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    中国化石能源产业链供应链韧性分析

    • 作者:袁惊柱出版日期:2022年12月
    • 报告页数:16 页报告大小:1.27MB
    • 报告字数:13462 字所属丛书: 产业蓝皮书
    • 所属图书:中国产业竞争力报告(2022~2023...
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    摘要

    化石能源对于保障中国能源安全和经济安全具有重要的支撑意义。中国化石能源产业链供应链韧性评估分析结果表明:新冠肺炎疫情对中国化石能源产业链供应链造成了一定冲击,但总体上而言,产业链供应链韧性足够强;在具体的化石能源产业链供应链环节上,新冠肺炎疫情对下游的冲击程度要远高于中上游;化石能源作为整个产业链体系中的上游环节,相比于产业链体系中下游环节的产品,受疫情冲击时产业链供应链要相对稳定;化石能源进口环节所具有的风险最高,特别是地缘政治关系恶化所带来的冲击更容易影响产业链供应链稳定性;煤炭产业链供应链稳定性要远强于石油与天然气,天然气产业链供应链稳定性要强于石油;化石能源产业链供应链细分环节的韧性情况是:上游生产环节>中游加工环节>中游运输环节>下游利用环节>上游进口环节。影响其韧性的问题主要包括安全生产风险问题、进口风险问题、运输风险问题和产业协调风险问题。为此,需要以提高中国化石能源产业链供应链韧性为依托,从三个方面统筹好化石能源在保障国家能源安全和经济安全方面的支撑作用与在实现“双碳”目标中的引领作用的关系,协同推进经济高质量发展与能源绿色低碳转型。 <<
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    Abstract

    Fossil energy has important supporting significance for ensuring China’s energy security and economic security. The results of the resilience assessment of the supply chain of China’s fossil energy industry chain show that the new crown epidemic has caused a certain impact on the supply chain of China’s fossil energy industry chain,but in general,the resilience of the industrial chain supply chain is strong enough;In the specific fossil energy industry chain supply chain,the impact of the new crown epidemic on the downstream is much higher than that of the middle and upper reaches;As the upstream link in the entire industrial chain system,fossil energy is relatively stable when the industrial chain supply chain is affected by the epidemic compared with the products in the middle and lower reaches of the industrial chain system;The risk of fossil energy imports is the highest,especially the impact of the deterioration of geopolitical relations is more likely to affect the stability of the industrial chain supply chain;The stability of the coal industry chain supply chain is much stronger than that of oil and gas,and the stability of the natural gas industry chain supply chain is stronger than that of oil;The resilience of the subdivision of the supply chain of the fossil energy industry chain is:upstream production> midstream processing> midstream transportation> downstream utilization> upstream import. The problems affecting its resilience mainly include safety production risks,import risks,transportation risks and industrial coordination risks. To this end,it is necessary to rely on improving the resilience of China’s fossil energy industry chain supply chain,coordinate the relationship between the supporting role of fossil energy in ensuring national energy security and economic security and the leading role in achieving the “double carbon” goal from three aspects,and coordinate to promote high-quality economic development and green and low-carbon energy transformation.

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    作者简介
    袁惊柱:袁惊柱,博士,中国社会科学院工业经济研究所助理研究员,中国国际经济交流中心博士后,研究方向为能源转型与产业结构优化升级。
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