欧洲发展报告（2023～2024）
中文摘要
2023年，欧洲内外形势呈现新变化。经济失速，下行压力未减；政治失信，主流政党受到挑战；安全失稳，欧盟探寻自身定位。欧洲艰难应变步入关键期。在俄乌冲突延宕和巴以冲突重燃的背景下，本年度的总报告重点分析欧洲如何应对形势之变、化解重重困局。
总报告指出，2023年欧盟将“经济安全”作为政策发力点，重新开启东扩进程，寻求将乌克兰和巴尔干国家纳入欧盟，降低地缘政治风险，与美国绑定，寻求解决地区冲突之法，并推动对华“去风险”。2024年，欧洲经济预计实现温和反弹，但在“去风险”政策推动下，经济复苏前景并不明朗。受此影响，进入大选年的欧洲面临剧烈的政治重组。在内部政治动荡、美国可能从俄乌冲突“抽身”的挑战下，欧盟只有坚定“战略自主”，并跟中国相向而行，才能找到化解自身危机、重振全球领导力之道。
本书分报告，着重从欧洲政治、经济、社会、法律、对外关系以及中欧关系维度，概述2023年欧洲形势的变化。欧洲的选举政治既呈现了延续性，也出现了选举制度或执政制度的变革等新特征。中左政党的影响力持续衰退，而包括民粹政党以及极右翼政党等在内的反建制政党的影响力进一步扩大，未来将对整个欧洲政治局势及政策走向产生重要影响。而欧洲经济在多重不利因素的影响下艰难前行。高通胀和高利率，加之全球经济复苏乏力导致的外需疲弱，使欧盟及欧洲主要国家的经济复苏势头进一步趋弱。欧盟整体和多数成员国的公共财政状况虽有小幅改善，但高债务的困局总体难以扭转。欧盟“绿色”和“数字”双转型雄心不减，但实际落地依然面临挑战。在政治和经济双重承压下，欧洲社会面临不容忽视的民生问题，也引发了较大规模的社会抗议。尤其是民粹主义的持续蔓延，给欧洲社会的稳定带来不容忽视的破坏性影响。2023年，“去风险”和“经济安全”成为主导欧盟法制进程的重要关键词。欧盟以“经济安全”为名推动内部市场经贸规则的“再规制化”和“工具化”，强化外资安全审查等现有经贸规则，并计划引入对外投资管制工具。同时，欧盟加快《关键原材料法案》和《净零工业法案》等立法，寻求重塑全球产业链、供应链规则，维护欧盟企业的竞争优势。在数字市场，欧盟推动和引领数据和人工智能领域规则；在气候和环境立法上，利用单一市场规则和域外效应对域外国家施加法律影响。随着俄乌冲突的延宕，东扩和移民重回欧洲政治、外交议题的核心。在外交、安全与防务领域，欧洲与美国深度“捆绑”，欧俄关系“曙光”难现。而欧盟曲解“对华依赖度”，“去风险”战略彰显意识形态和地缘政治思维。中欧关系若要持续稳定发展，就需要对彼此的依赖性进行客观认知，保持务实合作韧性，推动双方关系行稳致远。
展望2024年前景，本书指出，经济不确定风险犹在，复苏“引擎”动力不足；欧洲进入大选年，政治重组加速；在对外关系上，欧洲仍在探寻“战略自主”之道，既要寻找化解地区冲突的欧盟方案，又要强化防务建设，减少对美依赖。而中欧双边关系回稳向好，亟待双方共同努力，相向而行。
>>
文章列表
CommonID:DIR_73115332,ID:15680183,SiteID:14,Type:formerAidText,Code:null,ParentId:0,InnerCode:740540,name:欧洲蓝皮书编委会,ShortName:,SubName:,EnTitle:null,EnShortTitle:null,EnSubTitle:null,Level:0,BookId:15680178,AbstractCH:null,AbstractEN:null,KeyWords:null,EKeyWords:null,SubjectWords:null,LiteratureId:15680182,Fileref:null,OrderFlag:0,IsLeaf:Y,PubDate:null,FindDate:null,IssueDate:null,DocType:null,ProductSeries:null,Doi:null,InstanceID:0,MinNodeSearch:null,XmlID:null,Prop1:null,Prop2:null,Prop3:null,prop4:null,AddUser:admin,AddTime:2024-12-04 16:39:40.0,ModifyUser:null,ModifyTime:2025-01-04 13:22:34.0,HitCount:0,ShowType:putong,LogoID:0,PdfID:0,DownCount:0,AuthorInfos:null,BookPublishDate:2024-10-01 00:00:00.0,SearchTitle:欧洲蓝皮书编委会,ISBN:978-7-5228-4247-9,BookTitle:欧洲发展报告（2023～2024）,BookStatus:7,AllowDownload:Y,BookVersionNum:null,researchorg:null,CopyRightDate:null,ExcellentPeriod:null,PrizeLevel:null,IsExcellence:null,ContentClass:null,IsDisabled:N,SearchTitle_2:欧洲蓝皮书编委会,_RowNo:1
