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| 书 名： | 风险灾害危机研究（第七辑） | ||||
| 英 文 名： | Journal of Risk, Disaster & Crisis Research（No.7） | ||||
| 作 者： | 童星 张海波 | ||||
| I S B N： | 978-7-5201-2763-9 | ||||
| 丛 书 名： | 中文社会科学引文索引（CSSCI）收录集刊 订阅 | ||||
| 关 键 词： | 社会管理 风险管理 中国 文集 突发事件 公共管理 | ||||
| 出版日期： | 2018-06-01 | ||||
中文摘要
在今天的全球风险社会和中国高风险社会中，风险、灾害、危机管理的重要性已无须多言。如果说风险社会意味着一个时代性的转变，那么人类如何与风险、灾害、危机共生，就是我们这个时代最为重要、紧迫的研究主题。
南京大学社会风险与公共危机管理研究中心一直致力于风险、灾害、危机的跨学科研究，至今已有十年。在这十年中，中国相继经历了南方雪灾(2008)、汶川地震（2008）、玉树地震（2010）、舟曲泥石流（2010）、温州动车事故（2011）、芦山地震（2013）、鲁甸地震（2014）等重大突发事件，在灾难中前行。在这十年中，伴随着管理实践的进步，我们的研究也在不断发展，从最初的理论引介到跨学科理论框架建构，再到规范的实证研究与积极的政策建言，在探索中发展。目前，南京大学社会风险与公共危机管理研究中心已经是江苏省和南京大学哲学社会科学重点研究基地，也设有社会风险与公共危机管理的二级学科博士点，形成了稳定的研究队伍，承接了一批国家重大、重点研究项目，这些都为我们进一步推动风险灾害危机的跨学科研究奠定了基础。
文章列表
“减生社会矛盾”和“化解社会矛盾”，虽然两字之差，但意义不同。“减生”是治本，“化解”是治标；“减生”要侧重找到产生社会矛盾的原因，对症下药；“化解”要侧重研究解决社会矛盾的方法，息事宁人。当前我国社会矛盾纠纷的焦点往往直接或间接地集中到政府。化解和减生社会矛盾首先应当化解和减生政府行为引发的社会矛盾。
,AbstractEN:,KeyWords:46173,394277,420023,EKeyWords:46176,425612,425613,SubjectWords:,LiteratureId:9849908,Fileref:null,OrderFlag:0,IsLeaf:N,PubDate:null,FindDate:null,IssueDate:null,DocType:null,ProductSeries:null,Doi:null,InstanceID:0,MinNodeSearch:Y,XmlID:b120180702X20183582001_001,Prop1:null,Prop2:null,Prop3:null,prop4:null,AddUser:wanghan,AddTime:2018-07-17 17:29:40.0,ModifyUser:Admin,ModifyTime:2023-09-26 23:14:51.0,HitCount:23,ShowType:putong,LogoID:0,PdfID:9849915,DownCount:13,AuthorInfos:{"周文彰":{"Address":null,"Affiliation":null,"Email":null,"Role":null,"Photo":null,"Blurb":"周文彰，国家行政学院教授、博士生导师。
"},"孙晨光":{"Address":null,"Affiliation":null,"Email":null,"Role":null,"Photo":null,"Blurb":"孙晨光，国家行政学院在读博士生，东北石油大学人文科学学院助理研究员。
"}},BookPublishDate:2018-06-01 00:00:00.0,SearchTitle:率先化解和减生政府行为引发的社会矛盾,ISBN:978-7-5201-2763-9,BookTitle:风险灾害危机研究（第七辑）,BookStatus:7,AllowDownload:Y,BookVersionNum:null,researchorg:null,CopyRightDate:null,ExcellentPeriod:null,PrizeLevel:null,IsExcellence:null,ContentClass:null,IsDisabled:N,SearchTitle_2:率先化解和减生政府行为引发的社会矛盾,_RowNo:3重大项目社会稳定风险评估（简称“稳评”）机制是在风险社会背景下，预防和化解社会矛盾的顶层设计。其中评估主体贯穿稳评的各个环节，明确认识主体类别、厘清主体间关系类型、探明主体结构特征等对于促进决策科学化、健全稳评机制、指导稳评实践均有重要意义。因此，本文以72份重大项目稳评文件和20份稳评报告为样本，利用内容分析法梳理出稳评主体间的关系类型和现状；而后利用社会网络，对各类主体在不同关系类型网络中的结构进行可视化分析，并对不同关系网络的结构特征进行了纵向比较，对各类主体在稳评过程中发挥的作用及其出现差异的原因进行了解释。最后，针对研究结论提出了完善稳评工作和主体间关系的对策建议。本文主要结论如下：①稳评主体间关系以合作关系为基础，进一步细分为组织协调关系、监督指导关系、责任追究关系等三种形态的子关系类型；②主体间“权力-责任”格局虽已初步形成，但与其配套的责任追究机制有待进一步完善；③主体间治理模式以“政府主导型”为主，公众监督、参与水平亟待加强。
,AbstractEN:Social stability risk assessment of major projects is to prevent and resolve social contradictions and govern the social risks. The subjects of social stability risk assessment run through each link of stability evaluation. To know the categories and characteristics of stability evaluation of subjects clearly and clarify the relationship types among different subjects in the process of stability evaluation are further perfecting stability evaluation of the governance structure and evaluation effect. On this basis，this article selects 92 texts including documents and reports of major projects stability evaluation as the sample. The content analysis methodology is used into basic categories and main characteristics of the main body in stability evaluation. Then，the social network analysis methodology is used to explore the structure of various kinds of subjects in evaluation in different relationship types of the network. The main conclusions are as follows：① The basic type of the relationship between stability evaluation of subjects is cooperation relations which can be further subdivided into three sub relations：organization and coordination，supervision，and responsibility relationship；② Though the pattern of“power-responsibility”has been initially formed，the mechanism of accountability with it needs to be further improved；③ The network governance patterns among subjects is still given priority to the“government's leading network”，and the public supervision and participation need to be strengthened.
