- 中国与世界发展形势预测重磅推荐
- 以2023年经济蓝皮书、社会蓝皮书、世界经济黄皮书、国际形势黄... 详情>>
In 2022,in the complex and volatile external environment of accelerating evolution of the world pattern,escalating conflict between Russia and Ukraine,rising global inflation,and drastic adjustment of the monetary policy of the Federal Reserve,and in the face of repeated domestic pandemic and “triple pressures” and other challenges,China’s economy gained growth under pressure,showing a V-shaped trend in general. The year 2023 is the first year to comprehensively implement the spirit of the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China(CPC),the key year to implement the 14th Five-Year Plan,and the important year to start building a socialist modern country in an all-round way. It is of great significance to do a good job in economic work. In 2023,macro policies should continue to maintain adequate countercyclical adjustment,promote more stable and adequate economic recovery,and promote the return of real growth rate to the potential level. It is suggested to continue to implement active fiscal policies,further optimize the tool options,effectively hedge the gap of insufficient demand of private sector,and promote the convergence of output gap;Continue to implement a prudent monetary policy,give further play to the dual functions of aggregate and structure,and reduce financing costs and debt burden for the real economy;Improve the priority policy of aftermarket employment and promote the solution of structural employment contradiction;At the same time,pay attention to strengthening the coordination between fiscal policy,monetary policy and macro prudential policy. It is suggested to focus on the following key tasks in 2023:First,scientific and accurate pandemic prevention and control,and efficient overall planning of pandemic prevention and control and economic and social development;Second,stabilize expectations,boost market confidence,and focus on expanding private investment and household consumption;Third,build a long-term mechanism while defusing risks to promote the healthy and stable development of the real estate market;Fourth,accelerate the improvement of the scientific and technological innovation system and enhance the effectiveness of the national innovation system;Fifth,enhance the flexibility of the supply chain of the industrial chain,improve the modernization level and international competitiveness;Sixth,accelerate the pace of reform in key areas and deepen opening up to meet external challenges;Seventh,deepen regional coordinated development and new urbanization,and enhance the balance and coordination of urban and rural regional development;Eighth,actively and steadily promote carbon peaking and carbon neutralization,and promote green transformation of economic and social development;Ninth,focus on stabilizing employment of key groups and promoting income growth of urban and rural residents;Ten is to coordinate development and security,and do a good job in risk prevention and resolution in key areas.
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