CommonID:DIR_73115333,ID:15680185,SiteID:14,Type:formerAidText,Code:null,ParentId:0,InnerCode:740541,name:主编简介,ShortName:,SubName:,EnTitle:null,EnShortTitle:null,EnSubTitle:null,Level:0,BookId:15680178,AbstractCH:null,AbstractEN:null,KeyWords:null,EKeyWords:null,SubjectWords:null,LiteratureId:15680184,Fileref:null,OrderFlag:0,IsLeaf:Y,PubDate:null,FindDate:null,IssueDate:null,DocType:null,ProductSeries:null,Doi:null,InstanceID:0,MinNodeSearch:null,XmlID:null,Prop1:null,Prop2:null,Prop3:null,prop4:null,AddUser:admin,AddTime:2024-12-04 16:39:40.0,ModifyUser:null,ModifyTime:2025-01-04 13:22:34.0,HitCount:0,ShowType:putong,LogoID:0,PdfID:0,DownCount:0,AuthorInfos:null,BookPublishDate:2024-10-01 00:00:00.0,SearchTitle:主编简介,ISBN:978-7-5228-4247-9,BookTitle:欧洲发展报告（2023～2024）,BookStatus:7,AllowDownload:Y,BookVersionNum:null,researchorg:null,CopyRightDate:null,ExcellentPeriod:null,PrizeLevel:null,IsExcellence:null,ContentClass:null,IsDisabled:N,SearchTitle_2:主编简介,_RowNo:2
CommonID:DIR_73115334,ID:15680187,SiteID:14,Type:formerAidText,Code:null,ParentId:0,InnerCode:740542,name:摘要,ShortName:,SubName:,EnTitle:null,EnShortTitle:null,EnSubTitle:null,Level:0,BookId:15680178,AbstractCH:null,AbstractEN:null,KeyWords:null,EKeyWords:null,SubjectWords:null,LiteratureId:15680186,Fileref:null,OrderFlag:0,IsLeaf:Y,PubDate:null,FindDate:null,IssueDate:null,DocType:null,ProductSeries:null,Doi:null,InstanceID:0,MinNodeSearch:null,XmlID:null,Prop1:null,Prop2:null,Prop3:null,prop4:null,AddUser:admin,AddTime:2024-12-04 16:39:40.0,ModifyUser:null,ModifyTime:2025-01-04 13:22:34.0,HitCount:0,ShowType:putong,LogoID:0,PdfID:0,DownCount:0,AuthorInfos:null,BookPublishDate:2024-10-01 00:00:00.0,SearchTitle:摘要,ISBN:978-7-5228-4247-9,BookTitle:欧洲发展报告（2023～2024）,BookStatus:7,AllowDownload:Y,BookVersionNum:null,researchorg:null,CopyRightDate:null,ExcellentPeriod:null,PrizeLevel:null,IsExcellence:null,ContentClass:null,IsDisabled:N,SearchTitle_2:摘要,_RowNo:3
CommonID:DIR_73115368,ID:15680189,SiteID:14,Type:part,Code:null,ParentId:0,InnerCode:740543,name:Ⅰ 总报告,ShortName:,SubName:,EnTitle:Ⅰ General Report,EnShortTitle:,EnSubTitle:,Level:1,BookId:15680178,AbstractCH:,AbstractEN:,KeyWords:null,EKeyWords:null,SubjectWords:null,LiteratureId:15680188,Fileref:null,OrderFlag:0,IsLeaf:N,PubDate:null,FindDate:null,IssueDate:null,DocType:null,ProductSeries:null,Doi:null,InstanceID:0,MinNodeSearch:null,XmlID:b120241101X20243294001_001,Prop1:null,Prop2:null,Prop3:null,prop4:null,AddUser:admin,AddTime:2024-12-04 16:39:40.0,ModifyUser:null,ModifyTime:2025-01-04 13:22:34.0,HitCount:0,ShowType:putong,LogoID:0,PdfID:0,DownCount:0,AuthorInfos:null,BookPublishDate:2024-10-01 00:00:00.0,SearchTitle:总报告,ISBN:978-7-5228-4247-9,BookTitle:欧洲发展报告（2023～2024）,BookStatus:7,AllowDownload:Y,BookVersionNum:null,researchorg:null,CopyRightDate:null,ExcellentPeriod:null,PrizeLevel:null,IsExcellence:null,ContentClass:null,IsDisabled:N,SearchTitle_2:总报告,_RowNo:4