,KeyWords:37822,420024,420025,420026,EKeyWords:42419,420027,420028,181075,SubjectWords:,LiteratureId:9849916,Fileref:null,OrderFlag:0,IsLeaf:N,PubDate:null,FindDate:null,IssueDate:null,DocType:null,ProductSeries:null,Doi:null,InstanceID:0,MinNodeSearch:Y,XmlID:b120180702X20183582001_002,Prop1:null,Prop2:null,Prop3:null,prop4:null,AddUser:wanghan,AddTime:2018-07-17 17:29:40.0,ModifyUser:Admin,ModifyTime:2023-09-26 23:14:51.0,HitCount:36,ShowType:putong,LogoID:0,PdfID:9849918,DownCount:19,AuthorInfos:{"朱正威":{"Address":null,"Affiliation":null,"Email":null,"Role":null,"Photo":null,"Blurb":"朱正威，西安交通大学公共政策与管理学院教授，研究方向：风险治理、公共安全。
"},"石佳":{"Address":null,"Affiliation":null,"Email":null,"Role":null,"Photo":null,"Blurb":"石佳，西安交通大学公共政策与管理学院博士研究生，研究方向：风险治理，应急管理。
"},"郭雪松":{"Address":null,"Affiliation":null,"Email":null,"Role":null,"Photo":null,"Blurb":"郭雪松，西安交通大学公共政策与管理学院教授，研究方向：公共安全、系统科学。
"},"白鹭":{"Address":null,"Affiliation":null,"Email":null,"Role":null,"Photo":null,"Blurb":"白鹭，西安石油大学党政办公室。
"},"Zhu Zhengwei":{"Address":null,"Affiliation":null,"Email":null,"Role":null,"Photo":"","Blurb":""},"Shi Jia":{"Address":null,"Affiliation":null,"Email":null,"Role":null,"Photo":"","Blurb":""},"Guo Xuesong":{"Address":null,"Affiliation":null,"Email":null,"Role":null,"Photo":"","Blurb":""},"Bai Lu":{"Address":null,"Affiliation":null,"Email":null,"Role":null,"Photo":"","Blurb":""}},BookPublishDate:2018-06-01 00:00:00.0,SearchTitle:重大项目社会稳定风险评估主体间关系研究——基于文本的实证分析,ISBN:978-7-5201-2763-9,BookTitle:风险灾害危机研究（第七辑）,BookStatus:7,AllowDownload:Y,BookVersionNum:null,researchorg:null,CopyRightDate:null,ExcellentPeriod:null,PrizeLevel:null,IsExcellence:null,ContentClass:null,IsDisabled:N,SearchTitle_2:重大项目社会稳定风险评估主体间关系研究——基于文本的实证分析,_RowNo:4随着城市化进程不断加剧，城市面临着越来越多的公共安全风险，给城市社会、经济的正常发展带来巨大威胁，政府和学界给予了高度的重视，城市公共安全风险研究成果也随之增多。为了更好地了解我国城市公共安全风险研究现状，把握未来城市公共安全风险研究趋势，本文以CNKI上692篇有关城市公共安全风险研究的核心期刊论文为数据源，运用文献计量和知识图谱可视化方法对已有文献的发文年度分布、核心作者、研究机构、研究内容、研究趋势进行梳理的基础上加以评述，并指出未来研究需要增强研究力度，加强学术合作，提升研究质量；顺应现实需要，拓宽研究对象，丰富研究内容；把握时代趋势，弥补研究缺陷，实现研究价值。
,AbstractEN:With the increasing urbanization process，the city is facing more and more problems in public safety and risks，which bring great threat to the normal development of urban society and economy. Government and the academic have attached great importance to it，and the research results of urban public security risk have also increased. In order to better understand the current situation of urban public security risk research and grasp the future trend of urban public security risk research，we take the Six hundred and ninety-two core journal articles of CNKI city public security and risk research as the original data and apply the method of bibliometric and knowledge mapping to summarize and review the annual distribution of the published documents，the core writers，the research institutions，the research contents and the research trends. Finally，we points out the future research implications：enhanced research efforts，strengthen academic cooperation，improve the quality of research；Conform to the needs of the reality，broaden the research object，enrich the content of the study；make up for the defects of research，Grasp the trend of the times，realize the value of research.
