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2008年中国社会形势分析与预测

书 名: 2008年中国社会形势分析与预测
英 文 名: SOCIETY OF CHINA ANALYSIS AND FORECAST (2008)
作 者:  汝信 陆学艺 李培林 陈光金 李炜 许欣欣
I S B N: 978-7-80230-925-8
丛 书 名: 社会蓝皮书
关 键 词:  社会分析 社会预测 中国 2008
出版日期: 2008-01-01

中文摘要

本书是中国社会科学院关于“中国社会形势分析与预测”的年度报告,已经连续发布了16年。参与本书撰写的专家来自中国社会科学院、有关国家部委和部分高校,他们从人民生活、人口、就业、社会保障、收入分配、教育、医疗、社会治安、生态环境等诸多方面,深入分析了中国目前的社会形势和热点问题。本书以其权威性高、信息量大和专家视角的特点得到社会的广泛认同,成为热销的学术著作。

2007年,中国宏观社会经济继续保持良好发展态势。经济持续高速增长,人民生活进一步改善,农民显著增收,为社会发展和建设提供了坚实的物质基础。

以改善民生为重点的社会建设事业在2007年获得快速推进。在积极就业政策的推动下,就业形势继续好转,就业结构显著改变;统筹城乡社会保障成为社会保障事业发展的主题,覆盖城乡的最低生活保障制度以及由城镇职工医疗保险、城镇居民医疗保险和农村新型合作医疗组成的公立医疗保障体系基本形成;中央和地方政府对教育的财政投入显著增加,农村免费义务教育全面实行,针对家庭贫困学生的国家资助体系得以建立,这都将继续促进教育公平;维护劳动者权益的力度加大,非公有制企业工会的组建有较大进展,《就业促进法》和新《劳动合同法》的出台,进一步推动劳动关系调节走向制度化;中共十七大提出的建设“生态文明”的号召,标志着环境保护理念的历史性转变,环境执法监督力度加大,节能减排工作取得阶段性成效;社会治安进一步呈现出良性化发展的态势,主要违法犯罪的发案数量有所减少,上访和群体性事件发生数开始回落,群众安全感进一步增强;公众对于中央政府的管理信心全面提升。

2007年,中国社会发展和社会建设工作也面临一系列突出问题和矛盾。食品和住房价格增长过快,一部分低收入群体的生活受到影响;城乡之间、地区之间、社会成员之间收入差距扩大的趋势仍未能扭转;群众反映较大的医疗问题尚未根本改观,医患矛盾呈现增加之势;劳动关系不和谐问题仍然突出,落实新《劳动合同法》面临挑战;生态环境形势依然严峻,涉及民生的环境污染问题增多。

2008年将成为中国改革开放30年发展史上的新界标,北京奥运会将标志着中国作为一个新的世界经济巨人的兴起。防止经济过热、继续保持经济平稳快速增长,关注民生、注重公平,是未来一年经济和社会健康发展的关键。

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2007年,中国社会经济快速发展,人民生活继续改善,就业紧张局面有所缓解,国家对教育、医疗、社会保障的财政投入大幅度增加,社会秩序总体稳定。但食品和住房价格增长过快,收入差距扩大的趋势仍未能扭转,群众反映较大的医疗问题尚未根本改观,一部分低收入群体的生活受到影响。从目前的发展情况来看,中国总体上将会把连续五年经济增长10%以上的态势在2008年继续保持下去,中国庞大的经济体将会使2008年北京奥运会对中国经济起落的影响不像人们想象的那么大。2008年是中国改革开放30年,是中国走向未来具有界标意义的一年,中国的经济总量将达到世界第三位。

,AbstractEN:

China had fast socio-economic growth in 2007,people’s living standard continued to be improved,employment pressure was somewhat reduced,the state dramatically increased the financial investment in education,medical care and social security,and the overall social order remained stable. However,the prices of food and housing grew too rapidly,the enlarging income gap had no change,the medical care issues that were mostly concerned by people had no fundamental change,which had some impact on the life of the low-income group. China will continue the economic growth level of 10% in 2008,and the huge economic system of China will make the impact of2008 Olympic Games less fluctuated than people once anticipated. 2008 is the 30th anniversary of the implementation of economic reform and opening up policies,it is a year of landmark that the GDP of China will reach the third place in the world.

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