总报告
CommonID:DIR_73115476,ID:15680191,SiteID:14,Type:part,Code:null,ParentId:0,InnerCode:740544,name:Ⅱ 分报告,ShortName:,SubName:,EnTitle:Ⅱ Situation Reports,EnShortTitle:,EnSubTitle:,Level:1,BookId:15680178,AbstractCH:,AbstractEN:,KeyWords:null,EKeyWords:null,SubjectWords:null,LiteratureId:15680190,Fileref:null,OrderFlag:0,IsLeaf:N,PubDate:null,FindDate:null,IssueDate:null,DocType:null,ProductSeries:null,Doi:null,InstanceID:0,MinNodeSearch:null,XmlID:b120241101X20243294001_002,Prop1:null,Prop2:null,Prop3:null,prop4:null,AddUser:admin,AddTime:2024-12-04 16:39:41.0,ModifyUser:null,ModifyTime:2025-01-04 13:22:34.0,HitCount:0,ShowType:putong,LogoID:0,PdfID:0,DownCount:0,AuthorInfos:null,BookPublishDate:2024-10-01 00:00:00.0,SearchTitle:分报告,ISBN:978-7-5228-4247-9,BookTitle:欧洲发展报告（2023～2024）,BookStatus:7,AllowDownload:Y,BookVersionNum:null,researchorg:null,CopyRightDate:null,ExcellentPeriod:null,PrizeLevel:null,IsExcellence:null,ContentClass:null,IsDisabled:N,SearchTitle_2:分报告,_RowNo:5
分报告
CommonID:DIR_73115581,ID:15680193,SiteID:14,Type:part,Code:null,ParentId:0,InnerCode:740545,name:Ⅲ 专题报告,ShortName:,SubName:,EnTitle:Ⅲ Special Reports,EnShortTitle:,EnSubTitle:,Level:1,BookId:15680178,AbstractCH:,AbstractEN:,KeyWords:null,EKeyWords:null,SubjectWords:null,LiteratureId:15680192,Fileref:null,OrderFlag:0,IsLeaf:N,PubDate:null,FindDate:null,IssueDate:null,DocType:null,ProductSeries:null,Doi:null,InstanceID:0,MinNodeSearch:null,XmlID:b120241101X20243294001_003,Prop1:null,Prop2:null,Prop3:null,prop4:null,AddUser:admin,AddTime:2024-12-04 16:39:42.0,ModifyUser:null,ModifyTime:2025-01-04 13:22:34.0,HitCount:0,ShowType:putong,LogoID:0,PdfID:0,DownCount:0,AuthorInfos:null,BookPublishDate:2024-10-01 00:00:00.0,SearchTitle:专题报告,ISBN:978-7-5228-4247-9,BookTitle:欧洲发展报告（2023～2024）,BookStatus:7,AllowDownload:Y,BookVersionNum:null,researchorg:null,CopyRightDate:null,ExcellentPeriod:null,PrizeLevel:null,IsExcellence:null,ContentClass:null,IsDisabled:N,SearchTitle_2:专题报告,_RowNo:6
专题报告