,KeyWords:48009,351596,329476,EKeyWords:376818,420029,420030,SubjectWords:,LiteratureId:9849919,Fileref:null,OrderFlag:0,IsLeaf:N,PubDate:null,FindDate:null,IssueDate:null,DocType:null,ProductSeries:null,Doi:null,InstanceID:0,MinNodeSearch:Y,XmlID:b120180702X20183582001_003,Prop1:null,Prop2:null,Prop3:null,prop4:null,AddUser:wanghan,AddTime:2018-07-17 17:29:40.0,ModifyUser:Admin,ModifyTime:2023-09-26 23:14:51.0,HitCount:56,ShowType:putong,LogoID:0,PdfID:9849927,DownCount:17,AuthorInfos:{"汤志伟":{"Address":null,"Affiliation":null,"Email":null,"Role":null,"Photo":null,"Blurb":"汤志伟，电子科技大学政治与公共管理学院教授，博士生导师，研究方向为电子政务与公共安全。
"},"涂文琴":{"Address":null,"Affiliation":null,"Email":null,"Role":null,"Photo":null,"Blurb":"涂文琴，电子科技大学政治与公共管理学院硕士研究生，研究方向为电子政务与公共安全。
"},"龚泽鹏":{"Address":null,"Affiliation":null,"Email":null,"Role":null,"Photo":null,"Blurb":"龚泽鹏，电子科技大学政治与公共管理学院硕士研究生，研究方向为电子政务与公共安全。
"},"Tang Zhiwei":{"Address":null,"Affiliation":null,"Email":null,"Role":null,"Photo":"","Blurb":""},"Tu Wenqin":{"Address":null,"Affiliation":null,"Email":null,"Role":null,"Photo":"","Blurb":""},"Gong Zepeng":{"Address":null,"Affiliation":null,"Email":null,"Role":null,"Photo":"","Blurb":""}},BookPublishDate:2018-06-01 00:00:00.0,SearchTitle:我国城市公共安全风险研究述评,ISBN:978-7-5201-2763-9,BookTitle:风险灾害危机研究（第七辑）,BookStatus:7,AllowDownload:Y,BookVersionNum:null,researchorg:null,CopyRightDate:null,ExcellentPeriod:null,PrizeLevel:null,IsExcellence:null,ContentClass:null,IsDisabled:N,SearchTitle_2:我国城市公共安全风险研究述评,_RowNo:5本文基于转基因食品事件的微博数据，运用扎根理论分析方法，结合PADM理论、启发式-系统式理论与应对行为理论，探究转基因食品事件中消费者应对行为的特征、规律及其形成机制模型。研究结果表明，消费者对转基因食品事件的认知受伤害属性、信息源、事件响应的影响；处于防卫动机、从众心理强的消费者采用启发式信息处理路径，在未仔细评估的情况下直接形成决策和应对行为选择；处于准确性动机、了解转基因知识的消费者会采用系统式信息处理路径，基于对转基因食品事件情境的认知形成感知和判断，包括风险感知、利益相关者感知和行为感知；继而通过决策制定选择相应的应对行为。研究结论对于提高转基因食品事件的风险沟通效果、引导消费者形成合理的应对行为具有重要价值。
,AbstractEN:Based on the micro-blog data of genetically modified food events and using ground theory methods，PADM theory，HSM theory and coping behavior theory，this paper develops a model to explain the characteristics，rules，and the formation mechanism of consumers' coping behavior. The results indicate that consumers' cognition of genetically modified food events are influenced by attributes of harm，information sources and event responses. Consumers with defense motivation and high level of conformity tend to employ the heuristic processing mode. They directly make decisions and choose coping behaviors without analyzing carefully；Consumers with accuracy motivation and high level of knowledge tend to employ the systematic processing mode. Consumers form three core perceptions-risk perceptions，stakeholder perceptions and protective action perceptions based on event situations，and then choose specific coping behaviors through carefully decision-making process. The findings are of great significance to the improvement of risk communication and the guidance of consumers' reasonable coping behaviors.
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"},"万青":{"Address":null,"Affiliation":null,"Email":null,"Role":null,"Photo":null,"Blurb":"万青，西南交通大学经济管理学院硕士研究生，研究方向为风险管理、消费者行为。
"},"周雪":{"Address":null,"Affiliation":null,"Email":null,"Role":null,"Photo":null,"Blurb":"周雪，西南交通大学经济管理学院硕士研究生，研究方向为风险管理、消费者行为。
"},"Fan Chunmei":{"Address":null,"Affiliation":null,"Email":null,"Role":null,"Photo":"","Blurb":""},"Wan Qing":{"Address":null,"Affiliation":null,"Email":null,"Role":null,"Photo":"","Blurb":""},"Zhou Xue":{"Address":null,"Affiliation":null,"Email":null,"Role":null,"Photo":"","Blurb":""}},BookPublishDate:2018-06-01 00:00:00.0,SearchTitle:转基因食品事件中消费者应对行为形成机制研究——基于PADM理论的扎根分析,ISBN:978-7-5201-2763-9,BookTitle:风险灾害危机研究（第七辑）,BookStatus:7,AllowDownload:Y,BookVersionNum:null,researchorg:null,CopyRightDate:null,ExcellentPeriod:null,PrizeLevel:null,IsExcellence:null,ContentClass:null,IsDisabled:N,SearchTitle_2:转基因食品事件中消费者应对行为形成机制研究——基于PADM理论的扎根分析,_RowNo:6通过描述性统计分析、同质泊松过程检验、核平滑估计和聚类分析等多种方法，结合R软件作图的可视化优点，对云南省泥石流灾害空间分布特征进行识别、分析。分析结果表明：云南省泥石流分布不均匀，灾害空间点模式分布与同质泊松过程的假定不符。此外，泥石流强度的核平滑估计和基于泥石流空间位置的聚类分析结果也表明云南省泥石流灾害具有显著的聚集特征。其中，泥石流高聚集区主要集中于贡山-维西-福贡、泸水-玉龙-隆阳-腾冲、盈江-陇川、金平-元阳-绿春等地区；较高聚集区位于华坪-永胜-鹤庆、沧源-耿马-镇康、景东-双柏-楚雄、马关、东川-会泽-巧家、盐津-大关-彝良等地区。泥石流灾害强度分布大致以怒江州泸水县南端至文山州金平县一线对称，尤其是滇西和滇西北地区。研究结论对识别云南省泥石流灾害风险、优化灾害监测站的分布、提高预测的精度和效率、减少灾害损失、优化救灾物资储备、改善救灾策略、完善巨灾保险救灾体系具有重要的参考借鉴意义。
