俄罗斯东欧中亚国家发展报告（2011）
中文摘要
2010年俄罗斯政治领域总体保持稳定，但仍存在一些动荡的因素。地铁连环爆炸，北高加索地区恐怖事件频发，表明反恐形势依然严峻。以“现代化”为目标的国内经济发展呈复苏走势。但受世界主要经济体复苏势头趋弱和国内罕见旱灾等因素影响，经济增速放缓。改善俄美关系、关注东北亚地区、理顺与独联体和东欧国家的关系应该是当前俄罗斯外交的主要方向。
中亚局部地区出现动荡，但整体政局平稳。各国经济缓慢复苏。除吉尔吉斯斯坦因受政局动荡经济可能下滑外，其他中亚国家经济形势相应好转，但经济社会发展依然不平衡，贫富悬殊持续扩大。影响中亚地区安全与稳定的潜在威胁仍未得到根除，地区发展的不确定性在增加。中亚国家彼此之间的关系更加复杂，地区性问题更加突出。中亚国家在地缘政治选择上依旧面临着如何在多元中寻求平衡的困境。
中东欧地区内部继续分化，总体形势呈现以下特点：政治上中东欧国家顺利实现政府更迭，政局保持稳定，但在组建政府上困难重重，政党间的不合作导致了政治僵局。经济上，绝大多数中东欧国家已经走出衰退，经济开始微弱复苏。波兰、捷克和斯洛伐克经济在2010年的表现令人称道。中东欧国家的地缘政治态势并没有发生根本变化。欧洲一体化与欧洲大西洋一体化是中东欧国家外交上的战略抉择。
中国与东北亚地区依然是俄罗斯外交活动重要的方向。中俄战略协作伙伴关系上升到新水平；中国与中亚国家之间的经济联系达到新的高度；上海合作组织成员国元首理事会第十次会议在乌兹别克斯坦共和国首都塔什干举行，确定了各领域合作的工作方向；中国与中东欧国家仍然继续保持友好合作关系。
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总论
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形势篇
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地区篇
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