CommonID:DIR_73115686,ID:15680195,SiteID:14,Type:part,Code:null,ParentId:0,InnerCode:740546,name:附录 2023年欧洲大事记,ShortName:,SubName:,EnTitle:,EnShortTitle:,EnSubTitle:,Level:1,BookId:15680178,AbstractCH:,AbstractEN:,KeyWords:null,EKeyWords:null,SubjectWords:null,LiteratureId:15680194,Fileref:null,OrderFlag:0,IsLeaf:N,PubDate:null,FindDate:null,IssueDate:null,DocType:null,ProductSeries:null,Doi:null,InstanceID:0,MinNodeSearch:null,XmlID:b120241101X20243294001_004,Prop1:null,Prop2:null,Prop3:null,prop4:null,AddUser:admin,AddTime:2024-12-04 16:39:44.0,ModifyUser:null,ModifyTime:2025-01-04 13:22:34.0,HitCount:0,ShowType:putong,LogoID:0,PdfID:0,DownCount:0,AuthorInfos:null,BookPublishDate:2024-10-01 00:00:00.0,SearchTitle:2023年欧洲大事记,ISBN:978-7-5228-4247-9,BookTitle:欧洲发展报告（2023～2024）,BookStatus:7,AllowDownload:Y,BookVersionNum:null,researchorg:null,CopyRightDate:null,ExcellentPeriod:null,PrizeLevel:null,IsExcellence:null,ContentClass:null,IsDisabled:N,SearchTitle_2:2023年欧洲大事记,_RowNo:7
2023年欧洲大事记
CommonID:DIR_73115687,ID:15680197,SiteID:14,Type:backAidText,Code:null,ParentId:0,InnerCode:740547,name:Abstract,ShortName:,SubName:,EnTitle:null,EnShortTitle:null,EnSubTitle:null,Level:0,BookId:15680178,AbstractCH:null,AbstractEN:null,KeyWords:null,EKeyWords:null,SubjectWords:null,LiteratureId:15680196,Fileref:null,OrderFlag:0,IsLeaf:Y,PubDate:null,FindDate:null,IssueDate:null,DocType:null,ProductSeries:null,Doi:null,InstanceID:0,MinNodeSearch:null,XmlID:null,Prop1:null,Prop2:null,Prop3:null,prop4:null,AddUser:admin,AddTime:2024-12-04 16:39:44.0,ModifyUser:null,ModifyTime:2025-01-04 13:22:34.0,HitCount:0,ShowType:putong,LogoID:0,PdfID:0,DownCount:0,AuthorInfos:null,BookPublishDate:2024-10-01 00:00:00.0,SearchTitle:Abstract,ISBN:978-7-5228-4247-9,BookTitle:欧洲发展报告（2023～2024）,BookStatus:7,AllowDownload:Y,BookVersionNum:null,researchorg:null,CopyRightDate:null,ExcellentPeriod:null,PrizeLevel:null,IsExcellence:null,ContentClass:null,IsDisabled:N,SearchTitle_2:Abstract,_RowNo:8
CommonID:DIR_73115688,ID:15680199,SiteID:14,Type:backAidText,Code:null,ParentId:0,InnerCode:740548,name:Contents,ShortName:,SubName:,EnTitle:null,EnShortTitle:null,EnSubTitle:null,Level:0,BookId:15680178,AbstractCH:null,AbstractEN:null,KeyWords:null,EKeyWords:null,SubjectWords:null,LiteratureId:15680198,Fileref:null,OrderFlag:0,IsLeaf:Y,PubDate:null,FindDate:null,IssueDate:null,DocType:null,ProductSeries:null,Doi:null,InstanceID:0,MinNodeSearch:null,XmlID:null,Prop1:null,Prop2:null,Prop3:null,prop4:null,AddUser:admin,AddTime:2024-12-04 16:39:44.0,ModifyUser:null,ModifyTime:2025-01-04 13:22:34.0,HitCount:0,ShowType:putong,LogoID:0,PdfID:0,DownCount:0,AuthorInfos:null,BookPublishDate:2024-10-01 00:00:00.0,SearchTitle:Contents,ISBN:978-7-5228-4247-9,BookTitle:欧洲发展报告（2023～2024）,BookStatus:7,AllowDownload:Y,BookVersionNum:null,researchorg:null,CopyRightDate:null,ExcellentPeriod:null,PrizeLevel:null,IsExcellence:null,ContentClass:null,IsDisabled:N,SearchTitle_2:Contents,_RowNo:9
