2023年中国经济形势分析与预测
| 书 名： |
2023年中国经济形势分析与预测 |
| 英 文 名： |
ANALYSIS AND FORECAST OF CHINA’S ECONOMIC SITUATION （2023）
|
| 作 者： |
谢伏瞻 蔡昉 高培勇 李雪松 |
| I S B N： |
978-7-5228-1188-8 |
| 丛 书 名： |
经济蓝皮书
订阅
|
| 关 键 词： |
中国经济 政策协调 增长潜力 风险防范 |
| 出版日期： |
2022-11-01 |
中文摘要
2022年，在世界格局加速演变、乌克兰危机升级、全球通胀升温、美联储货币政策剧烈调整等复杂多变的外部环境下，面对国内疫情反复和“三重压力”等挑战，中国经济在压力中迎难而进，总体呈现V型走势。2023年是全面贯彻落实党的二十大精神的开局之年，是实施“十四五”规划承前启后的关键一年，也是全面建设社会主义现代化国家开局起步的重要一年，做好经济工作具有重要意义。2023年，宏观政策需继续保持足够的逆周期调节力度，促进经济恢复更加稳固、更加充分，促进实际增长率向潜在增长率回归。建议继续实施积极的财政政策，进一步优化工具选项，有效对冲私人部门需求不足缺口，促进产出缺口收敛；继续实施稳健的货币政策，进一步发挥好总量和结构双重功能，为实体经济降低融资成本和减轻债务负担；提质加力就业优先政策，推动解决结构性就业矛盾；同时，注重加强财政政策、货币政策、宏观审慎政策之间的协调配合。建议2023年抓好以下重点工作任务：一是科学精准做好疫情防控，高效统筹疫情防控与经济社会发展；二是稳定预期提振市场主体信心，着力扩大民间投资和居民消费；三是在化解风险的同时构建长效机制，促进房地产市场健康平稳发展；四是加快完善科技创新体系，提升国家创新体系效能；五是增强产业链供应链韧性，提高现代化水平和国际竞争力；六是加快重点领域改革攻坚步伐，深化对外开放应对外部挑战；七是深入推进区域协调发展和新型城镇化，增强城乡区域发展平衡性协调性；八是积极稳妥推进碳达峰碳中和，促进经济社会发展绿色转型；九是着力稳定重点群体就业，促进城乡居民收入增长；十是统筹发展与安全，做好重点领域风险防范化解工作。
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