,AbstractEN:The spatial distribution characteristics of debris flow disaster in Yunnan Province are identified and analyzed by means of many methods included descriptive statistical analysis，homogeneity Poisson process testing，kernel smoothing estimation and clustering analysis，combined with the advantages of visualization of R project. The results show that the non-uniform distribution of debris flow in Yunnan Province is different with the hypothesis of homogeneous Poisson process. In addition，kernel smoothing estimation of debris flow intensity and the cluster analysis based on the spatial location of debris flow indicate that the debris flow disaster in Yunnan Province has remarkable aggregation characteristics. Among them，The highest aggregation degree area of debris flow mainly includes Gongshan-Vici-Fugong，Lushui-Yulong-Longyang-Tengchong，Yingjiang-Longchuan，Jinping-Yuanyang-Lvchun and so on. Slightly higher aggregation degree areas are located in Huaping-Yongsheng-Heqing，Cangyuan-Gengma-Zhenkang，Jingdong-Shuangbai-Chuxiong，Maguan，Dongchuan-Huize-Qiaojia，Yanjin-Daguan-Yiliang and so on. The intensity distribution of debris flow disaster is roughly symmetrical to a line from the southern end of Nujiang Lushui County to Wenshan Jinping County，especially in western Yunnan and northwestern Yunnan. The conclusions are of great referential significances for identifying disaster risk debris flow disaster in Yunnan Province，optimizing the distribution of disaster monitoring stations，improving the accuracy and efficiency of forecasting，reducing disaster loss，optimizing disaster relief materials reserve，improving disaster relief strategies and perfecting catastrophe insurance disaster relief system.
,KeyWords:420038,420039,420040,33701,EKeyWords:420041,420042,420043,36545,SubjectWords:,LiteratureId:9849952,Fileref:null,OrderFlag:0,IsLeaf:N,PubDate:null,FindDate:null,IssueDate:null,DocType:null,ProductSeries:null,Doi:null,InstanceID:0,MinNodeSearch:Y,XmlID:b120180702X20183582001_005,Prop1:null,Prop2:null,Prop3:null,prop4:null,AddUser:wanghan,AddTime:2018-07-17 17:29:41.0,ModifyUser:Admin,ModifyTime:2023-09-26 23:14:51.0,HitCount:20,ShowType:putong,LogoID:0,PdfID:9849960,DownCount:9,AuthorInfos:{"何树红":{"Address":null,"Affiliation":null,"Email":null,"Role":null,"Photo":null,"Blurb":"何树红，云南大学经济学院教授，博士，研究方向为灾害统计与风险管理。
"},"邹丽华":{"Address":null,"Affiliation":null,"Email":null,"Role":null,"Photo":"","Blurb":""},"姜毅":{"Address":null,"Affiliation":null,"Email":null,"Role":null,"Photo":"","Blurb":""},"He Shuhong":{"Address":null,"Affiliation":null,"Email":null,"Role":null,"Photo":"","Blurb":""},"Zou Lihua":{"Address":null,"Affiliation":null,"Email":null,"Role":null,"Photo":"","Blurb":""},"Jiang Yi":{"Address":null,"Affiliation":null,"Email":null,"Role":null,"Photo":"","Blurb":""}},BookPublishDate:2018-06-01 00:00:00.0,SearchTitle:云南省泥石流灾害空间分布特征研究,ISBN:978-7-5201-2763-9,BookTitle:风险灾害危机研究（第七辑）,BookStatus:7,AllowDownload:Y,BookVersionNum:null,researchorg:null,CopyRightDate:null,ExcellentPeriod:null,PrizeLevel:null,IsExcellence:null,ContentClass:null,IsDisabled:N,SearchTitle_2:云南省泥石流灾害空间分布特征研究,_RowNo:7随着极端灾害的日益多发，风险社会的复杂性和不确定性愈加突出，给传统灾害应急管理体系带来极大挑战。互联网时代，社交媒体迅速发展并为灾害应急管理带来新思路。本文以2016年6月23日14时30分在江苏省盐城市阜宁县发生的特大龙卷风为案例，以社交媒体的典型代表——微信为研究平台，运用案例研究法和实地调查法，具体分析微信在“6·23阜宁特大龙卷风”灾害应急管理中的使用情况，以深入探讨和总结微信在灾害应急管理中的价值。文章认为，与其他通信手段和信息渠道相比，微信在信息发布上占一席之地，在危机沟通上遥遥领先，在治理参与上行之有效。但是，在重视微信正面功能的同时，也不能忽视其在真实性、冗杂性和不平衡性等方面的不足，需要我们进一步改进和完善各项技术、措施，使微信更好地融入灾害应急管理体系。
,AbstractEN:With the increasing incidence of extreme disasters，the complexity and uncertainty of risk society are becoming more prominent，which has posed great challenges to the traditional disaster emergency management system. In the Internet era，social media develops rapidly，which brings new ideas to disaster emergency management. This paper takes the devastating tornadoes in Funing County，Yancheng City，Jiangsu Province at 14：30 on June 23，2016 as a case，taking the typical representative of social media——WeChat as the research platform，using case-studying method and investigating method，concretely analyzing the usage of WeChat in the“6·23 devastating tornado in Funing”disaster emergency work，in order to explore and summarize the value of WeChat in disaster emergency management. According to the article，compared with other means of communication and information channels，WeChat has a place in information release，leading in crisis communication and effectively in governance participation. While paying attention to the positive features of WeChat，it can not ignore the shortcomings of authenticity，redundancy and imbalance. We need to further improve the technologies and measures to make WeChat better integrated into the disaster emergency management system.