CommonID:DIR_73115689,ID:15680201,SiteID:14,Type:backAidText,Code:null,ParentId:0,InnerCode:740549,name:皮书,ShortName:,SubName:,EnTitle:null,EnShortTitle:null,EnSubTitle:null,Level:0,BookId:15680178,AbstractCH:null,AbstractEN:null,KeyWords:null,EKeyWords:null,SubjectWords:null,LiteratureId:15680200,Fileref:null,OrderFlag:0,IsLeaf:Y,PubDate:null,FindDate:null,IssueDate:null,DocType:null,ProductSeries:null,Doi:null,InstanceID:0,MinNodeSearch:null,XmlID:null,Prop1:null,Prop2:null,Prop3:null,prop4:null,AddUser:admin,AddTime:2024-12-04 16:39:44.0,ModifyUser:null,ModifyTime:2025-01-04 13:22:34.0,HitCount:0,ShowType:putong,LogoID:0,PdfID:0,DownCount:0,AuthorInfos:null,BookPublishDate:2024-10-01 00:00:00.0,SearchTitle:皮书,ISBN:978-7-5228-4247-9,BookTitle:欧洲发展报告（2023～2024）,BookStatus:7,AllowDownload:Y,BookVersionNum:null,researchorg:null,CopyRightDate:null,ExcellentPeriod:null,PrizeLevel:null,IsExcellence:null,ContentClass:null,IsDisabled:N,SearchTitle_2:皮书,_RowNo:10
CommonID:DIR_73115690,ID:15680203,SiteID:14,Type:backAidText,Code:null,ParentId:0,InnerCode:740550,name:皮书网,ShortName:,SubName:,EnTitle:null,EnShortTitle:null,EnSubTitle:null,Level:0,BookId:15680178,AbstractCH:null,AbstractEN:null,KeyWords:null,EKeyWords:null,SubjectWords:null,LiteratureId:15680202,Fileref:null,OrderFlag:0,IsLeaf:Y,PubDate:null,FindDate:null,IssueDate:null,DocType:null,ProductSeries:null,Doi:null,InstanceID:0,MinNodeSearch:null,XmlID:null,Prop1:null,Prop2:null,Prop3:null,prop4:null,AddUser:admin,AddTime:2024-12-04 16:39:44.0,ModifyUser:null,ModifyTime:2025-01-04 13:22:34.0,HitCount:0,ShowType:putong,LogoID:0,PdfID:0,DownCount:0,AuthorInfos:null,BookPublishDate:2024-10-01 00:00:00.0,SearchTitle:皮书网,ISBN:978-7-5228-4247-9,BookTitle:欧洲发展报告（2023～2024）,BookStatus:7,AllowDownload:Y,BookVersionNum:null,researchorg:null,CopyRightDate:null,ExcellentPeriod:null,PrizeLevel:null,IsExcellence:null,ContentClass:null,IsDisabled:N,SearchTitle_2:皮书网,_RowNo:11
CommonID:DIR_73115691,ID:15680208,SiteID:14,Type:backAidText,Code:null,ParentId:0,InnerCode:740551,name:皮书数据库,ShortName:,SubName:,EnTitle:null,EnShortTitle:null,EnSubTitle:null,Level:0,BookId:15680178,AbstractCH:null,AbstractEN:null,KeyWords:null,EKeyWords:null,SubjectWords:null,LiteratureId:15680207,Fileref:null,OrderFlag:0,IsLeaf:Y,PubDate:null,FindDate:null,IssueDate:null,DocType:null,ProductSeries:null,Doi:null,InstanceID:0,MinNodeSearch:null,XmlID:null,Prop1:null,Prop2:null,Prop3:null,prop4:null,AddUser:admin,AddTime:2024-12-04 