法国发展报告（2023）
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中文摘要
2022年，俄乌冲突升级，法国内政外交议程遭受重大冲击。法国政府积极作为，努力化危为机，巩固法国在欧洲的“领头羊”地位。
在欧洲陷入冷战后最大地缘政治危机的背景下，马克龙得以成功连任法国总统，开启其第二任期。但是，他所领导的复兴党并未能在议会选举中取得绝对多数，政府设定和落实相关议程的能力受到削弱，马克龙强势推出的退休制度改革充满波折即是明证。勒庞在总统大选第二轮中败北，但她领导的国民联盟在绝对选票数上实现了突破性增长，正日益“主流化”。左派候选人梅朗雄的败选引发了学生罢课、封校、游行等，折射出青年群体对法国现状的不满，以及对未来的不安。
俄乌冲突触发欧洲能源危机，加剧通货膨胀，在新冠疫情后出现复苏迹象的法国经济再次受挫。法国重启核能建设，以应对能源危机和绿色转型。气候变化和极端天气事件对法国政治、经济和社会造成了不同程度的影响，应对气候变化成为实现可持续发展的重大课题。法国在欧盟层面也同样致力于推动气候治理、数字经济、社会发展等议题。为解决企业招工难的问题，法国改革了失业保险制度，鼓励人们积极寻求再就业。政府在“法国2030”框架内提出“加速文化创意产业发展国家战略”，并加快数字化转型，以维护法国软实力的国际竞争力。通过“卓越大学计划”，法国推动公立高校重组，加强高校与科研机构的集群式合作，巴黎文理研究大学在全球大学排名中表现出较强的竞争力。法国着力于高等教育改革，力求做到以学生为本，强化科研创新，服务社会重大需求，积极融入欧盟各项计划，提升法国的国际吸引力。
在对外政策上，法国“战略自主”之路可谓任重道远。法国利用担任欧盟理事会轮值主席国的机会，大力推动欧洲一体化进程，尤其是防务一体化建设，以有效应对俄乌冲突等安全危机。法德在“欧洲主权”的实现路径上分歧较大，两国政治关系进入低谷期，但人文交流等领域并未受到大的影响。法美关系变得更为错综复杂，在俄乌冲突加剧的情况下，法方不得不做出机会主义调整。在对俄关系上，法国被迫放弃接触政策，转而加入遏俄阵营。同时，法国再次推出“欧洲政治共同体”倡议，并于2022年10月成功组织了有欧洲44个国家参与的“欧洲政治共同体”首次峰会。11月，法国发布新版《国家战略评估》报告，为2024～2030年出台《军事纲领法》等战略安全举措提供指导框架。法国对非政策体现出较强延续性，但法非关系总体转冷，法国将更加注重利用经济外交杠杆。在亚太方向，法印两国相互借力，持续深化双方的战略伙伴关系。
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