您好,欢迎来到皮书数据库! | 皮书网首页
登录|注册 |无障碍阅读
国家知识资源服务中心 CARSI
您现在所在的位置:首页 > 书籍

2018年世界经济形势分析与预测

书 名: 2018年世界经济形势分析与预测
英 文 名: WORLD ECONOMY ANALYSIS AND FORECAST (2018)
作 者:  张宇燕 孙杰 姚枝仲
I S B N: 978-7-5201-2035-7
丛 书 名: 世界经济黄皮书 订阅
关 键 词:  世界经济形势 经济分析 经济预测
出版日期: 2018-01-01

中文摘要

2017年,世界经济增速明显提升,劳动市场持续改善,全球物价水平温和上升,大宗商品价格有所上涨,国际贸易增速提高。同时,国际直接投资增长缓慢,全球债务持续积累,金融市场出现泡沫。

未来世界经济面临诸多挑战。这些挑战包括:世界经济回暖的基础还不稳固,支持国际贸易高速增长的长期因素还没有形成,美国财政货币政策对世界经济将有较大的负面溢出效应,逆全球化趋势和贸易投资保护主义倾向加强,债务问题越来越严重,资产泡沫随时可能破裂。地缘政治风险、恐怖主义等问题也仍然在影响世界经济的稳定与发展。

预计2018年按PPP计算的世界GDP增长率约为3.5%,按市场汇率计算的增长率约为2.9%。这一预测低于国际货币基金组织和其他国际组织的预测。较低的预测主要反映了我们对世界经济回暖基础不稳固、资产价格泡沫、全球债务水平过高、反全球化趋势、美国政策调整、英国脱欧进程以及地缘政治冲突等问题的担忧。

