势分析与预测
英 文 名： Analysis and Forecast of World Economic Situation：2004～2005
作 者： 王洛林 李向阳 王立强
I S B N： 7-80190-406-0
丛 书 名：
世界经济黄皮书
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关 键 词： 世界经济 形势分析 经济预测 2004~2005年
出版日期： 2005-01-01
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中文摘要
在2003年复苏的基础上，2004年全球经济呈现出强劲增长势头。按照国际货币基金组织的预测，经济增长率将会达到5．0%，高于20世纪90代高速增长时期的平均水平，创造了过去20年来的最高记录。这种高速增长很大程度上是经济周期自然运行的结果。以往的周期发展历史表明，经济复苏的初期阶段通常都会出现类似的现象。受周期发展的制约和一系列不确定性因素的影响，2005 年全球经济增长速度将会明显放缓，但仍能保持适中的速度，预计在4．3%左右。伴随中国经济的快速发展，中国经济与世界经济的互动越来越明显，中国经济的增长前景和政策选择正在对世界经济产生越来越大的影响。总体来看，世界经济的稳步增长为中国经济的健康发展提供了一个良好的外部环境。
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总论
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