欧洲发展报告（2020～2021）
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中文摘要
2020年突如其来的新冠肺炎疫情和英国最终脱欧，给欧洲带来双重冲击。本蓝皮书通过总报告以及有关分报告，从欧盟、成员国以及专题等不同视角围绕这两条主线展开分析。
本书指出欧洲国家未能有效防控疫情，一方面源于初期未能认识到疫情的危险程度，另一方面也暴露了欧盟本身特殊的治理体系的结构性缺陷。之后，在疫情并未根除的情况下，欧洲各国政府为了保经济，仓促解除限制措施，导致疫情不断蔓延且多次“复发”。新冠肺炎疫情对欧盟的打击是多方面的。首先，欧盟内部凝聚力遭受严重考验。近年来欧盟力量受损主要是因为各种挑战和危机打击了其凝聚力，新冠肺炎疫情让欧盟内部“东西、南北”的矛盾和分歧进一步凸显。2020年疫情发生初期，欧洲一些人曾经很担心意大利会因为孤立无援而像英国一样“离欧而去”。在疫情一波又一波的肆虐下，欧洲经济不仅出现了二战以来最大幅度的衰退，其复苏进程也受到严重干扰。虽然欧盟机构最终批准了7500亿欧元的复苏计划，并将未来7年的预算用于经济复苏与“数字和绿色发展”，但复苏之路将不会一帆风顺。从整体上看，欧洲经济或将在较长时间处于“低增长、低通胀、高赤字、高债务”的运行周期。疫情给欧盟社会带来了深刻影响，改变了原有的生活与工作秩序，健康与经济成为各国社会舆论讨论的焦点，“不确定性”成为欧洲民众最为普遍的认知状态。
2020年英国最终完成了脱欧程序，并且在最后一刻与欧盟确立了未来经贸关系的新框架。对于英国和欧盟来说，表面上看双方各取所需，都声称自己是“赢家”，但英国脱欧对英欧双方的冲击，以及在地缘政治方面的影响还将继续显现。
欧盟面对复杂的地缘环境和全球格局变化，提出实施开放式战略自主。战略自主已经从传统的安全和防务领域扩大到更多的领域，欧盟密集出台数字战略、《人工智能白皮书》、《外国补贴白皮书》、《欧盟甲烷排放战略》等文件，大力推动经济主权、技术主权、数字主权和绿色新政的建设。
2020年的中欧关系成为欧洲实施战略自主的一个尝试。尽管受到疫情的影响，对中欧关系而言，2020年依然是个“大年”，双边关系在诸多领域取得进展。中欧克服疫情带来的困难，创新沟通和会晤方式，以保持领导人之间交流渠道的畅通；开拓绿色和数字合作新领域，以新共识推动中欧关系新发展；如期完成《中欧全面投资协定》谈判，为中欧经贸关系提供新的法律框架；中欧贸易逆势上扬，彰显合作韧性，中国超过美国，成为欧盟第一大货物贸易伙伴。
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