另外,预计2018年大宗商品价格仍将在中低位运行,原油价格将在60美元/桶上下波动。

<<
>>

文章列表

CommonID:DIR_50430897,ID:9219157,SiteID:14,Type:formerAidText,Code:null,ParentId:0,InnerCode:338466,name:世界经济黄皮书编委会,ShortName:,SubName:,EnTitle:null,EnShortTitle:null,EnSubTitle:null,Level:0,BookId:9219093,AbstractCH:null,AbstractEN:null,KeyWords:null,EKeyWords:null,SubjectWords:null,LiteratureId:9219156,Fileref:null,OrderFlag:0,IsLeaf:Y,PubDate:null,FindDate:null,IssueDate:null,DocType:null,ProductSeries:null,Doi:null,InstanceID:0,MinNodeSearch:null,XmlID:null,Prop1:null,Prop2:null,Prop3:null,prop4:null,AddUser:wanghan,AddTime:2017-12-18 10:20:01.0,ModifyUser:Admin,ModifyTime:2023-11-06 15:40:57.0,HitCount:0,ShowType:putong,LogoID:0,PdfID:0,DownCount:0,AuthorInfos:null,BookPublishDate:2018-01-01 00:00:00.0,SearchTitle:世界经济黄皮书编委会,ISBN:978-7-5201-2035-7,BookTitle:2018年世界经济形势分析与预测,BookStatus:7,AllowDownload:Y,BookVersionNum:null,researchorg:null,CopyRightDate:null,ExcellentPeriod:null,PrizeLevel:null,IsExcellence:null,ContentClass:null,IsDisabled:N,SearchTitle_2:世界经济黄皮书编委会,_RowNo:1
CommonID:DIR_50430898,ID:9219161,SiteID:14,Type:formerAidText,Code:null,ParentId:0,InnerCode:338467,name:主要编撰者简介,ShortName:,SubName:,EnTitle:null,EnShortTitle:null,EnSubTitle:null,Level:0,BookId:9219093,AbstractCH:null,AbstractEN:null,KeyWords:null,EKeyWords:null,SubjectWords:null,LiteratureId:9219160,Fileref:null,OrderFlag:0,IsLeaf:Y,PubDate:null,FindDate:null,IssueDate:null,DocType:null,ProductSeries:null,Doi:null,InstanceID:0,MinNodeSearch:null,XmlID:null,Prop1:null,Prop2:null,Prop3:null,prop4:null,AddUser:wanghan,AddTime:2017-12-18 10:20:01.0,ModifyUser:Admin,ModifyTime:2023-11-06 15:40:57.0,HitCount:0,ShowType:putong,LogoID:0,PdfID:0,DownCount:0,AuthorInfos:null,BookPublishDate:2018-01-01 00:00:00.0,SearchTitle:主要编撰者简介,ISBN:978-7-5201-2035-7,BookTitle:2018年世界经济形势分析与预测,BookStatus:7,AllowDownload:Y,BookVersionNum:null,researchorg:null,CopyRightDate:null,ExcellentPeriod:null,PrizeLevel:null,IsExcellence:null,ContentClass:null,IsDisabled:N,SearchTitle_2:主要编撰者简介,_RowNo:2
CommonID:DIR_50430899,ID:9219165,SiteID:14,Type:formerAidText,Code:null,ParentId:0,InnerCode:338468,name:摘要,ShortName:,SubName:,EnTitle:null,EnShortTitle:null,EnSubTitle:null,Level:0,BookId:9219093,AbstractCH:null,AbstractEN:null,KeyWords:null,EKeyWords:null,SubjectWords:null,LiteratureId:9219164,Fileref:null,OrderFlag:0,IsLeaf:Y,PubDate:null,FindDate:null,IssueDate:null,DocType:null,ProductSeries:null,Doi:null,InstanceID:0,MinNodeSearch:null,XmlID:null,Prop1:null,Prop2:null,Prop3:null,prop4:null,AddUser:wanghan,AddTime:2017-12-18 10:20:01.0,ModifyUser:Admin,ModifyTime:2023-11-06 15:40:57.0,HitCount:0,ShowType:putong,LogoID:0,PdfID:0,DownCount:0,AuthorInfos:null,BookPublishDate:2018-01-01 00:00:00.0,SearchTitle:摘要,ISBN:978-7-5201-2035-7,BookTitle:2018年世界经济形势分析与预测,BookStatus:7,AllowDownload:Y,BookVersionNum:null,researchorg:null,CopyRightDate:null,ExcellentPeriod:null,PrizeLevel:null,IsExcellence:null,ContentClass:null,IsDisabled:N,SearchTitle_2:摘要,_RowNo:3
