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    2022年中国农业农村经济形势分析及2023年展望与预测

    • 作者:《中国农村经济形势分析与预测(2022~2023)》总报告课题组出版日期:2023年04月
    • 报告页数:39 页报告大小:1.41MB
    • 报告字数:36113 字所属丛书: 农村绿皮书
    • 所属图书:中国农村经济形势分析与预测(20...
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    摘要

    2022年,农业农村经济有效支撑经济社会稳定与发展。第一产业增加值8.8万亿元,实际增长4.1%,对GDP实际增长贡献率为9.9%;农副食品加工业固定资产投资增长15.5%;乡村消费品零售额5.9万亿元,保持基本稳定,占全社会消费品零售总额比重上升0.1个百分点。粮食总产量68652万吨,比上年增加367万吨。其中,大豆产量2028万吨,比上年增加388万吨。粮食增产的贡献全部来源于粮食播种面积的稳定增加,全年粮食播种面积11833万公顷,比上年增加70万公顷。猪牛羊禽肉产量9227万吨,比上年增加340万吨,其中猪肉产量5541万吨,比上年增加245万吨。粮油和肉类等主要农产品进口量明显减少,但是,全年农产品进出口总额3343亿美元,比上年增加302亿美元。农产品及食品价格总体波动幅度较小,农产品生产者价格比上年上涨0.4%,玉米等价格运行对农民增收有利;食品消费价格上涨2.8%。展望2023年,中国农业农村经济运行面临的有利因素显著增多,高质量发展态势进一步显现,第一产业增加值将超过9万亿元;粮食总产量将达6.9亿吨,其中大豆产量将达2100万吨,猪牛羊禽肉产量近1亿吨;农产品进出 <<
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    Abstract

    In 2022,agriculture and rural economy effectively supported the development and stability of China’s economy and society. The value added of the primary industry was 8.8 trillion Yuan,up by 4.1 percent over the previous year,contributing 9.9 percent to the real GDP growth. The investment in fixed assets in the agricultural and sideline food processing industries increased by 15.5 percent. The total retail sales of consumer goods in rural areas reached 5.9 trillion Yuan,maintaining the same level as the previous year,accounting for an increase of 0.1 percent in the proportion of the whole society. The total output of grain was 686.52 million tons,an increase of 3.67 million tons over the previous year. Among them,the output of soybean was 20.28 million tons,an increase of 3.88 million tons. The steady increase in the sown area of grain contributed to the increase in the total output of grain. The annual sown area of grain was 118.33 million hectares,an increase of 0.70 million hectares over the previous year. The total output of pork,beef,mutton and poultry in 2022 was 92.27 million tons,an increase of 3.4 million tons,among which the output of pork was 55.41 million tons,an increase of 2.45 million tons. The import volume of major agricultural products such as grain crops,oil-bearing crops and meat decreased significantly. However,the total value of imports and exports of agricultural goods in 2022 was 334.3 billion U.S. dollars,an increase of 30.2 billion U.S. dollars compared with that in 2021. The overall fluctuation range of agricultural products and food prices was relatively small,and producer prices for farm products grew up by 0.4 percent compared with that in the previous year. The market price of corn was beneficial to farmers’ income growth. The consumer prices for food went up by 2.8 percent over last year. It is projected that in 2023,China will have favorable conditions for the development of agriculture and rural economy,showing a trend of a high-quality development. The value added of the primary industry will exceed 9 trillion Yuan. The total output of grain will likely reach 690 million tons,among which the output of soybean will probably reach 21 million tons. The total output of pork,beef,mutton and poultry will reach nearly 100 million tons. The total value of imports and exports of agricultural goods will exceed 350 billion U.S. dollars. The producer prices for farm products will fall by around 3 percent,while the consumer prices will rise by around 3 percent. The structural and short-term fluctuations in agricultural products and food prices will continue. The per capita disposable income of rural households will reach 22000 Yuan,and the urban-rural per capita disposable income ratio is likely to decrease to 2.4. The income distribution pattern among rural households will be improved.

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    作者简介
    总报告课题组:执笔人:李国祥(博士,中国社会科学院农村发展研究所研究员、食物经济研究室主任,中国社会科学院大学博士生导师)。本报告仅代表课题组观点,主要是执笔人观点,与课题组成员所属机构及研究资料来源部门无关。本报告审定:魏后凯。
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