上海奉贤经济发展分析与研判（2022～2023）

面对复杂严峻的国内外形势和多重超预期因素冲击，奉贤区按照“疫情要防住、经济要稳住、发展要安全”的总要求，立足奉贤实际情况，聚焦新片区、新城市、新产业、新农村的“四新”重点，抓住大生态、大交通、大民生、大数据的“四大”关键，推动“奉贤美、奉贤强”的高质量发展。奉贤区围绕重点产业迎难而上，通过高质量招商引资，推动项目落地，经济运行得到快速恢复，表现出经济发展的良好韧性。本书分别从农业、工业、服务业、固定资产投资、消费品市场、对外经济形势、财政形势、房地产发展形势等角度对奉贤经济进行深入研究，同时还对“东方美谷”产业能级升级、激发“五型经济”活力、融入新片区、城市功能建设促进新城品质全面提升、持续推进乡村振兴、打造一流营商环境、城市数字化转型、打造最具生态竞争力城市以及塑造新江南文化助推奉贤经济高质量发展等特色经济做了详尽的专题分析。全书共有总报告1篇，分析研判8篇，专题研究9篇，分别从不同角度对奉贤区经济运行情况进行了回顾与总结，并提出了相应的分析与研判。

首先，本书对奉贤区2022年前三季度经济运行的总体情况进行解读。虽然上半年经济形势异常严峻，但奉贤经济依然展现出强大韧性，临港新片区、生物医药和新能源产业分别引领重点区域、重点产业，拉动全区经济向好发展，前三季度，奉贤区经济运行呈现“前升后降再企稳回升”的“N”字形走势。结合奉贤区在城市功能建设、统筹新城建设与乡村振兴、城市数字化转型、提升“东方美谷”产业能级、通过塑造江南文化振兴文化创意产业、打造“森林城市”等方面的发展态势，预计2023年奉贤地区生产总值将保持稳中向好增长态势，增速有望恢复至疫情前水平。在紧抓城市数字化转型、“东方美谷”集聚发展、生态环境优化、乡村振兴与新城建设融合发展等机遇的同时，仍需密切关注外部环境的变化以及投资、消费、出口“三驾马车”对经济的拉动作用，持续推进奉贤经济向绿色低碳发展。

其次，本书分别从生产、支出、收入的角度出发，对奉贤区的经济发展情况进行了分析与研判。研究表明：从生产的角度来看，农业产业转型升级驶入快车道，优质农产品品牌逐步打响，工业经济稳中向好，生物医药与新能源汽车产业逆势增长，服务业对经济贡献率持续提升，各项数据逐步恢复。从支出的角度来看，消费品市场稳步恢复，数字化消费成为新趋势，固定资产市属投资增长较快，政府投资项目总投资年中调增，出口表现非常亮眼，跨境电商加速发展。从收入的角度来看，税收收入有所下降，节能环保支出增长显著，房地产建设如火如荼，现房销售增长较快，保障房建设有序推进，人才房供应逐渐丰富。

最后，本书对奉贤区经济发展亮点与特色进行回顾与展望。“东方美谷”产业集聚优势凸显，“东方美谷”品牌知名度进一步扩大，生物医药产业逆势增长劲头足。城市数字化转型加快推进，以数字化手段精准触达“基本民生”，创新发展“品质民生”，着力跨越“数字鸿沟”。“森林城市”生态逐渐优化，绿色生态已成为奉贤强有力的名片，低碳绿色发展提高生态竞争力。新城建设与乡村振兴相互促进，城市功能建设促进奉贤新城生活品质全面提升，奉贤新城建设与乡村振兴互为补充。建议大力开展企业“淘金”工作，激发“五型经济”活力，主动融入新片区，推动区域合作新模式，进一步做大新江南文化品牌，推动文化产业和消费协同增长，落实“十个一切”要求，持续打造一流营商环境。

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总报告

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书名：	上海奉贤经济发展分析与研判（2022～2023）
英文名：	ECONOMY OF SHANGHAI FENGXIAN：ANALYSIS AND FORECAST （2022-2023）
作者：	张兆安朱平芳王东辉张淼邸俊鹏
I S B N：	978-7-5228-1272-4
丛书名：	上海蓝皮书订阅
关键词：	区域经济发展经济分析经济预测
出版日期：	2022-12-01