CommonID:DIR_50430919,ID:9219169,SiteID:14,Type:part,Code:null,ParentId:0,InnerCode:338469,name:Ⅰ 总论,ShortName:,SubName:,EnTitle:Ⅰ Overview,EnShortTitle:,EnSubTitle:,Level:1,BookId:9219093,AbstractCH:,AbstractEN:,KeyWords:null,EKeyWords:null,SubjectWords:null,LiteratureId:9219168,Fileref:null,OrderFlag:0,IsLeaf:N,PubDate:null,FindDate:null,IssueDate:null,DocType:null,ProductSeries:null,Doi:null,InstanceID:0,MinNodeSearch:null,XmlID:b120171201X20175223001_001,Prop1:null,Prop2:null,Prop3:null,prop4:null,AddUser:wanghan,AddTime:2017-12-18 10:20:01.0,ModifyUser:Admin,ModifyTime:2023-11-06 15:40:57.0,HitCount:0,ShowType:putong,LogoID:0,PdfID:0,DownCount:0,AuthorInfos:null,BookPublishDate:2018-01-01 00:00:00.0,SearchTitle:总论,ISBN:978-7-5201-2035-7,BookTitle:2018年世界经济形势分析与预测,BookStatus:7,AllowDownload:Y,BookVersionNum:null,researchorg:null,CopyRightDate:null,ExcellentPeriod:null,PrizeLevel:null,IsExcellence:null,ContentClass:null,IsDisabled:N,SearchTitle_2:总论,_RowNo:4
CommonID:DIR_50431019,ID:9219173,SiteID:14,Type:part,Code:null,ParentId:0,InnerCode:338470,name:Ⅱ 国别与地区,ShortName:,SubName:,EnTitle:Ⅱ Country/Region Study,EnShortTitle:,EnSubTitle:,Level:1,BookId:9219093,AbstractCH:,AbstractEN:,KeyWords:null,EKeyWords:null,SubjectWords:null,LiteratureId:9219172,Fileref:null,OrderFlag:0,IsLeaf:N,PubDate:null,FindDate:null,IssueDate:null,DocType:null,ProductSeries:null,Doi:null,InstanceID:0,MinNodeSearch:null,XmlID:b120171201X20175223001_002,Prop1:null,Prop2:null,Prop3:null,prop4:null,AddUser:wanghan,AddTime:2017-12-18 10:20:01.0,ModifyUser:Admin,ModifyTime:2023-11-06 15:40:57.0,HitCount:0,ShowType:putong,LogoID:0,PdfID:0,DownCount:0,AuthorInfos:null,BookPublishDate:2018-01-01 00:00:00.0,SearchTitle:国别与地区,ISBN:978-7-5201-2035-7,BookTitle:2018年世界经济形势分析与预测,BookStatus:7,AllowDownload:Y,BookVersionNum:null,researchorg:null,CopyRightDate:null,ExcellentPeriod:null,PrizeLevel:null,IsExcellence:null,ContentClass:null,IsDisabled:N,SearchTitle_2:国别与地区,_RowNo:5
CommonID:DIR_50431071,ID:9219177,SiteID:14,Type:part,Code:null,ParentId:0,InnerCode:338471,name:Ⅲ 专题篇,ShortName:,SubName:,EnTitle:Ⅲ Special Reports,EnShortTitle:,EnSubTitle:,Level:1,BookId:9219093,AbstractCH:,AbstractEN:,KeyWords:null,EKeyWords:null,SubjectWords:null,LiteratureId:9219176,Fileref:null,OrderFlag:0,IsLeaf:N,PubDate:null,FindDate:null,IssueDate:null,DocType:null,ProductSeries:null,Doi:null,InstanceID:0,MinNodeSearch:null,XmlID:b120171201X20175223001_003,Prop1:null,Prop2:null,Prop3:null,prop4:null,AddUser:wanghan,AddTime:2017-12-18 10:20:03.0,ModifyUser:Admin,ModifyTime:2023-11-06 15:40:57.0,HitCount:0,ShowType:putong,LogoID:0,PdfID:0,DownCount:0,AuthorInfos:null,BookPublishDate:2018-01-01 00:00:00.0,SearchTitle:专题篇,ISBN:978-7-5201-2035-7,BookTitle:2018年世界经济形势分析与预测,BookStatus:7,AllowDownload:Y,BookVersionNum:null,researchorg:null,CopyRightDate:null,ExcellentPeriod:null,PrizeLevel:null,IsExcellence:null,ContentClass:null,IsDisabled:N,SearchTitle_2:专题篇,_RowNo:6