,KeyWords:97003,29438,119987,119986,420044,EKeyWords:420045,76211,188152,119988,420046,SubjectWords:,LiteratureId:9849971,Fileref:null,OrderFlag:0,IsLeaf:N,PubDate:null,FindDate:null,IssueDate:null,DocType:null,ProductSeries:null,Doi:null,InstanceID:0,MinNodeSearch:Y,XmlID:b120180702X20183582001_006,Prop1:null,Prop2:null,Prop3:null,prop4:null,AddUser:wanghan,AddTime:2018-07-17 17:29:41.0,ModifyUser:Admin,ModifyTime:2023-09-26 23:14:51.0,HitCount:37,ShowType:putong,LogoID:0,PdfID:9849980,DownCount:12,AuthorInfos:{"孙思":{"Address":null,"Affiliation":null,"Email":null,"Role":null,"Photo":null,"Blurb":"孙思，南京大学政府管理学院硕士研究生，研究方向为社会风险管理。
"},"童星":{"Address":null,"Affiliation":null,"Email":null,"Role":null,"Photo":null,"Blurb":"童星，南京大学政府管理学院教授、博士生导师，研究方向为社会学理论、社会问题和社会发展、社会保障理论与制度、社会风险与公共危机管理。
"},"Sun Si":{"Address":null,"Affiliation":null,"Email":null,"Role":null,"Photo":"","Blurb":""},"Tong Xing":{"Address":null,"Affiliation":null,"Email":null,"Role":null,"Photo":"","Blurb":""}},BookPublishDate:2018-06-01 00:00:00.0,SearchTitle:微信在灾害应急管理中的价值——以“6·23阜宁特大龙卷风”灾害为例,ISBN:978-7-5201-2763-9,BookTitle:风险灾害危机研究（第七辑）,BookStatus:7,AllowDownload:Y,BookVersionNum:null,researchorg:null,CopyRightDate:null,ExcellentPeriod:null,PrizeLevel:null,IsExcellence:null,ContentClass:null,IsDisabled:N,SearchTitle_2:微信在灾害应急管理中的价值——以“6·23阜宁特大龙卷风”灾害为例,_RowNo:8重大决策社会稳定风险评估源于地方创新并在中央层面被制度化后在全国范围内被普遍推行，至今已经历十余年的发展过程；这一发展过程可被视作包括横向和纵向扩散的政策扩散过程，对其中扩散机制的分析有助于理解和把握该决策机制实施状况与效果。基于对69份地方政策文本的比较分析可以发现，重大决策社会稳定风险评估扩散过程中可能出现政策学习、强制和模仿三种扩散机制；其中，横向扩散更多地表现为政策学习和模仿的产物，而纵向扩散则在更多地表现强制机制的作用的同时亦存在学习和模仿的可能。要改进重大决策社会稳定风险评估的实施效果，需在正视强制机制作用的同时减少模仿的发生，更重要的是应更好地促成政策学习。
,AbstractEN:Social stability risk assessment for government' major decision-making，as an important decision-making mechanism firstly developed from local innovation and then institutionalized by central authority，has been evolving for a decade. This evolving process can be regarded as a kind of policy diffusion process，in which the diffusion mechanisms including policy learning，coercion，and imitation function. Comparative analysis based on 69 local policy texts indicates that the policy learning and imitation were more likely to appear in horizontal diffusion，while coercion were more important in vertical diffusion although in which learning and imitation can also be found. Recommendations on improving the social stability risk assessment based on above research findings are represented.
,KeyWords:420047,420048,335997,EKeyWords:420049,420050,336000,SubjectWords:,LiteratureId:9849986,Fileref:null,OrderFlag:0,IsLeaf:N,PubDate:null,FindDate:null,IssueDate:null,DocType:null,ProductSeries:null,Doi:null,InstanceID:0,MinNodeSearch:Y,XmlID:b120180702X20183582001_007,Prop1:null,Prop2:null,Prop3:null,prop4:null,AddUser:wanghan,AddTime:2018-07-17 17:29:41.0,ModifyUser:Admin,ModifyTime:2023-09-26 23:14:51.0,HitCount:28,ShowType:putong,LogoID:0,PdfID:9849994,DownCount:23,AuthorInfos:{"李贺楼":{"Address":null,"Affiliation":null,"Email":null,"Role":null,"Photo":null,"Blurb":"李贺楼，华南理工大学公共管理学院讲师，地方风险治理研究中心助理研究员，研究方向为地方政府运作、应急管理与风险治理。
"},"胡冲":{"Address":null,"Affiliation":null,"Email":null,"Role":null,"Photo":null,"Blurb":"胡冲，中国政法大学政治与公共管理学院，硕士研究生，研究方向为风险治理。
"},"Li Helou":{"Address":null,"Affiliation":null,"Email":null,"Role":null,"Photo":"","Blurb":""},"Hu Chong":{"Address":null,"Affiliation":null,"Email":null,"Role":null,"Photo":"","Blurb":""}},BookPublishDate:2018-06-01 00:00:00.0,SearchTitle:重大决策社会稳定风险评估的扩散机制——基于69个政策文本的探索性分析,ISBN:978-7-5201-2763-9,BookTitle:风险灾害危机研究（第七辑）,BookStatus:7,AllowDownload:Y,BookVersionNum:null,researchorg:null,CopyRightDate:null,ExcellentPeriod:null,PrizeLevel:null,IsExcellence:null,ContentClass:null,IsDisabled:N,SearchTitle_2:重大决策社会稳定风险评估的扩散机制——基于69个政策文本的探索性分析,_RowNo:9基于社会心理危机的风险放大机制，构建突发事件中公众安全感影响因素模型，其影响因素分别是事件属性、政府应对、媒体传播和群体心理与行为。利用网络爬虫软件对2014～2016年32件重大突发事件，包括新闻、新浪微博、百度搜索指数等在内的相关文本数据进行采集，通过定性比较分析（QCA）探寻在重大突发事件中导致公众安全感缺失的必要条件和逻辑条件组合。结果显示，影响范围广、应对不及时、谣言的存在和消极的群体情绪，是导致公众安全感丧失的必要条件。当其他条件变量与必要条件同时发生时，最容易引发公众安全感的缺失。在所有的影响因素中，媒体传播对公众安全感的解释力最大，其次分别是事件属性、群体心理及行为和政府应对。据此，构建以提升应急能力为目的，政府、媒体和社会公众协同参与的心理危机治理机制。
