“一带一路”沿线国家工业化进程报告

国际金融危机以来，无论是国际经济环境，还是国内经济条件，都发生了巨大变化。国际经济不确定性增强，国内经济发展的结构性矛盾凸显。我国正步入增速减缓、结构趋优、动力转换的经济新常态。在这样的背景下，我国推出以全方位开放新格局为目标的“一带一路”战略。目前，“一带一路”战略的研究已在国内外学术界掀起了热潮，相关研究也由科学内涵、战略意义等逐渐转入可实施的产能合作层面。

本书在已有相关研究基础上，具体到国别，细化到产业，并上升至战略，利用作者2006年提出的工业化综合评价体系，测度“一带一路”沿线国家的工业化进程。研究结果表明，“一带一路”沿线65个国家之间工业化水平差距较大，涵盖了工业化进程的各个阶段。其中，处于前工业化时期的国家有1个，处于工业化初期阶段的国家有14个，处于工业化中期阶段的国家有16个，处于工业化后期阶段的国家有32个，而处于后工业化时期的国家有2个。这说明“一带一路”沿线国家总体上仍处于工业化进程中，且大多数国家处于工业化中后期阶段，大体呈现“倒梯形”的结构特征。

本书进一步利用对外商品结构数据和地区结构数据对不同工业化阶段代表性国家的工业产出产品的类型、产能合作过程中的供给和需求、中国与这些国家产业对接潜力进行分析，系统研究中国与其他沿线国家的合作基础和合作格局，结果发现不同工业化阶段的国家在产能合作进程中可以寻找到不同的角色定位，共同培育以“互补合作”为主导的产能合作“新雁阵”模式。

同时，本书根据沿线国家工业化水平的测度结果，分阶段对沿线国家的基本情况、经济概况及其与中国的经贸往来情况进行具体评述，这对当前深刻了解“一带一路”沿线国家的工业化水平和经济发展状况，进而推进“一带一路”战略具有重要的参考意义。

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书名：	“一带一路”沿线国家工业化进程报告
英文名：	“TNE BELT AND ROAD” NATIONAL INDUSTRIALIZATION PROCESS REPORT
作者：	黄群慧韵江李芳芳
I S B N：	978-7-5097-8462-4
丛书名：	工业化蓝皮书订阅
关键词：	工业化进程工业化水平一带一路世界
出版日期：	2015-12-01