金砖国家经贸合作发展报告（2024～2025）
| 书 名： |
金砖国家经贸合作发展报告（2024～2025） |
| 英 文 名： |
REPORT ON DEVELOPMENT OF BRICS ECONOMIC AND TRADE COOPERATION （2024-2025）
|
| 作 者： |
胡钦太 李景睿 著 |
| I S B N： |
978-7-5228-5423-6 |
| 丛 书 名： |
|
| 关 键 词： |
金砖国家 经贸合作 金砖扩员 “一带一路” 倡议 |
| 出版时间： |
2025年07月 |
中文摘要
金砖合作机制与“一带一路”倡议是“全球南方”国家在解决全球治理问题的基础上建立起来的一种新型合作方式。两者的目标都是促进和平发展，在竞争中合作，在合作中共赢。继2011年南非加入金砖合作机制后，沙特阿拉伯、伊朗、阿联酋、埃塞俄比亚和埃及于2024年1月1日加入金砖合作机制。以2024年金砖扩员为新起点，这一机制进入“大金砖合作”的新时代。本书的研究目的是全面深入探讨金砖扩员后面临的机遇、挑战，分析各方态度、取向，明晰努力方向以及可能采取的合作行动。
首先，本书分析了金砖扩员所带来的机遇与挑战。一方面，金砖扩员给“全球南方”和全球经济带来更大的发展机遇。扩员后，金砖国家整体实力大幅增强，金砖成员国结构更加多元化，在全球新兴市场中更具代表性，在全球多边主义中更具重要性，对全球经济政治更具影响力。另一方面，金砖扩员也要求各国妥善处理好内部和外部的关系。无论是从我国的外交实践来看，还是从“全球南方”的合作机制建设来看，金砖扩员都意义重大。但伴随金砖国家成员国的增多，金砖合作的困难将会有所上升。
其次，本书探讨了中国、巴西、俄罗斯、印度、南非、南亚国家、沙特阿拉伯对金砖扩员的态度及政策调整。金砖扩员深化了中国与其他成员国的经济合作，增强了中国的国际话语权，但也带来了更加复杂的国际关系，对中国的国际治理能力提出更高要求。面对金砖扩员带来的新变革，中国正在稳步推进制度型开放，旨在为扩员后的多边合作提供中国智慧和方案。巴西将通过更广泛的金砖国家组织框架与南南合作多边外交框架，深化农业、能源和金融等领域的合作，切实推进巴西的去美元化、再工业化。俄罗斯的对外经济战略从“转向东方”演化为转向“全球南方”，这一战略调整对俄罗斯2023年对外贸易的区域国别结构、商品进出口结构产生巨大影响。印度对金砖扩员的诉求体现出“印度优先”的特点。南非则加强与金砖国家新成员国的机制整合，充分挖掘“大金砖合作”的潜力和空间。南亚国家整体上对金砖国家态度友好，对加入金砖国家的政治考量优先于经济考量。作为中东地区政治核心的沙特阿拉伯加入金砖合作机制不仅将加强中东地区与金砖国家的经济联系，还将为金砖国家提供更广阔的发展空间和战略合作机遇。
最后，本书研究了金砖国家之间具体合作领域，分别对中国与巴西、中国与俄罗斯、中国与印度、中国与南非、中国与沙特阿拉伯、中国与埃及、中国与阿联酋、中国与伊朗、中国与埃塞俄比亚深化国际合作的现状、挑战和前景进行分析，意在描绘金砖国家未来合作前景。
本书的研究结论可以为未来金砖国家深化高水平合作及完善合作机制提供新的目标指向，也可以为促进经济全球化、区域经济合作和全球经济合作提供新动能，还可以为丰富国际经贸理论、南南合作理论以及“一带一路”研究提供有益的补充。
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