,AbstractEN:Based on the risk amplification mechanism of social psychological crisis，constructing the model of influencing factors of public security in emergency. The influencing factors are event properties，government response，media communication and group psychology and behavior. Using web crawler software to collect relevant textual data about 32 major incidents including news，Sina Weibo，Baidu search index and so on from 2014 to 2016，to explore the requirements and logical conditions leading to public security loss in significant emergencies through qualitative comparative analysis （QCA）. The result shows that large-scale influence，untimely response，existence of rumors and negative emotion are the requirements leading to the loss of public security. When other condition variables occur with the requirements simultaneously，which is most likely to trigger public security loss. Among all the influencing factors，media communication has the most explanatory power on public security，followed by event properties，group psychology and behavior，government response. Therefore，we should construct a psychological crisis management mechanism with the participation of government，media and the public in order to enhance the emergency response capability.
,KeyWords:45021,21878,64025,3781,EKeyWords:5324,391399,64031,420051,SubjectWords:,LiteratureId:9850002,Fileref:null,OrderFlag:0,IsLeaf:N,PubDate:null,FindDate:null,IssueDate:null,DocType:null,ProductSeries:null,Doi:null,InstanceID:0,MinNodeSearch:Y,XmlID:b120180702X20183582001_008,Prop1:null,Prop2:null,Prop3:null,prop4:null,AddUser:wanghan,AddTime:2018-07-17 17:29:42.0,ModifyUser:Admin,ModifyTime:2023-09-26 23:14:51.0,HitCount:43,ShowType:putong,LogoID:0,PdfID:9850011,DownCount:21,AuthorInfos:{"刘晓君":{"Address":null,"Affiliation":null,"Email":null,"Role":null,"Photo":null,"Blurb":"刘晓君，四川大学公共管理学院，博士研究生，研究方向为应急管理、公共政策。
"},"杨菁":{"Address":null,"Affiliation":null,"Email":null,"Role":null,"Photo":null,"Blurb":"杨菁，电子科技大学公共管理学院，教授，博士，研究方向为应急管理、城市治理创新。
"},"Liu Xiaojun":{"Address":null,"Affiliation":null,"Email":null,"Role":null,"Photo":"","Blurb":""},"Yang Jing":{"Address":null,"Affiliation":null,"Email":null,"Role":null,"Photo":"","Blurb":""}},BookPublishDate:2018-06-01 00:00:00.0,SearchTitle:重大突发事件中公众安全感的影响因素研究——基于32起事件网络爬虫数据的QCA分析,ISBN:978-7-5201-2763-9,BookTitle:风险灾害危机研究（第七辑）,BookStatus:7,AllowDownload:Y,BookVersionNum:null,researchorg:null,CopyRightDate:null,ExcellentPeriod:null,PrizeLevel:null,IsExcellence:null,ContentClass:null,IsDisabled:N,SearchTitle_2:重大突发事件中公众安全感的影响因素研究——基于32起事件网络爬虫数据的QCA分析,_RowNo:10社区灾害弹性是灾害研究的新兴领域，对全球社区灾害弹性学术文献进行研究，有助于把握国际研究的热点问题和未来的趋势。以SSCI数据库中与社区灾害弹性相关文献作为分析样本，利用Citespace软件，对社区灾害弹性研究的发文时间、文献来源地、来源期刊和研究者的特征进行总结，并综合内容分析法挖掘主要的研究内容、理论和方法。社区灾害弹性属于典型的交叉学科，目前研究多停留在以案例为背景的概念梳理和影响因素研究。未来，展现时空动态性的社区灾害弹性模型与框架开发将是重要方向；多类型灾害和级联灾害的社区弹性理论框架和评估工具开发将成趋势；资源约束条件下的社区灾害弹性构建路径研究或成热点。
,AbstractEN:Community Disaster Resilience is an emerging area in the disaster field，and analysis of the academic publications in this area contributes to understand the current hotspots and predict future research agenda. With the SSCI database，we utilize Citespace for explorations on the publication characteristics，and dig out the main research content，foundation and methods based a content analysis. Community Disaster Resilience is a typical interdisciplinary area，and most of the research focus on the conceptualization and impact factors of Community Disaster Resilience within the context of specific case. For the future，the development of community disaster resilience models and frameworks that show the dynamics of time and space will be an important direction. The development of community resilience frameworks and assessment tools for multi-type disasters and cascading disasters will become a trend. The pathway towards community disaster resilience under resource constraints is likely to be a potential research direction.