CommonID:DIR_50431136,ID:9219181,SiteID:14,Type:part,Code:null,ParentId:0,InnerCode:338472,name:Ⅳ 热点篇,ShortName:,SubName:,EnTitle:Ⅳ Hot Topics,EnShortTitle:,EnSubTitle:,Level:1,BookId:9219093,AbstractCH:,AbstractEN:,KeyWords:null,EKeyWords:null,SubjectWords:null,LiteratureId:9219180,Fileref:null,OrderFlag:0,IsLeaf:N,PubDate:null,FindDate:null,IssueDate:null,DocType:null,ProductSeries:null,Doi:null,InstanceID:0,MinNodeSearch:null,XmlID:b120171201X20175223001_004,Prop1:null,Prop2:null,Prop3:null,prop4:null,AddUser:wanghan,AddTime:2017-12-18 10:20:04.0,ModifyUser:Admin,ModifyTime:2023-11-06 15:40:57.0,HitCount:0,ShowType:putong,LogoID:0,PdfID:0,DownCount:0,AuthorInfos:null,BookPublishDate:2018-01-01 00:00:00.0,SearchTitle:热点篇,ISBN:978-7-5201-2035-7,BookTitle:2018年世界经济形势分析与预测,BookStatus:7,AllowDownload:Y,BookVersionNum:null,researchorg:null,CopyRightDate:null,ExcellentPeriod:null,PrizeLevel:null,IsExcellence:null,ContentClass:null,IsDisabled:N,SearchTitle_2:热点篇,_RowNo:7
CommonID:DIR_50431151,ID:9219185,SiteID:14,Type:part,Code:null,ParentId:0,InnerCode:338473,name:Ⅴ 世界经济统计与预测,ShortName:,SubName:,EnTitle:Ⅴ Statistics of the World Economy,EnShortTitle:,EnSubTitle:,Level:1,BookId:9219093,AbstractCH:,AbstractEN:,KeyWords:null,EKeyWords:null,SubjectWords:null,LiteratureId:9219184,Fileref:null,OrderFlag:0,IsLeaf:N,PubDate:null,FindDate:null,IssueDate:null,DocType:null,ProductSeries:null,Doi:null,InstanceID:0,MinNodeSearch:null,XmlID:b120171201X20175223001_005,Prop1:null,Prop2:null,Prop3:null,prop4:null,AddUser:wanghan,AddTime:2017-12-18 10:20:05.0,ModifyUser:Admin,ModifyTime:2023-11-06 15:40:57.0,HitCount:0,ShowType:putong,LogoID:0,PdfID:0,DownCount:0,AuthorInfos:null,BookPublishDate:2018-01-01 00:00:00.0,SearchTitle:世界经济统计与预测,ISBN:978-7-5201-2035-7,BookTitle:2018年世界经济形势分析与预测,BookStatus:7,AllowDownload:Y,BookVersionNum:null,researchorg:null,CopyRightDate:null,ExcellentPeriod:null,PrizeLevel:null,IsExcellence:null,ContentClass:null,IsDisabled:N,SearchTitle_2:世界经济统计与预测,_RowNo:8
CommonID:DIR_50431152,ID:9219189,SiteID:14,Type:backAidText,Code:null,ParentId:0,InnerCode:338474,name:Abstract,ShortName:,SubName:,EnTitle:null,EnShortTitle:null,EnSubTitle:null,Level:0,BookId:9219093,AbstractCH:null,AbstractEN:null,KeyWords:null,EKeyWords:null,SubjectWords:null,LiteratureId:9219188,Fileref:null,OrderFlag:0,IsLeaf:Y,PubDate:null,FindDate:null,IssueDate:null,DocType:null,ProductSeries:null,Doi:null,InstanceID:0,MinNodeSearch:null,XmlID:null,Prop1:null,Prop2:null,Prop3:null,prop4:null,AddUser:wanghan,AddTime:2017-12-18 10:20:05.0,ModifyUser:Admin,ModifyTime:2023-11-06 15:40:57.0,HitCount:0,ShowType:putong,LogoID:0,PdfID:0,DownCount:0,AuthorInfos:null,BookPublishDate:2018-01-01 00:00:00.0,SearchTitle:Abstract,ISBN:978-7-5201-2035-7,BookTitle:2018年世界经济形势分析与预测,BookStatus:7,AllowDownload:Y,BookVersionNum:null,researchorg:null,CopyRightDate:null,ExcellentPeriod:null,PrizeLevel:null,IsExcellence:null,ContentClass:null,IsDisabled:N,SearchTitle_2:Abstract,_RowNo:9
CommonID:DIR_50431153,ID:9219193,SiteID:14,Type:backAidText,Code:null,ParentId:0,InnerCode:338475,name:Contents,ShortName:,SubName:,EnTitle:null,EnShortTitle:null,EnSubTitle:null,Level:0,BookId:9219093,AbstractCH:null,AbstractEN:null,KeyWords:null,EKeyWords:null,SubjectWords:null,LiteratureId:9219192,Fileref:null,OrderFlag:0,IsLeaf:Y,PubDate:null,FindDate:null,IssueDate:null,DocType:null,ProductSeries:null,Doi:null,InstanceID:0,MinNodeSearch:null,XmlID:null,Prop1:null,Prop2:null,Prop3:null,prop4:null,AddUser:wanghan,AddTime:2017-12-18 10:20:05.0,ModifyUser:Admin,ModifyTime:2023-11-06 15:40:57.0,HitCount:0,ShowType:putong,LogoID:0,PdfID:0,DownCount:0,AuthorInfos:null,BookPublishDate:2018-01-01 00:00:00.0,SearchTitle:Contents,ISBN:978-7-5201-2035-7,BookTitle:2018年世界经济形势分析与预测,BookStatus:7,AllowDownload:Y,BookVersionNum:null,researchorg:null,CopyRightDate:null,ExcellentPeriod:null,PrizeLevel:null,IsExcellence:null,ContentClass:null,IsDisabled:N,SearchTitle_2:Contents,_RowNo:10