16:39:44.0,ModifyUser:null,ModifyTime:2025-01-04 13:22:34.0,HitCount:0,ShowType:putong,LogoID:0,PdfID:0,DownCount:0,AuthorInfos:null,BookPublishDate:2024-10-01 00:00:00.0,SearchTitle:皮书数据库,ISBN:978-7-5228-4247-9,BookTitle:欧洲发展报告（2023～2024）,BookStatus:7,AllowDownload:Y,BookVersionNum:null,researchorg:null,CopyRightDate:null,ExcellentPeriod:null,PrizeLevel:null,IsExcellence:null,ContentClass:null,IsDisabled:N,SearchTitle_2:皮书数据库,_RowNo:12
CommonID:DIR_73115692,ID:15680212,SiteID:14,Type:backAidText,Code:null,ParentId:0,InnerCode:740552,name:基本子库,ShortName:,SubName:,EnTitle:null,EnShortTitle:null,EnSubTitle:null,Level:0,BookId:15680178,AbstractCH:null,AbstractEN:null,KeyWords:null,EKeyWords:null,SubjectWords:null,LiteratureId:15680211,Fileref:null,OrderFlag:0,IsLeaf:Y,PubDate:null,FindDate:null,IssueDate:null,DocType:null,ProductSeries:null,Doi:null,InstanceID:0,MinNodeSearch:null,XmlID:null,Prop1:null,Prop2:null,Prop3:null,prop4:null,AddUser:admin,AddTime:2024-12-04 16:39:44.0,ModifyUser:null,ModifyTime:2025-01-04 13:22:34.0,HitCount:0,ShowType:putong,LogoID:0,PdfID:0,DownCount:0,AuthorInfos:null,BookPublishDate:2024-10-01 00:00:00.0,SearchTitle:基本子库,ISBN:978-7-5228-4247-9,BookTitle:欧洲发展报告（2023～2024）,BookStatus:7,AllowDownload:Y,BookVersionNum:null,researchorg:null,CopyRightDate:null,ExcellentPeriod:null,PrizeLevel:null,IsExcellence:null,ContentClass:null,IsDisabled:N,SearchTitle_2:基本子库,_RowNo:13
CommonID:DIR_73115693,ID:15680214,SiteID:14,Type:backAidText,Code:null,ParentId:0,InnerCode:740553,name:法律声明,ShortName:,SubName:,EnTitle:null,EnShortTitle:null,EnSubTitle:null,Level:0,BookId:15680178,AbstractCH:null,AbstractEN:null,KeyWords:null,EKeyWords:null,SubjectWords:null,LiteratureId:15680213,Fileref:null,OrderFlag:0,IsLeaf:Y,PubDate:null,FindDate:null,IssueDate:null,DocType:null,ProductSeries:null,Doi:null,InstanceID:0,MinNodeSearch:null,XmlID:null,Prop1:null,Prop2:null,Prop3:null,prop4:null,AddUser:admin,AddTime:2024-12-04 16:39:44.0,ModifyUser:null,ModifyTime:2025-01-04 13:22:34.0,HitCount:0,ShowType:putong,LogoID:0,PdfID:0,DownCount:0,AuthorInfos:null,BookPublishDate:2024-10-01 00:00:00.0,SearchTitle:法律声明,ISBN:978-7-5228-4247-9,BookTitle:欧洲发展报告（2023～2024）,BookStatus:7,AllowDownload:Y,BookVersionNum:null,researchorg:null,CopyRightDate:null,ExcellentPeriod:null,PrizeLevel:null,IsExcellence:null,ContentClass:null,IsDisabled:N,SearchTitle_2:法律声明,_RowNo:14
您现在所在的位置：
京公网安备11010202003507号