,KeyWords:4643,420052,420053,40114,EKeyWords:22656,394104,420054,47333,SubjectWords:,LiteratureId:9850018,Fileref:null,OrderFlag:0,IsLeaf:N,PubDate:null,FindDate:null,IssueDate:null,DocType:null,ProductSeries:null,Doi:null,InstanceID:0,MinNodeSearch:Y,XmlID:b120180702X20183582001_009,Prop1:null,Prop2:null,Prop3:null,prop4:null,AddUser:wanghan,AddTime:2018-07-17 17:29:42.0,ModifyUser:Admin,ModifyTime:2023-09-26 23:14:51.0,HitCount:25,ShowType:putong,LogoID:0,PdfID:9850026,DownCount:17,AuthorInfos:{"张惠":{"Address":null,"Affiliation":null,"Email":null,"Role":null,"Photo":null,"Blurb":"张惠，广州大学公共管理学院副教授，研究方向为风险治理。
"},"张韦":{"Address":null,"Affiliation":null,"Email":null,"Role":null,"Photo":null,"Blurb":"张韦，讲师，研究方向为社交媒体与风险治理。
"},"Zhang Hui":{"Address":null,"Affiliation":null,"Email":null,"Role":null,"Photo":"","Blurb":""},"Zhang Wei":{"Address":null,"Affiliation":null,"Email":null,"Role":null,"Photo":"","Blurb":""}},BookPublishDate:2018-06-01 00:00:00.0,SearchTitle:灾害背景下社区弹性的研究现状与展望——以SSCI数据库为样本,ISBN:978-7-5201-2763-9,BookTitle:风险灾害危机研究（第七辑）,BookStatus:7,AllowDownload:Y,BookVersionNum:null,researchorg:null,CopyRightDate:null,ExcellentPeriod:null,PrizeLevel:null,IsExcellence:null,ContentClass:null,IsDisabled:N,SearchTitle_2:灾害背景下社区弹性的研究现状与展望——以SSCI数据库为样本,_RowNo:11“法外私了”是医患冲突治理中常见的现象，从经验上判断，医患双方都试图规避法律准绳。从行动者主观因素的角度观察，身份特质与规则偏好成为重要的影响因素，其中不准确的身份认知与两种规则的选择性取舍，决定着冲突双方博弈的结果。在行动过程中，医患双方在策略尝试、冲突“互动”和妥协等不同环节，均无法形成法治共识。因此，准确的身份认知、回归正式规则，才是未来依法治理医患冲突的关键。
,AbstractEN:There has been long existing a phenomenon of “solution without law” for hospital-patient conflict governance in China. In the aspect of actor，both identity trait and rules preference result in the outcome. Inaccurate perception of identity and selective alternative between formal and informal rules determine the possible results，so that rule of law is always absent. Accurate perception of identity and formal rules preference contribute the rule of law in the future process of conflict governance.
,KeyWords:358320,420055,420056,420057,EKeyWords:420058,420059,420060,420061,SubjectWords:,LiteratureId:9850033,Fileref:null,OrderFlag:0,IsLeaf:N,PubDate:null,FindDate:null,IssueDate:null,DocType:null,ProductSeries:null,Doi:null,InstanceID:0,MinNodeSearch:Y,XmlID:b120180702X20183582001_010,Prop1:null,Prop2:null,Prop3:null,prop4:null,AddUser:wanghan,AddTime:2018-07-17 17:29:42.0,ModifyUser:Admin,ModifyTime:2023-09-26 23:14:51.0,HitCount:17,ShowType:putong,LogoID:0,PdfID:9850041,DownCount:9,AuthorInfos:{"吴新叶":{"Address":null,"Affiliation":null,"Email":null,"Role":null,"Photo":null,"Blurb":"吴新叶，法学博士，湖北工程学院法政学院楚天学者特聘教授、博士生导师。
"},"Wu Xinye":{"Address":null,"Affiliation":null,"Email":null,"Role":null,"Photo":"","Blurb":""}},BookPublishDate:2018-06-01 00:00:00.0,SearchTitle:身份认知、规则偏好与医患冲突治理中的法治缺席——以榆林产妇跳楼案为例,ISBN:978-7-5201-2763-9,BookTitle:风险灾害危机研究（第七辑）,BookStatus:7,AllowDownload:Y,BookVersionNum:null,researchorg:null,CopyRightDate:null,ExcellentPeriod:null,PrizeLevel:null,IsExcellence:null,ContentClass:null,IsDisabled:N,SearchTitle_2:身份认知、规则偏好与医患冲突治理中的法治缺席——以榆林产妇跳楼案为例,_RowNo:12应急准备，又称备灾，是有效减缓灾害影响的重要途径，也是新时代灾害防治的新方向和新要求。近年来，我国开始强调关口前移，从注重事后处置向注重事前预防转变。2015年，我们对成都市某社区干部开展了一项小规模试调查（N=114），重点了解了社区第一响应人的应急准备情况及影响因素。问卷设计了20种应急准备活动，结果显示，总体上应急准备水平可接受，但是不容乐观。逐步回归分析显示政府信任度与应急准备水平显著负相关，男性干部应急准备程度更高。风险感知、对利益相关者责任分担感知和对其他利益相关者的信任状况作用并不显著。另外，我们重点分析了人们没有进行应急准备的原因。结果显示“没意识到”或者认为某项应急准备活动“没必要”是人们未采取应急准备的主要原因。本研究结果对风险防护行为研究以及应急准备/备灾实践具有重要启示意义。
,AbstractEN:Preparedness is critical to reducing potential impacts from disasters. It is also the new efforts proposed by the disaster and emergency management government agencies and practitioners in China，a country good at emergency response. This study surveyed 114 community leaders from one district in Chengdu city in a training workshop. The purpose of the workshop was to provide training for local first responders. 20 preparedness activities were proposed，and the overall results demonstrate that the preparedness level is acceptable. The step-wise regression method was adopted to explore the effects of trust in and feeling of responsibility of various stakeholders with the control of basic socioeconomic and demographic variables. Trust in government is negatively associated with the level of preparedness，and males tend to have a higher level of preparation.“Not aware”and“Don't think the activity is useful”are the dominant reasons for not preparing. This study contributes to enriching our understanding of the theory of adaptation behaviors and the needs of emergency management practice.
