中东发展报告No.22（2019～2020）
| 书 名： |
中东发展报告No.22（2019～2020） |
| 英 文 名： |
ANNUAL REPORT ON DEVELOPMENT IN THE MIDDLE EAST No.22 （2019-2020）
|
| 作 者： |
王林聪 唐志超 |
| I S B N： |
978-7-5201-7692-7 |
| 丛 书 名： |
中东黄皮书
订阅
|
| 关 键 词： |
社会发展 中外关系 中东 中东剧变 |
| 出版日期： |
2020-10-01 |
中文摘要
2020年是中东剧变第十年，经历了十年严重的治理危机、激烈的大国博弈和地缘政治冲突，中东地区仍徘徊在剧变的“长波”之中，并且正迈向一个更加充满风险和动荡的“不确定”时代。一方面，避乱企稳求治、解决民生难题和探索自主发展道路已成为中东地区国家的核心议题；另一方面，经济发展迟缓、社会问题尖锐化、民众抗议常态化、治理问题凸显，特别是新冠肺炎疫情的大流行又进一步加重了中东国家经济和社会发展的困境，延缓了其走出困局的步伐。与此同时，这一地区热点问题频发，海湾局势升温，东地中海争端趋紧，美国等域外大国的干涉进一步推升了地缘政治博弈的烈度，加快了中东地区秩序转型与重构的步伐。因此，以地缘政治竞争为主要特征的“新中东”尚在形塑之中。
在进入21世纪第三个十年之际，中东地区向何处去？中东国家如何走出剧变之漩涡？这仍然是亟待破解的世纪难题。从长远看，探索自主发展道路，提升治理能力，加快经济结构调整，把握新科技革命和共建“一带一路”的契机，推动区域稳定、合作和发展，应当是中东国家的现实选择。
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