CommonID:DIR_50431154,ID:9219197,SiteID:14,Type:backAidText,Code:null,ParentId:0,InnerCode:338476,name:皮书数据库,ShortName:,SubName:,EnTitle:null,EnShortTitle:null,EnSubTitle:null,Level:0,BookId:9219093,AbstractCH:null,AbstractEN:null,KeyWords:null,EKeyWords:null,SubjectWords:null,LiteratureId:9219196,Fileref:null,OrderFlag:0,IsLeaf:Y,PubDate:null,FindDate:null,IssueDate:null,DocType:null,ProductSeries:null,Doi:null,InstanceID:0,MinNodeSearch:null,XmlID:null,Prop1:null,Prop2:null,Prop3:null,prop4:null,AddUser:wanghan,AddTime:2017-12-18 10:20:05.0,ModifyUser:Admin,ModifyTime:2023-11-06 15:40:57.0,HitCount:0,ShowType:putong,LogoID:0,PdfID:0,DownCount:0,AuthorInfos:null,BookPublishDate:2018-01-01 00:00:00.0,SearchTitle:皮书数据库,ISBN:978-7-5201-2035-7,BookTitle:2018年世界经济形势分析与预测,BookStatus:7,AllowDownload:Y,BookVersionNum:null,researchorg:null,CopyRightDate:null,ExcellentPeriod:null,PrizeLevel:null,IsExcellence:null,ContentClass:null,IsDisabled:N,SearchTitle_2:皮书数据库,_RowNo:11
CommonID:DIR_50431155,ID:9219206,SiteID:14,Type:backAidText,Code:null,ParentId:0,InnerCode:338477,name:基本子库,ShortName:,SubName:,EnTitle:null,EnShortTitle:null,EnSubTitle:null,Level:0,BookId:9219093,AbstractCH:null,AbstractEN:null,KeyWords:null,EKeyWords:null,SubjectWords:null,LiteratureId:9219204,Fileref:null,OrderFlag:0,IsLeaf:Y,PubDate:null,FindDate:null,IssueDate:null,DocType:null,ProductSeries:null,Doi:null,InstanceID:0,MinNodeSearch:null,XmlID:null,Prop1:null,Prop2:null,Prop3:null,prop4:null,AddUser:wanghan,AddTime:2017-12-18 10:20:05.0,ModifyUser:Admin,ModifyTime:2023-11-06 15:40:57.0,HitCount:0,ShowType:putong,LogoID:0,PdfID:0,DownCount:0,AuthorInfos:null,BookPublishDate:2018-01-01 00:00:00.0,SearchTitle:基本子库,ISBN:978-7-5201-2035-7,BookTitle:2018年世界经济形势分析与预测,BookStatus:7,AllowDownload:Y,BookVersionNum:null,researchorg:null,CopyRightDate:null,ExcellentPeriod:null,PrizeLevel:null,IsExcellence:null,ContentClass:null,IsDisabled:N,SearchTitle_2:基本子库,_RowNo:12
CommonID:DIR_50431156,ID:9219210,SiteID:14,Type:backAidText,Code:null,ParentId:0,InnerCode:338478,name:法律声明,ShortName:,SubName:,EnTitle:null,EnShortTitle:null,EnSubTitle:null,Level:0,BookId:9219093,AbstractCH:null,AbstractEN:null,KeyWords:null,EKeyWords:null,SubjectWords:null,LiteratureId:9219208,Fileref:null,OrderFlag:0,IsLeaf:Y,PubDate:null,FindDate:null,IssueDate:null,DocType:null,ProductSeries:null,Doi:null,InstanceID:0,MinNodeSearch:null,XmlID:null,Prop1:null,Prop2:null,Prop3:null,prop4:null,AddUser:wanghan,AddTime:2017-12-18 10:20:05.0,ModifyUser:Admin,ModifyTime:2023-11-06 15:40:57.0,HitCount:0,ShowType:putong,LogoID:0,PdfID:0,DownCount:0,AuthorInfos:null,BookPublishDate:2018-01-01 00:00:00.0,SearchTitle:法律声明,ISBN:978-7-5201-2035-7,BookTitle:2018年世界经济形势分析与预测,BookStatus:7,AllowDownload:Y,BookVersionNum:null,researchorg:null,CopyRightDate:null,ExcellentPeriod:null,PrizeLevel:null,IsExcellence:null,ContentClass:null,IsDisabled:N,SearchTitle_2:法律声明,_RowNo:13
同系列图书
相关图书
引文
×