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法国发展报告(2023)

书 名: 法国发展报告(2023)
英 文 名: ANNUAL REPORT ON DEVELOPMENT OF THE FRENCH REPUBLIC (2023)
作 者:  丁一凡 戴冬梅北京外国语大学区域与全球治理高等研究院北京外国语大学法国研究中心中国欧洲学会法国研究分会
I S B N: 978-7-5228-2271-6
丛 书 名: 法国蓝皮书 订阅
关 键 词:  经济发展 社会发展 研究报告 法国 2023
出版日期: 2023-10-01

中文摘要

2022年,俄乌冲突升级,法国内政外交议程遭受重大冲击。法国政府积极作为,努力化危为机,巩固法国在欧洲的“领头羊”地位。

在欧洲陷入冷战后最大地缘政治危机的背景下,马克龙得以成功连任法国总统,开启其第二任期。但是,他所领导的复兴党并未能在议会选举中取得绝对多数,政府设定和落实相关议程的能力受到削弱,马克龙强势推出的退休制度改革充满波折即是明证。勒庞在总统大选第二轮中败北,但她领导的国民联盟在绝对选票数上实现了突破性增长,正日益“主流化”。左派候选人梅朗雄的败选引发了学生罢课、封校、游行等,折射出青年群体对法国现状的不满,以及对未来的不安。

俄乌冲突触发欧洲能源危机,加剧通货膨胀,在新冠疫情后出现复苏迹象的法国经济再次受挫。法国重启核能建设,以应对能源危机和绿色转型。气候变化和极端天气事件对法国政治、经济和社会造成了不同程度的影响,应对气候变化成为实现可持续发展的重大课题。法国在欧盟层面也同样致力于推动气候治理、数字经济、社会发展等议题。为解决企业招工难的问题,法国改革了失业保险制度,鼓励人们积极寻求再就业。政府在“法国2030”框架内提出“加速文化创意产业发展国家战略”,并加快数字化转型,以维护法国软实力的国际竞争力。通过“卓越大学计划”,法国推动公立高校重组,加强高校与科研机构的集群式合作,巴黎文理研究大学在全球大学排名中表现出较强的竞争力。法国着力于高等教育改革,力求做到以学生为本,强化科研创新,服务社会重大需求,积极融入欧盟各项计划,提升法国的国际吸引力。

在对外政策上,法国“战略自主”之路可谓任重道远。法国利用担任欧盟理事会轮值主席国的机会,大力推动欧洲一体化进程,尤其是防务一体化建设,以有效应对俄乌冲突等安全危机。法德在“欧洲主权”的实现路径上分歧较大,两国政治关系进入低谷期,但人文交流等领域并未受到大的影响。法美关系变得更为错综复杂,在俄乌冲突加剧的情况下,法方不得不做出机会主义调整。在对俄关系上,法国被迫放弃接触政策,转而加入遏俄阵营。同时,法国再次推出“欧洲政治共同体”倡议,并于2022年10月成功组织了有欧洲44个国家参与的“欧洲政治共同体”首次峰会。11月,法国发布新版《国家战略评估》报告,为2024~2030年出台《军事纲领法》等战略安全举措提供指导框架。法国对非政策体现出较强延续性,但法非关系总体转冷,法国将更加注重利用经济外交杠杆。在亚太方向,法印两国相互借力,持续深化双方的战略伙伴关系。

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