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蔡 昉
    1956年9月生于北京。现任中国社会科学院副院长、党组成员,曾任中国社会科学院人口与劳动经济研究所所长,博士生导师,研... 详情>>
李培林
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李 扬
    1951年9月出生,籍贯安徽,1981年、1984年、1989年分别于安徽大学、复旦大学、中国人民大学获经济学学士、硕士、博士学位... 详情>>

    迈入全面建成小康社会决胜阶段——2015~2016年中国社会形势分析与预测

    摘要

    2015年是中国经济社会发展第十二个五年规划的收官之年,也是第十三个五年规划的布局之年。国民经济稳中求进,结构调整取得新成效,全年可保GDP增速7%左右。社会领域的发展更加注重提升质量,常住人口城镇化率超过55%,户籍改革全面提速;就业形势总体稳定,就业结构继续优化;居民收入增长维持较高水平,收入分配格局继续改善;居民消费物价指数回落,人民生活消费水平继续提高;国家财政支出继续向民生等重点领域倾斜,社会保障体系建设加快推进;国家和社会治理力度加大,社会组织发展加速。但在经济社会发展过程中,也存在若干风险和需要重点解决的问题。

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    Abstract

    This year is the closing stage of the Twelfth Five Year Plan and the preliminary stage of the Thirteenth Five Year Plan for China’s social and economic development. In general,the economic growth has been stabilized with significant achievement on structural adjustment. The GDP growth rate for the whole year remains at about 7%. In the area of social construction,development quality is given more emphasis than development velocity. The regular residents of urban population have exceeded 55%,with the promotion of comprehensive reform on the Hukou Registration System. The employment situation remains stable,and the employment structure has been optimized. Income growth rate of residents keeps rising,and the income and wealth distribution structure has been improved. The consumer index falls back with higher level of residents’ consumption. The national fiscal expenditure keeps the preference towards the areas of social welfare and social security system construction. The establishment of modern social governance has been strengthened with the expansion of social organizations. However,during the social and economic development,there are many risks and challenges which should be addressed.

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    作者简介
    中国社会科学院“社会形势分析与预测”课题组:暂无简介
    陈光金:陈光金,中国社会科学院社会学研究所所长,研究员。
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