,KeyWords:420062,318763,41168,EKeyWords:425640,158716,36936,SubjectWords:,LiteratureId:9850046,Fileref:null,OrderFlag:0,IsLeaf:N,PubDate:null,FindDate:null,IssueDate:null,DocType:null,ProductSeries:null,Doi:null,InstanceID:0,MinNodeSearch:Y,XmlID:b120180702X20183582001_011,Prop1:null,Prop2:null,Prop3:null,prop4:null,AddUser:wanghan,AddTime:2018-07-17 17:29:43.0,ModifyUser:Admin,ModifyTime:2023-09-26 23:14:51.0,HitCount:32,ShowType:putong,LogoID:0,PdfID:9850056,DownCount:15,AuthorInfos:{"王洪":{"Address":null,"Affiliation":null,"Email":null,"Role":null,"Photo":null,"Blurb":"王洪，四川大学公共管理学院，硕士研究生，研究方向为应急管理、公共政策与社会治理。
"},"韩自强":{"Address":null,"Affiliation":null,"Email":null,"Role":null,"Photo":null,"Blurb":"韩自强，四川大学-香港理工大学灾后重建与管理学院副教授，研究方向为风险分析、风向感知与应急准备、灾后恢复、韧性城市建设与评估。
"},"Wang Hong":{"Address":null,"Affiliation":null,"Email":null,"Role":null,"Photo":"","Blurb":""},"Han Ziqiang":{"Address":null,"Affiliation":null,"Email":null,"Role":null,"Photo":"","Blurb":""}},BookPublishDate:2018-06-01 00:00:00.0,SearchTitle:为什么人们不进行地震应急准备——来自成都市基层干部的试调查,ISBN:978-7-5201-2763-9,BookTitle:风险灾害危机研究（第七辑）,BookStatus:7,AllowDownload:Y,BookVersionNum:null,researchorg:null,CopyRightDate:null,ExcellentPeriod:null,PrizeLevel:null,IsExcellence:null,ContentClass:null,IsDisabled:N,SearchTitle_2:为什么人们不进行地震应急准备——来自成都市基层干部的试调查,_RowNo:13成立应急管理部是典型的大部制改革，这种改革事实上萌芽于新中国成立以来形成的“领导分管+业务部门牵头+其他部门配合”模式，有助于减少职责交叉，提高突发事件应对效率，优化现行应急管理体系，推动应急管理转型升级。但是，厘清内部不同机构及与其他相关部门的边界，重塑权力结构，实现优化协同高效运行，完善法律保障，是改革成功与否的关键。
,AbstractEN:Establishing the ministry of emergency management is a typical super-department reform，which has in fact sprouted from the model of “Division of leadership + Leading by Functional units + Coordination by other departments” since the founding of the People’s Republic of China. These reforms will help reduce the overlap of duties，improve the efficiency of emergency response，optimize the current emergency management system，and promote the transformation and upgrading of emergency management. The success of the reform，However，depends on clearing the boundaries of different internal agencies and other related departments，reshaping the power structure，and improving legal basis.
,KeyWords:420064,41014,420065,EKeyWords:420066,420067,420068,SubjectWords:,LiteratureId:9850063,Fileref:null,OrderFlag:0,IsLeaf:N,PubDate:null,FindDate:null,IssueDate:null,DocType:null,ProductSeries:null,Doi:null,InstanceID:0,MinNodeSearch:Y,XmlID:b120180702X20183582001_012,Prop1:null,Prop2:null,Prop3:null,prop4:null,AddUser:wanghan,AddTime:2018-07-17 17:29:43.0,ModifyUser:null,ModifyTime:2023-09-26 23:14:51.0,HitCount:61,ShowType:putong,LogoID:0,PdfID:9850069,DownCount:3,AuthorInfos:{"雷尚清":{"Address":null,"Affiliation":null,"Email":null,"Role":null,"Photo":null,"Blurb":"雷尚清，博士，四川大学公共管理学院讲师，四川省哲学社会科学重点研究基地\u201C社会发展与社会风险控制研究中心\u201D兼职研究员，主要研究方向为风险治理与公共政策。
"},"Lei Shangqing":{"Address":null,"Affiliation":null,"Email":null,"Role":null,"Photo":"","Blurb":""}},BookPublishDate:2018-06-01 00:00:00.0,SearchTitle:作为大部制的应急管理部：历史渊源与关键议题,ISBN:978-7-5201-2763-9,BookTitle:风险灾害危机研究（第七辑）,BookStatus:7,AllowDownload:Y,BookVersionNum:null,researchorg:null,CopyRightDate:null,ExcellentPeriod:null,PrizeLevel:null,IsExcellence:null,ContentClass:null,IsDisabled:N,SearchTitle_2:作为大部制的应急管理部：历史渊源与关键议题,_RowNo:14
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