东南亚地区发展报告（2022～2023）
| 书 名： |
东南亚地区发展报告（2022～2023） |
| 英 文 名： |
ANNUAL REPORT ON THE DEVELOPMENT OF SOUTHEAST ASIA （2022-2023）
|
| 作 者： |
王勤 主编 |
| I S B N： |
978-7-5228-4192-2 |
| 丛 书 名： |
|
| 关 键 词： |
东南亚 政治 经济 社会 |
| 出版时间： |
2024年09月 |
中文摘要
进入21世纪第三个十年，全球出现了新冠肺炎疫情。经过三年的疫情防控，东南亚地区疫情进入低水平流行，新增确诊和死亡病例日益减少，疫情防控政策全面放开，该地区经济与社会发展逐渐回归疫情前状态。2023年5月，世界卫生组织宣布新冠肺炎疫情不再构成国际关注的突发公共卫生事件。
2022年和2023年，东南亚地区政坛出现了新变化，菲律宾、马来西亚、泰国、东帝汶和柬埔寨先后举行全国大选，顺利实现了政权交接，这些国家政局也进入了一个相对稳定的时期。菲律宾大选中，小马科斯以高票当选菲律宾总统，其所在政党联盟在参众两院也获得了多数席位；由于国内政坛格局的变迁，马来西亚各政党和政党联盟角逐加剧，首次出现了“悬峙国会”的现象，后以安瓦尔为总理组建了团结政府；泰国大选后，政府内阁总理选举一波三折，经过新的党派联盟整合，新政府总理才得以尘埃落定；柬埔寨大选中，执政党——人民党再度赢得大选，洪玛奈接棒完成了政府的新老交替。
在全球疫情蔓延和经济动荡叠加的背景下，2022年世界经济缓慢复苏，而东南亚经济逆势上行，保持持续复苏的局面，一些国家经济增速甚至超出了官方的预期。为加快国内经济复苏，东南亚国家适时调整了宏观经济政策，实行了扩张性财政政策，如提高利率以减缓通胀压力，加大基础设施建设，推动产业转型升级，促进中小企业融入全球价值链。近年来，东南亚国家纷纷推出数字经济转型战略与政策，推进产业数字化和数字产业化，为各国经济复苏提供了新动能。2023年，世界经济复苏仍然乏力，发达国家和新兴市场国家经济增长处于下行通道，而东南亚国家经济有望保持持续复苏的态势，但经济增长有所减缓，不稳定和不确定性因素增加。
2001年，联合国缔约国文件指出，“21世纪是海洋的世纪”。东南亚国家（除老挝外）均为海洋国家，其共同特点是海岸线漫长、海域辽阔、海洋资源丰富。跨入21世纪，东南亚海洋经济迅速兴起，各国相继推出海洋发展战略与政策。各国的海洋渔业、油气开采业、交通运输业、船舶制造业和旅游业逐渐成为海洋产业的主导部门，新兴的海洋产业快速发展，它们在国内经济中的地位与作用不断提升。伴随着21世纪海洋时代的到来，东南亚国家注重跟踪世界海洋经济发展趋势，并根据本国的海洋资源禀赋和产业优势，积极调整海洋经济发展战略与政策，推进海洋产业转型升级，引导海洋产业集群发展，强化和革新海洋综合管理，以实现海洋经济的可持续发展。
本发展报告以“跨入海洋世纪的东南亚”为主题，跟踪各国的政治、经济、对外关系等发展态势，对该地区近期和中期发展进行分析与预测，以揭示新形势下东南亚区域发展格局与趋势，从而为中国的外交战略和周边策略提供决策依据。该报告由总报告、地区报告、国别报告、专题报告、附录五大部分组成：①总报告，即疫情后东南亚地区政治与经济形势；②区域热点篇，论述东南亚地区经济、政治、社会和对外关系发展中的热点和前沿问题；③国别篇，对印尼、马来西亚、菲律宾、新加坡、泰国和越南的政治、经济和对外关系进行分析与预测；④专题篇，论述东南亚跨入海洋世纪后的发展格局与趋势；⑤附录，包括东南亚发展统计、2022年东南亚大事记。
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总报告
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国别篇
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